KKTC'deki Ergen Gençlerin Siyasal Katılım Düzeyleri ve Biçimleri: 9 Yıllık Kohort Çalışması

Bu çalışma, Kuzey Kıbrıs Türk Cumhuriyeti’ndeki ergen gençlerin siyasal katılım düzeylerinin ve bunayönelik tutumlarının zaman içerisinde değişip değişmediğini ve eğer değişim varsa, bu değişimin yönünü tespitetmeyi amaçlamaktadır. Söz konusu çalışmada ayrıca, siyasal katılım ve tutumlardaki değişimin, ergengençlerin demografik özelliklerine göre farklılaşıp farklılaşmadığı da araştırılmaktadır. Çalışmanın verileri,yüz yüze anket tekniğiyle 2007 ve 2016 yıllarında dokuzuncu ve onikinci sınıflara devam eden 15 ve 18yaşlarındaki ergenlerin oluşturduğu iki kohort gruptan toplanmıştır. Kohort örneklemiyle elde edilen veriler,istatistiksel olarak wilcoxon işaretli sıralar testi, yüzdelik testi ve çapraz tablolama analiziyle ölçülmüştür.Araştırma bulgularına göre, ergen gençlerin siyasal katılım düzeyleri ve bazı biçimleri arasında, 2007 yılınakıyasla 2016 yılında düşüş olduğu kaydedilmiştir. Siyasal katılım biçimleriyle ilişkili olarak, oy verme niyetive siyasal bir partinin simgesini taşıma düzeylerinde düşüş gerçekleşmiştir. Ayrıca ergen gençlerin oy vermeyeilişkin tutumlarının, bazı demografik özelliklerine göre farklılaştığı da tespit edilmiştir. Bu çerçevede ergengençlerin oy verme niyetlerinin, yaş ve cinsiyet değişkenlerine göre farklılaştığı kaydedilmiştir. Oy vermekonusunda, 15 yaşındaki ergen gençler ile 18 yaşındaki gençler arasında anlamlı farklılık bulunmuştur. Bunagöre 18 yaşındaki ergen gençlerin oy verme niyetlerinin ortalaması, 15 yaşındakilere kıyasla göreli olarak dahayüksektir. Keza cinsiyet değişkenine bağlı olarak, kız ergenlerin, erkek ergenlere kıyasla oy verme niyetlerinindaha yüksek olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Bununla birlikte, siyasal bir partinin simgesini taşıma konusunda, erkek ergenlerin, kız ergenlere kıyasla daha yüksek bir katılım sergiledikleri kaydedilmiştir. Ayrıca aynı özellikleresahip iki ergen kohortun 2007 ile 2016 yılları arasındaki siyasal katılım düzeylerindeki düşüş, dönem etkisiyleaçıklanmaktadır.

The Adolescent Youngsters' Levels and Forms of Political Participation in TRNC: A 9-Year Cohort Study

___

  • Andolina, M. (2003). A guide to the index of civic and political engagement. The Center for Information & Research on Civic Learning & Engagement, https://civicyouth.org/PopUps/IndexGuide.pdf [erişim: 13.06.2019].
  • Ataman, A. vd. (2017). Political participation beyond borders: a comparative analysis of Turkish youth living in home country, Germany and Belgium. Journal of Youth Studies, 20(5), 565- 582. https://doi.org/10.1080/13676261.2016.1254165
  • Barnes, S. H. ve Kaase, M. (Der.) (1979). Political action: mass participation ın five western democracies. Sage Publications.
  • Bayram, T. ve Çağlar, N. (2017). Kuzey Kıbrıs Türk Cumhuriyeti demokrasisinin Samuel Huntington'ın iki el değiştirme testi doğrultusunda değerlendirilmesi. Uluslararası Yönetim Iktisat ve Isletme Dergisi , (Özel Sayı), 1104-1112.
  • Beck, U. ve Beck-Gernsheim, E. (2002). Institutionalized individualization: individualism and its social and political consequences. Sage Publications.
