Mali Yerelleşme ve Yerel Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi Üzerine Ampirik Bir Çalışma: Türkiye Örneği

Özet: Bu çalışmada, Türkiye için 1990-2006 yılları arasında yerel düzeyde (iller) mali yerelleşmenin illerin ekonomik büyümesine etkisi panel veri kullanılarak incelenmeye çalışılmıştır. Belirtilen dönemde mali yerelleşmenin il düzeyindeki büyümeye etkinin po- zitif olduğu bulunmuştur. Belirtme katsayısının (R 2) yüksek, ancak katsayıların düşük olması, 1990-2006 yılları arası iller itibariyle mali yerelleşmenin ekonomik büyümeyi olumlu yönde etkilemesine karşın, düzey olarak çok etkilemediğini ortaya konmaktadır. Anahtar Kelimeler: Mali yerelleşme, ekonomik büyüme, panel veri.

An Empirical Study on Fiscal Decentralization and Local Economic Growth: The Case of Turkey

Abstract. This paper provides evidence on the relationship between fiscal decentraliza- tion and local economic growth for Turkey from 1990 to 2006 by using panel data. In the given period, it has been found that the effect of fiscal decentralization on provincial economic growth is positive. Although for the high R-square and positive relation, the degree of the effect of fiscal decentralization to the economic growth at provincial level is limited for the given period.

