Veriye Dayalı bir Politika Tasarım Modeli Önerisi: Türkiye’de Yenilenebilir Enerji Teknolojilerinin Yayılmasının Niteliksel Analizi

Sürdürülebilir enerji üretimini sağlamak için, hızla artan enerji talebini çevre dostu teknolojilerle karşılamak bir çözüm önerisidir. Bu önerinin hayata geçmesi ise, söz konusu teknolojilerin yaygın kullanımına bağlıdır. Yayılmanın kolaylaşması için politikalarla desteklenmesini öneren çalışmamızın temel amacı, yenilenebilir enerji teknolojilerinin yaygınlaştırılması için bir politika tasarım modeli geliştirmektir. Bu amaçla alan araştırmasında, piyasa henüz oluşmaya başladığı dönemde Türkiye örneğinde, yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklarından rüzgâr ve güneş enerjisine dayalı elektrik üretim teknolojilerinin yayılma süreci incelenmiş ve bu süreç hakkında veri toplanmıştır. Veri analiz birimi, bu konuda çalışan uzmanların fikirleri, bakış açıları ve algıları olarak ele alınmıştır. Veri kaynağı, Türkiye’de özel sektör ve/ya özel sektör dışında yenilenebilir enerji sektöründe üretim, denetim, danışma veya tedarik faaliyetlerini yürüten uzmanlarla yapılan yarı yapılandırılmış mülakatlardır. Ampirik analiz sonucunda; politika amacı, politika aracı ve politika hedefi olmak üzere üç ayak üstüne oturan bir politika tasarım modeli geliştirilmiştir. Bu modelle, alan araştırmasında saptanan politika sorunlarından “artan ithalata bağımlılık” ve “yönetişimde aksaklıklar” sorunlarını çözmek için mikro, mezo ve makro düzeyde politika önerileri tasarlanmıştır. Çalışmamızın özgünlüğü, söz konusu teknolojilerin Türkiye’de henüz yaygın kullanılmaya yeni başladığı 2014-2016 döneminde yapıldığı için sektörün oluşumuna dair başlangıç aşamasında yapılan öncü çalışmalardan biri olmasıdır. Yazına, veriye dayalı bir politika tasarım modeli geliştirerek metodolojik ve politika öneriler tasarlayarak ampirik katkılar yapmıştır.

An Evidence-based Policy Design Model Proposal: Qualitative Analysis of Renewable Energy Diffusion in Turkiye

Meeting rapidly increasing energy demand with environmental-friendly technologies is a promising solution for sustainable energy production, which is possible with technology diffusion. Therefore, the main aim of this study is to propose a model to design policies that support the diffusion of wind and solar electricity generation technologies in Turkiye. The units of analysis that create and shape the diffusion process are accepted as the opinions, perspectives, and perceptions; hence, data is collected with a qualitative method. To reach different perspectives; semi-structured interviews were held with experts who carry out production, regulation, consultation, and (equipment) supply in the private and/or non-private sectors in renewable energy. As a result of the data analysis, a policy design model is developed that sits on three pillars: policy aim, policy tool, and policy target. With this model, to solve two main policy problems, “increasing import dependency” and “governance problem”; policy recommendations are developed at the micro, meso, and macro levels. Our study is one of the pioneering studies on the development of the sector, as it was carried out in the period of 2014-2016, when these technologies just began to diffuse. There are methodological contributions through developing a data-based policy design model and empirical contributions through policy recommendations.