  • Berinsky, A. vd. (2016). Disengaged by choice? A research agenda for understanding low urban youth turnout in South Africa. MIT Political Science Department Research Paper No. 2016- 30, https://escholarship.org/uc/item/6qq0w59q [erişim: 09.04.2020].
  • Bernstein, A. G. (2005). Gendered characteristics of political engagement in college students. Sex Roles, 52(5-6), 299-310. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11199-005-2674-5
  • Blais, A. vd. (2004). Where does turnout decline come from?. European Journal of Political Research, 43(2), 221–236. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-6765.2004.00152.x
  • Blais, A. ve Rubenson, D. (2012). The source of turnout decline: new values or new contexts. Comparative Political Studies, 46(1), 95–117. https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414012453032
  • Bozan, A. (2013). Politikleşme ve siyasal katılımı etkileyen faktörler: Adalet ve Kalkınma Partisi gençlik kolları örneği. Alternatif Politika, 5(2),153-173.
  • Briggs, J. E. (2008). Young women and politics: an oxymoron?. Journal of Youth Studies, 11(6), 579–592. https://doi.org/10.1080/13676260802193132
  • CIVICUS (2005). An assessment of civil society in Cyprus: a map for the future. http://www.civicus.org/media/CSI_Cyprus_Country_Report.pdf [erişim: 12.04.2020].
  • Condercin, H. L. ve Jones-White, D. (2011). Gender jeopardy: what is the impact of gender differences in political knowledge on political participation? Social Science Quarterly, 92(3), 675-694. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6237.2011.00787.x
  • Conway, M. vd. (1997). Women and political participation: cultural change in the political arena. CQ Press.
  • Cutler, N. E. ve Bengtson, V. L. (1974). Age and political alienation: maturation, generation and period effects. The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 415(1), 160–175. https://doi.org/10.1177/000271627441500112
  • Dalton, R. J. (2004). Democratic challenges, democratic choices: the erosion of political support in advanced industrial democracies. Oxford University Press.
  • Egemen, S. (2006). Kıbrıslı Türkler arasında siyasal liderlik. Ateş Matbaacılık.
  • Ercan, E. E. (2019). KKTC basınında dava ve barış politikalarının günümüzdeki durumu. Galatasaray Üniversitesi İletişim Dergisi, (30), 193-214. http://iletisimdergisi.gsu.edu.tr/en/issue/46346/492309
  • Erdoğan, E. (2003). Türk gençliği ve siyasal katılım: 1999-2003. Toplumsal Katılım ve Gelişim Vakfı.
  • Eurobarometer (2005). National report: Cyprus-Turkish Cypriot community. https://ec.europa.eu/commfrontoffice/publicopinion/archives/eb/eb64/eb64_cytcc_exec.pdf [erişim: 13.04.2020].
  • Eurobarometer (2007). Ulusal rapor: Kıbrıs-Kıbrıs Türk toplumu. https://ec.europa.eu/commfrontoffice/publicopinion/archives/eb/eb67/eb67_cytcc_nat.pdf [erişim: 13.04.2020].
  • Eurobarometer (2009). National report: Cyprus-Turkish Cypriot community. https://ec.europa.eu/commfrontoffice/publicopinion/archives/eb/eb72/eb72_cytcc_en_exec. pdf [erişim: 13.04.2020].
  • Eurobarometer (2011). Ulusal rapor: Kıbrıs Türk toplumu. https://ec.europa.eu/commfrontoffice/publicopinion/archives/eb/eb76/eb76_cytcc_cytcc_na t.pdf [erişim: 13.04.2020].
  • Eurobarometer (2013). Ulusal rapor: Kıbrıs Türk toplumu. https://ec.europa.eu/commfrontoffice/publicopinion/archives/eb/eb80/eb80_cytcc_cytcc_na t.pdf [erişim: 13.04.2020].
  • Eurobarometer (2016). Ulusal rapor: Avrupa Birliği’nde kamuoyu-Kıbrıs Türk toplumu. http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/publications/eeip/pdf/ip038_en.pdf.df [erişim: 13.04.2020].