___

  • Akai, Nobuo - Sakata, Masayo (2002) “Fiscal Decentralization Contributes to Economic Growth: Evidence from State-Level Cross-Section Data for the United States”, Journal of Urban Economics (52), s. 93-94.
  • Bahl, Roy - Nath, Shyam (1986), “Public Expenditure Decentralization in Developing Countries”, Government and Policy, 4, s. 405-418.
  • Baltagi, Badi H. (1995), Econometric Analysis of Panel Data, New York: Wiley.
  • Bird, R. M. - Ebel, R. D. - Wallich, C. I. (Ed). (1998), Decentralization of the Socialist State, Washington D.C.: World Bank.
  • Breitung, J. - W. Meyer (1994), Testing for Unit Roots in Panel Data: Are Wages on Different Bargaining Levels Cointegrated? Applied Eco- nomics, 26, 353-361.
  • De Mello, Luiz R (2000), “Can Fiscal Decentralization Strengthen Social Capital?”, IMF Working Paper, No. 00/129, s. 5-8.
  • Davoodi, Hamid - Zou, Heng-fu (1998), “Fiscal decentralization and economic growth: a cross-country study”, Journal of Urban Economics, 43, s. 244–257.
  • Drukker, David M. (2003), “Testing for serial correlation in linear panel-data models”, Stata Journal 3, s. 168–177. Ayrıca bkz. http://www.stata.com/support/faqs/stat/panel.html
  • Ebel, Robert - Yılmaz, Serdar (2002), “On the Measurement and Impact of Fiscal Decentralization”, Policy Research Working Paper, No: 2809, The World Bank, Washington D.C.
  • Granger, Clieve - Newbold, Paul (1974), “Spurious regressions in econometrics”, Journal of Econometrics, 2 (2), s. 111-120.
  • Green, William H. (2008), Econometric Analysis, Macmillan Publishing Company, New York, s. 458-462.
  • Gujarati, Damodar N. (1995), Basic Econometrics, 3. Baskı, MC-Graw-Hill, USA.
  • Güner, Ayşe (2005), “Mali Özerklik Çerçevesinde Yerel Yönetimlerin Gelirleri Üzerine Bir Değerlendirme”, içinde: Türkiye’de Yeniden Mali Yapılanma, 20. Türkiye Maliye Sempozyumu, 23-27 Mayıs 2005 Karahayıt-Pamukkale, s.220-229.
  • Hadri, Kaddour (2000), "Testing for stationarity in heterogeneous panel data," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, Vol. 3(2), s. 148-161.
  • Hausman, Jerry (1979), “Specification Tests in Econometrics.” Econometrica, 46, No. 6, s. 1251–1271.
  • Hausman, Jerry - William, E. Taylor (1981), “Panel Data and Unobservable Individual Effects” Econometrica, 49, No. 6, s. 1377 - 1397.
  • Hsiao, Ceng (1986), “Analysis of Panel Data”, Econometric Society monographs No. 11’den Aktaran M.Vedat Pazarlıoğlu ve Özlem Kiren Gürler, “Telekomünikasyon Yatırımları ve Ekonomik Büyüme: Panel Veri Yaklaşımı”, Finans Politik & Ekonomik Yorumlar, Cilt: 44 Sayı: 508, 2007, s. 37.
  • Iimi, Atsushi (2005), “Decentralization and Economic Growth Revisited: An Empirical Note”, Journal of Urban Economics, 57, s. 449-461.
  • Im K.S, Pesaran M.H, - Shin Y (2003) ”Testing for Unit Roots in Heterogeneous Panels”, Journal of Econometrics 115 (revise version of 1997’s work), s. 53-74
  • Jin, Jing - Zou, Heng-fu (2005), “Fiscal Decentralization, Revenue and Expenditure Assignments, and Growth in China”, Journal of Asian Economics, 16, s. 1047-1064.
  • Levin, A. - Lin, C.F. (1992), ìUnit Root Test in Panel Data: Asymptotic and Finite Sample Propertiesî, University of California at San Diego, Discussion Paper, s. 92- 93.
  • Levin, A. - Lin, C.F. (1993), ìUnit Root Test in Panel Data: New Resultsî, University of California at San Diego, Discussion Paper, s. 93-56.
  • Lin, Justin Yifu - Liu, Zhiqiang (2000), “Fiscal Decentralization and Economic Growth in China”, Economic Development and Cultural Change (49) 1, s. 1 - 21.
  • Maddala G.S and Shaowen Wu (1999), “A comparative study of unit root tests with panel data and new simple test”, Oxford Bullertin of Economics and Statistics, Speccial issue, s. 631-652.
  • Musgrave, Richard A. (1959), The Theory of Public Finance, McGraw Hill, New York.
  • Neyaptı, Bilin (2005), “Fiscal Decentralization and Socio-Economic Outcomes in Turkey: An Empirical Investigation”, Metu Studies in Development, 32, s. 433-465.
  • Oates, Wallace (1999), “An Essay on Fiscal Federalism”, Journal of Economic Literature, 37, No. 3, s.1123-1124.
  • Pazarlıoğlu, Vedat - Gürler Özlem K. (2007), “Telekomünikasyon Yatırımları ve Ekonomik Büyüme: Panel Veri Yaklaşımı”, 8. Türkiye Ekonometri ve İstatistik Kongresi, Malatya: İnönü Üniversitesi, 24-25 Mayıs: 4-5.
  • Quah, D. (1994). Exploiting Cross-Section Variations for Unit Root Inference in Dynamic Panels. Economics Letters 44, s. 9-19.
  • Sağbaş, İsa - Kar, Muhsin - Şen, Hüseyin (2005), “Fiscal decentralization, the Size of Public Sector and Economic Growth in Turkey”, Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy, 23(1), s.3-19.
  • Saraçoğlu, Bedriye - Doğan, Nükhet (2005), “Avrupa Birliği ve Avrupa Birliği’ne aday ülkelerin yakınsama analizi”, VII. Ulusal Ekonometri ve İstatistik Sempozyumu, 26- 27 Mayıs 2005, İstanbul. http://www.ekonometridernegi.org/bildiriler/o10s1.pdf , (12 Nisan 2009).
  • Stansel, Dean (2005), “Local Decentralization and Economic Growth: A CrossSectional Examination of US Metropolitan Areas”, Journal of Urban Economics, 57, s.55-72.
  • Sunal, Seçkin - Aykaç, Elçin (2005), “Türk İmalat Sanayinde İstihdam, İhracat ve Kapasite Kullanım Oranı İlişkisi: Panel Koentegrasyon”, http://www.ekonometridernegi.org/bildiriler/o4s2.pdf, (14 Nisan 2009).
  • Tarı, Recep (1999), Ekonometri, Alfa Basım Yayın, İstanbul.
  • Thiessen, Ulrich (2001), “Fiscal Decentralization and Economic Growth in HighIncome OECD Countries”, Economics Working Papers 001. European Network of Economic Policy Research Institutes, http://www.ciaonet.org/wps/thu01/thu01.pdf (10.08.2007)
  • Tosun, Serkan - Yilmaz, Serdar (2008), “Decentralization, Economic Development, and Growth in Turkish Provinces”, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 4725, http://www-wds.worldbank.org/servlet/ WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2008/09/24/000158349_20080924104342/Rendered/PDF/WPS4725. pdf (13.01.2009).
  • Tanzi, Vito (1996), “Fiscal Federalism and Decentralization: A Review of Some Efficiency and Macroeconomic Aspects”, Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics, The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development,http://www.mef.gob.pe/contenidos/pol_econ/documentos/Fiscal_Federalism_Decent ralization.pdf (20.03.2007).
  • Wooldridge, J. M. (2002), Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, s. 282-283.
  • Xie, Danyang - Zou, Heng-fu - Davoodi, Hamid (1999), “Fiscal Decentralization and Economic Growth in the United States”, Journal of Urban Economics, 45, s. 228 - 239.
  • Zhang, Tao - Zou, Heng-fu (1998), “Fiscal Decentralization, Public Spending, and Economic Growth in China”, Journal of Public Economics, 67, s. 221 - 240.