TÜRKİYE'NİN İKTİSADİ BÜYÜMESİNDE TURİZM SEKTÖRÜNÜN KATKISI

Bu çalışmada Türkiye'de 1964-2014 dönemi yıllık verilerle, gayri safi yurtiçi hasıla ile ülkeye gelen turist sayısı/turizm gelirleri arasındaki ilişkiler Bayer-Hanck eş-bütünleşme, kısıtsız VAR, Dolado-Lütkepohl VAR analizleri, etki-tepki fonksiyonları ve varyans ayrıştırma analizleri kullanılarak incelenmiştir. Ampirik bulgular uzun dönemde turizm ile ekonomik büyüme arasında eş-bütünleşme ilişkisinin olmadığını, ancak kısa dönemde turizm sektöründen GSYİH'ya doğru tek yönlü, pozitif bir nedenselliğin olduğunu göstermiştir

THE CONTRIBUTION OF THE TOURISM INDUSTRY TO THE TURKEY'S ECONOMIC GROWTH

In this study for the period of 1964-2014, the causality links between the gross domestic product and the number of tourist arrivals/tourism earnings in Turkey have been analyzed by using the Bayer-Hanck cointegration, unrestricted VAR, Dolado-Lütkepohl VAR methods, impulseresponse functions and variance decomposition analysis. Empirical results show that there is no cointegration between tourism sector and economic growth in the long run, however, there is a positive uni-directional causality running from the tourism sector to the GDP in the short run

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