  • Evre, B. (2006). Küreselleşme süreçleri ve Kıbrıs Türk toplumundaki bazı görünümleri. Kıbrıs Yazıları, (2), 26-35.
  • Evre, B. (2019). KKTC’deki yürütme gücünün etkin hükümet anlayışı bakımından değerlendirilmesi. ICOAEF’ 19 V. International Conference on Applied Economics and Finance & Extended with Social Sciences, Kyrenia, 9-11 April 2019.
  • Feezell, J. T. vd. (2016). Internet use and political participation: engaging citizenship norms through online activities. Journal of Information Technology & Politics, 13(2), 95-107. https://doi.org/10.1080/19331681.2016.1166994
  • Flavin, P. ve Keane, M. J. (2011). Life satisfaction and political participation: evidence from the United States. Journal of Happiness Studies, 13(1), 63–78. https://DOI: 10.1007/s10902- 011-9250-1
  • Franklin, M. N. (2004). Voter turnout and the dynamics of electoral competition in established democracies since 1945. Cambridge University Press.
  • Furlong, A. ve Cartmel, F. (2007). Young people and social change: individualisation and risk in late modernity. Open University Press.
  • García-Albacete, G. M. (2014). Young people’s political participation in western Europe continuity or generational change? Palgrave Macmillan.
  • Gökçe, A. F. vd. (2017). Üniversite öğrencilerinin siyasal katılım seviyesi: Kilis 7 Aralık Üniversitesi örneği. Süleyman Demirel Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 27(2), 289-319.
  • Göktolga, O. ve Batar, H. (2017). Gençlerin toplumsal, kültürel ve siyasal hayata katılımı: Malatya Kent Konseyi Gençlik Meclisi örneği. Gençlik Araştırmaları Dergisi, 13(5): 39-51.
  • Grasso, M. T. vd. (2019). Socialization and generational political trajectories: an age, period and cohort analysis of political participation in Britain. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, 29(2), 199-221. https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2018.1476359
  • Grönlund, K. ve Setälä, M. (2007). Political trust, satisfaction and voter turnout. Comparative European Politics, 5(4), 400–422. https://DOI: 10.1057/palgrave.cep.6110113
  • Hardin, R. (2000). “The public trust. pharr.” Disaffected democracies: what’s troubling the trilateral countries? (Der.) Susan J. ve Robert D. Putnam. Princeton University Press. 31-51.
  • Henn, M. ve Foard, N. (2012). Young people, political participation and trust in Britain. Parliamentary Affairs, 65(1): 47-67. https://doi.org/10.1093/pa/gsr046
  • Henn, M. vd. (2018). Postmaterialism and young people's political participation in a time of austerity. The British Journal of Sociology, 69(3), 712-737. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-4446.12309
  • Hibbing, J. ve Theiss-Morse, E. (2002). Stealth democracy: Americans’ beliefs about how government should work. Cambridge University Press.
  • Highton, B. ve Wolfinger, R. E. (2001). The first seven years of the political life cycle. American Journal of Political Science, 45(1), 202-209. DOI: 10.2307/2669367
  • Hirzalla, F. vd. (2011). Internet use and political participation: reflections on the mobilization/normalization controversy. The Information Society: An International Journal, 27(1), 1-15. https://doi.org/10.1080/01972243.2011.534360
  • Hooghe, M. ve Marien, S. (2013). A comparative analysis of the relation between political trust and forms of political participation in Europe. European Societies, 15(1), 131–152. https://doi.org/10.1080/14616696.2012.692807
  • Howe, P. (2010). Citizens adrift: the democratic disengagement of young Canadians. UBC Press.