___

  • Abbas, M., Zhang, Y., Koura, Y. H., Su, Y., & Iqbal, W. (2022). The dynamics of renewable energy diffusion considering adoption delay. Sustainable Production and Consumption, 30, 387–395. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spc.2021.12.012
  • Alboyaci, B., & Dursun, B. (2008). Electricity restructuring in Turkey and the share of wind energy production. Renewable Energy, 33(11), 2499–2505. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.RENENE.2008.02.008
  • Aras, H. (2003). Wind energy status and its assessment in Turkey. Renewable Energy, 28(14), 2213–2220. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0960-1481(03)00130-7
  • Balat, H. (2008). Contribution of green energy sources to electrical power production of Turkey: A review. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 12(6), 1652–1666. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.RSER.2007.03.001
  • Baris, K., & Kucukali, S. (2012). Availibility of renewable energy sources in Turkey: Current situation, potential, government policies and the EU perspective. Energy Policy, 42, 377–391. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.ENPOL.2011.12.002
  • Beeck, N. Van. (1999). Classification of Energy Models. May. https://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/document?repid=rep1&type=pdf&doi=6769671f4db43bc0edfcf74acb58f1d27dac74e7
  • Bryman, A. (2008). Social Research Methods (3rd ed.). Oxford University Press.
  • Çanka Kiliç, F., & Kaya, D. (2007). Energy production, consumption, policies, and recent developments in Turkey. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 11(6), 1312–1320. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.RSER.2005.09.001
  • Celiktas, M. S., Sevgili, T., & Kocar, G. (2009). A snapshot of renewable energy research in Turkey. Renewable Energy, 34(6), 1479–1486. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2008.10.021
  • Corbin, J., & Strauss, A. (2008). Basics of qualitative research (3rd Editio). Sage Publications.
  • Cormio, C., Dicorato, M., Minoia, A., & Trovato, M. (2003). A regional energy planning methodology including renewable energy sources and environmental constraints. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 7(2), 99–130. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1364-0321(03)00004-2
  • Demirbas, A., & Bakiş, R. (2004). Energy from renewable sources in Turkey: Status and future direction. Energy Sources, 26(5), 473–484. https://doi.org/10.1080/00908310490429759
  • Demirdizen, H. G. (2013). Market development of renewable energy in Turkey (Issue January) [Middle East Technical University]. file:///C:/Users/LENOVO/Dropbox/My PC (YELDA01)/Downloads/index (4).pdf
  • Dewald, U., & Truffer, B. (2012). The Local Sources of Market Formation: Explaining Regional Growth Differentials in German Photovoltaic Markets. European Planning Studies, 20(3), 397–420. https://doi.org/10.1080/09654313.2012.651803
  • Erdem, Z. B. (2010). The contribution of renewable resources in meeting Turkey’s energy-related challenges. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 14(9), 2710–2722. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2010.07.003
  • Erden-Topal, Y. (2016). A Policy Design Model for Market Formation of Solar and Wind Electricity Generation in Turkey (Issue January). Middle East Technical University.
  • Flyvbjerg, B. (2006). Five Misunderstandings About Case-Study Research. Qualitative Inquiry, 12(2), 219–245. https://doi.org/10.1177/1077800405284363
  • Geroski, P. A. (2000). Models of technology diffusion. Research Policy, 29(4–5), 603–625. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0048-7333(99)00092-X
  • Grubb, M., Edmonds, J., Brink, P., & Morrison, M. (1993). Fossil-Fuel C02 Emissions : 397–478.
  • Guba, E. G. (1990). The Alternative Paradigm Dialog. In The Paradigm Dialog (pp. 17–27). Sage Publications.
  • Guba, E., & Lincoln, Y. (1994). Competing paradigms in qualitative research. In N. K. ;Y. S. L. Denzin (Ed.), Handbook of qualitative research (pp. 105–117). Sage Publications.
  • Güler, Ö. (2009). Wind energy status in electrical energy production of Turkey. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 13(2), 473–478. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.RSER.2007.03.015
  • Haque, N. (2022). Planning for clean technology diffusion: Identifying innovation system functions in country technology action plans. Energy Research and Social Science, 90(April), 102595. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2022.102595
  • Hepbasli, A., & Ozgener, O. (2004). A review on the development of wind energy in Turkey. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 8(3), 257–276. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2003.10.006
  • Herbst, A., Toro, F., Reitze, F., & Jochem, E. (2012). Introduction to Energy Systems Modelling_Herbst_2012.pdf. Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, 148(2), 111–135.
  • Hiremath, R. B., Shikha, S., & Ravindranath, N. H. (2007). Decentralized energy planning; modeling and application-a review. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 11(5), 729–752. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2005.07.005
  • IGI-Global Dictionary - Technology Diffusion. (n.d.). https://www.igi-global.com/dictionary/technology-diffusion/29505
