Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırım Çıkışlarının Ana Ülkenin Ekonomik Büyümesi Üzerindeki Etkisi

Bu çalışmada doğrudan yabancı yatırım çıkışlarının ana ülkenin ekonomik büyümesi üzerindeki etkisi gelişmiş ve gelişmekte olan ülkeler örneğinde araştırılmıştır. Bu kapsamda çalışma, 1993-2018 dönemi için panel veri analiz yöntemleriyle test edilmiştir. Çalışmada yatay kesit bağımlılığı; Pesaran ve Yamamata (2008) LMadj testiyle analiz edilmiş ve ülkeler arasında yatay kesit bağımlılığı olduğu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. Serilerin durağanlığı; Hadri ve Kurozumi (2012) panel birim kök testiyle sınanmış ve serilerin birinci farkları alındığında durağan hale geldiği tespit edilmiştir. Seriler arasındaki eşbütünleşme ilişkisinin varlığı Durbin-Hausman panel eşbütünleşme testiyle sınanmış ve serilerin eşbütünleşik olduğu görülmüştür. Eşbütünleşme katsayıları ise Panel AMG (2009) yöntemiyle tahmin edilmiştir. Analiz sonucunda; bu ülkelerde doğrudan yabancı yatırım çıkışlarındaki %10’luk bir artış ana ülkenin ekonomik büyümesini uzun dönemde %2.1 oranında arttırmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırım Çıkışları, Ekonomik Büyüme, Gelişmiş ve Gelişmekte Olan Ülkeler, Panel AMG

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