  • Hooghe, M. ve Dassonneville, R. (2012). Voters and candidates of the future: the intention of electoral participation among adolescents in 22 European Countries. Young, 21(1), 1–28. https://doi.org/10.1177/1103308812467664
  • İnan, M. ve Grasso, M. T. (2017). A participatory generation? the generational and social class bases of political activism in Turkey. Turkish Studies, 18(1), 10–31. https://doi.org/10.1080/14683849.2016.1278167
  • Inglehart, R. ve Norris, P. (2000). The developmental theory of the gender gap: women's and men's voting behavior in global perspective. International Political Science Review, 21(4), 441- 463. https://doi.org/10.1177/0192512100214007
  • Jennings, M. K. ve Niemi, R. D. (1974). Political character of adolescence: the influence of familiesand schools. Princeton University Press.
  • Jennings, M. K. ve Niemi, R. G. (1981). Generations and politics. a panel study of young adults and their parents. Princeton University Press.
  • Jenkins, K. (2005). Gender and civic engagement: secondary analysis of survey data. CIRCLE Working Paper 41. The Center for Information & Research on Civic Learning&Engagement,https://cawp.rutgers.edu/sites/default/files/resources/gendercivicen gagmnt.pdf [erişim: 07.07.2019].
  • Levy, B. L. M ve Akiva, T. (2019). Motivating political participation amongyouth: an analysis of factors related to adolescents' political engagement. Political Psychology, https://doi.org/10.1111/pops.12578
  • Liberini, F. vd. (2017). Happy voters. Journal of Public Economics, 146, 41–57. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2016.11.013
  • Kaase, M. ve Marsh, A. (1979). “Political action: a theoretical perspective.” Political action: mass participation in five Western democracies. (Der.) Samuel H. Barnes ve Max Kaase. Sage Publications. 27-56.
  • Kaymak, E. (2007). Does Cyprus need a truth and reconciliation commission? The Cyprus Review, 19(1): 71-89.
  • Kıbrıs Gazetesi (2017, 18 Şubat). https://www.kibrisgazetesi.com/kibris/hukumete-ve-mecliseguven-azaldi-h12895.html [erişim: 12.04.2020].
  • Kıbrıs Gazetesi (2019, 21 Ekim). https://www.kibrisgazetesi.com/kibris/en-az-guven-duyulankurumlar-meclis-hukumet-ve-siyasi-partiler-2-h75956.html [erişim: 12.04.2020].
  • Kıbrıs Postası (2004, 14 Nisan). https://www.kibrispostasi.com/c35-KIBRIS_HABERLERI/n3001- inonu-meydani-evet-diye-inledi [erişim: 12.04.2020].
  • Kıbrıs Postası (2004, 23 Nisan). https://www.kibrispostasi.com/c35-KIBRIS_HABERLERI/n3104- meydanlar-evet-sesleriyle-inledi [erişim: 12.04.2020].
  • Kıbrıs Postası (2011, 3 Kasım). https://www.kibrispostasi.com/c35-KIBRIS_HABERLERI/n65576- cmirs-arastirma-sonuclari-en-guvenilir-kurum-ordu-en-az-guven-medyaya [erişim: 12.04.2020].
  • Kimberlee, R. H. (2002). Why don’t British young people vote at general elections? Journal of Youth Studies, 5(1), 85-98. https://doi.org/10.1080/13676260120111788
  • KKTC YSK (2000). “KKTC 2000 Cumhurbaşkanlığı Seçim Sonuçları”. http://ysk.mahkemeler.net/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/2000ss.doc [erişim: 11.04.2020].
  • KKTC YSK (2005). “KKTC 2005 Cumhurbaşkanlığı Seçim Sonuçları”. http://ysk.mahkemeler.net/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/ilan1.doc [erişim: 11.04.2020].
  • KKTC YSK (2010). “KKTC 2010 Cumhurbaşkanlığı Seçim Sonuçları”. http://ysk.mahkemeler.net/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/secimsonuc.doc [erişim: 11.04.2020].
  • KKTC YSK (2015). “KKTC 2015 Cumhurbaşkanlığı Seçim Sonuçları”. http://ysk.mahkemeler.net/wpcontent/uploads/2019/05/secim_sonuclarinin_ilani.doc [erişim: 11.04.2020].
  • KKTC YSK (2009). "KKTC 2009 Milletvekilliği Erken Genel Seçim Sonuçları". http://ysk.mahkemeler.net/secim.aspx?skod=31 [erişim: 16.07.2019].
  • KKTC YSK (2018). "7 Ocak 2018 Milletvekilliği Erken Genel Seçimi". http://ysk.mahkemeler.net/secim.aspx?skod=41 [erişim: 16.07.2019].
  • Macedo, S. vd. (2005). Democracy at risk: how political choices undermine citizen participation, and what can be done about it. The Brookings Institution Press.
  • Maggini, N. (2017). Young people's voting behaviour in Europe: a comparative perspective. Palgrave Macmillan.
  • Martinez, L. vd. (2011). Behavioural consequences of regret and disappointment in social bargaining games. Cognition and Emotion, 25(2), 351-59. https://doi.org/10.1080/02699931.2010.485889
  • Makse, T. ve Sokhey, A. E. (2013). The displaying of yard signs as a form of political participation. Political Behavior, 36(1), 189–213. https://doi.org/10.1080/02699931.2010.485889
  • Marien, S. vd. (2010). Inequalities in non-ınstitutionalised forms of political participation: a multilevel analysis of 25 countries. Political Studies, 58(1), 187–213. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9248.2009.00801.x
  • Mayer, J. D. ve Schmidt, H. M. (2004). Gendered political socialization in four contexts: political ınterest and values among junior high school students in China, Japan, Mexico, and the United States. The Social Science Journal, 41, 393–407. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soscij.2004.04.024
  • Mieriņa, I. (2012). The vicious circle. European Societies, 16(4), 615–637. https://doi.org/10.1080/14616696.2012.749414
  • Milbrath, L. W. (1965). Political participation: How and why do people get involved in politics? Rand McNally.
  • Milbrath, L. W. (1981). “Political participation.” The Handbook of Political Behavior. (Der.) Samuel L. Long. Vol. 4, Plenum Press. 197-240.
  • Norris, P. (2002). “Women’s power at the ballot box.” Voter turnout from 1945 to 2000: A global report on political participation. (Der.) Rafael López Pintor ve Maria Gratschew. International IDEA. 95–104.
  • Oinas, E. vd. (2018). (Der) What politics?:youth and political engagement in Africa. Brill. https://doi.org/10.1080/13629387.2018.1547197
  • Onodera, H. vd. (2018). Dynamics of engagement among youth in Arab Mediterranean countries. The Journal of North African Studies, https://doi.org/10.1080/13629387.2018.1547197, [erişim: 22.06.2019].
  • Parvin, P. (2018). Democracy without participation: a new politics for a disengaged era. Res Publica, 24(1), 31-52. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11158-017-9382-1
  • Putnam, R. D. (2000). Bowling alone: the collapse and revival of American community. Simon & Schuster.
  • Rekker, R. vd. (2015). Political attitudes in adolescence and emerging adulthood: developmental changes in mean level, polarization, rank-order stability, and correlates. Journal of Adolescence, 41, 136–147. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.adolescence.2015.03.011
  • Quintelier, E. (2007). Differences in political participation between young and old people. Contemporary Politics, 13(2), 165-180. https://doi.org/10.1080/13569770701562658
  • Rubenson, D. vd. (2004). Accounting for the age gap in turnout. Acta Politica, 39(4), 407–21. https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.ap.5500079
  • Russo, S. ve Stattin, H. (2017). Stability and change in youths' political interest. Social Indicators Research, 132(2), 643-658. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-016-1302-9
  • Sabucedo, J. M. ve Arce, C. (1991). Types of political participation: a multidimensional analysis. European Journal of Political Research, 20(1), 93-102. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475- 6765.1991.tb00257
  • Seyd, B. (2015). Exploring political disappointment. Parliamentary Affairs, 69(2), 327– 347. https://doi.org/10.1093/pa/gsv018
  • Sleat, M. (2013). Hope and disappointment in politics. Contemporary Politics, 19(2), 131-145. https://doi.org/10.1080/13569775.2013.785826
  • Sloam, J. (2016). Diversity and voice: the political participation of young people in the European Union. The British Journal of Politics and International Relations, 18(3), 521-537. https://doi.org/10.1177/1369148116647176
  • Sonan, S. ve faustmann, h. (2018). political clientelism and conflict resolution: the case of Cyprus. Workshop on Political Clientelism in the 21st Century: Theory and Practice. https://ecpr.eu/Filestore/PaperProposal/101a2faa-1a68-4086-8b46-2a4198cea1e1.pdf [erişim: 10.04.2020].
  • Sönmez, Ö. A. (2013). Religiosity and political participation of university students in Turkey. Mediterranean Journal of Social Sciences, 4(10), 403-409. https://doi.org/ 10.36941/mjss
  • Studlar, D. T. vd. (1998). Explaining the gender gap in voting: a cross-national analysis. Social Science Quarterly, 79(4), 779-798.
  • TEPAV (2013). KKTC Devleti fonksiyonel – kurumsal gözden geçirme çalışması. TEPAV Yayınları No: 67. Townsend, J. R. (1969). Political participation in communist China. University of California Press.
  • UNDP (2009). Kıbrıs’ta gençlik: emeller, yaşam tarzları ve yetkilendirme. Kıbrıs İnsan Gelişim Raporu 2009. https://planipolis.iiep.unesco.org/sites/planipolis/files/ressources/cyprushdr2009_summary _tr.pdf [erişim: 09.04.2020].
  • UNFICYP (2007). The UN in Cyprus: An inter-communal survey, The Blue Beret, https://unficyp.unmissions.org/sites/default/files/2007_04_april.pdf [erişim: 09.04.2020].
  • UNICEF (2011). Adolescence: an age of opportunity. https://www.unicef.org/adolescence/files/SOWC_2011_Executive_Summary_EN_011220 11.pdf [erişim: 23.04.2019].
  • Van Deth, J. W. (2014). A conceptual map of political participation. Acta Politica, 49(3), 349–367. https://doi.org/10.1057/ap.2014.6
  • Gregg G. Van Ryzin (2007) Pieces of a puzzle: linking government performance, citizen satisfaction, and trust. Public Performance & Management Review, 30(4), 521- 535, https://doi.org/10.2753/PMR1530-9576300403
  • Verba, S. ve Nie, N. H. (1972). Participation in America. Harper & Row.
  • Verba, S. vd. (1997). Knowing and caring about politics: gender and political engagement. The Journal of Politics, 59(4), 1051–1072. https://doi.org/10.2307/2998592
  • Vissers, S. ve Stolle, D. (2014). The ınternet and new modes of political participation: online versus offline participation. Information, Communication & Society, 17(8), 937-955. https://doi.org 10.1080/1369118X.2013.867356
  • Waller, L. G. (2013). Enhancing political participation in Jamaica: The use of Facebook to “cure” the problem of political talk among the Jamaican youth. SAGE Open, 3(2), 1-9. https://doi.org/10.1177/2158244013486656
  • Ward, G. (2019). Happiness and voting behaviour. World Happines Report 2019, https://s3.amazonaws.com/happiness-report/2019/WHR19_Ch3.pdf [erişim: 11.04.2020].
  • Watts, M. W. (1999). Are there typical age curves in political behavior? the 'age invariance' hypothesis and political socialization. Political Psychology, 20(3), 477-499. https://doi.org/10.1111/0162-895X.00153
  • Yang, K. ve Holzer, M. (2006). The performance-trust link: implications for performance measurement. Public Administration Review, 66(1), 114–126. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6210.2006.00560.x
  • Zeglovits, E. ve Zandonella, M. (2013). Political interest of adolescents before and after lowering the voting age: the case of Austria. Journal of Youth Studies, 16(8), 1084-1104. https://doi.org/10.1080/13676261.2013.793785