  • Jacobsson, S., & Bergek, A. (2011). Innovation system analyses and sustainability transitions: Contributions and suggestions for research. Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, 1(1), 41–57. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eist.2011.04.006
  • Jacobsson, S., & Johnson, A. (2000). The diffusion of renewable energy technology: An analytical framework and key issues for research. Energy Policy, 28(9), 625–640. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0301-4215(00)00041-0
  • James, N. (2008). Authenticity. In L. M. Given (Ed.), The Sage Encyclopedia of Qualitative Research Methods. Sage Publications.
  • Jebaraj, S., & Iniyan, S. (2006). A review of energy models. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 10(4), 281–311. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2004.09.004
  • Kat, B. (2011). Mathematical Modeling for Energy Policy Analysis (Issue September) [Middle East Technical University]. http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/12613762/index.pdf
  • Kaya, D. (2006). Renewable energy policies in Turkey. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 10(2), 152–163. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.RSER.2004.08.001
  • Kaygusuz, K. (2002). Renewable and sustainable energy use in Turkey: A review. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 6(4), 339–366. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1364-0321(01)00007-7
  • Kaygusuz, K. (2009). Energy and environmental issues relating to greenhouse gas emissions for sustainable development in Turkey. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 13(1), 253–270. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2007.07.009
  • Kaygusuz, K. (2010). Sustainable energy, environmental and agricultural policies in Turkey. Energy Conversion and Management, 51(5), 1075–1084. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enconman.2009.12.012
  • Keleş, S., & Bilgen, S. (2012). Renewable energy sources in Turkey for climate change mitigation and energy sustainability. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 16(7), 5199–5206. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2012.05.026
  • Kemp, R. (2011). Ten themes for eco-innovation policies in Europe. S.a.P.I.En.S, 2011(Vol.4 / n°2), 1–20. k:%5CX%5CLiteratur%5C_Lit InnoTRANS%5CMutterdatenbank_Citavi5%5CMutterdatenbank%5CCitavi Attachments%5CGaëll Mainguy, René Kemp - Ten themes for eco-innovation policies.pdf
  • Kulaç, O., & Ciğeroğlu Öztepe, M. (2020). AvruBi̇rli̇ğiEtki̇si̇ndeTürki̇yeNiYeni̇lenebi̇li̇rEnerjiPoli̇ti̇kasi. Süleyman Demirel Üniversitesi Vizyoner Dergisi, 886–897. https://doi.org/10.21076/vizyoner.693835
  • Maxwell, J. A. (2013). Qualitative research design: an interactive approach. Sage Publications.
  • McCracken, G. (1988). The Long Interview. Sage Publications.
  • Mougouei, F. R., & Mortazavi, M. S. (2017). Effective approaches to energy planning and classification of energy systems models. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 7(2), 127–131.
  • Mowery, D. (1995). The Practice of Technology Policy. In P. Stoneman (Ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Innovation and Technological Change. Blackwell.
  • Murat Sirin, S., & Ege, A. (2012). Overcoming problems in Turkey’s renewable energy policy: How can EU contribute? Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 16(7), 4917–4926. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.RSER.2012.03.067
  • Ozgur, M. A. (2008). Review of Turkey’s renewable energy potential. Renewable Energy, 33(11), 2345–2356. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.RENENE.2008.02.003
  • Patton, M. Q. (2002). Qualitative Research & Evaluation Methods (3rd Editio). Sage Publications.
  • Prasad, R. D., Bansal, R. C., & Raturi, A. (2014). Multi-faceted energy planning: A review. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 38, 686–699. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2014.07.021
  • Rao, K. U., & Kishore, V. V. N. (2010). A review of technology diffusion models with special reference to renewable energy technologies. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 14(3), 1070–1078. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2009.11.007
  • Şekercioǧlu, S., & Yilmaz, M. (2012). Renewable energy perspectives in the frame of Turkey’s and the EU’s energy policies. Energy Conversion and Management, 63, 233–238. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.ENCONMAN.2012.01.039
  • SELÇUK, I. Ş. (2010). Küresel Isınma, Türkiye’nin Enerji Güvenliği ve Geleceğe Yönelik Enerji Politikaları. ANKARA BAROSU YAYINLARI. http://www.kibritcioglu.com/iktisat/Isil_Sirin_Selcuk_2010.pdf
  • Smith, K. (2000). Innova tion a s a Sys temic Phenomenon : Rethinking. Enterprise & Innova Tion Mana Gement Studies, 1(1), 73–103.
  • Soyhan, H. S. (2009). Sustainable energy production and consumption in Turkey: A review. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 13(6–7), 1350–1360. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2008.09.002
  • Thery, R., & Zarate, P. (2009). Energy planning: A multi-level and multicriteria decision making structure proposal. Central European Journal of Operations Research, 17(3), 265–274. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10100-009-0091-5
  • Toklu, E., Güney, M. S., Işik, M., Comakli, O., & Kaygusuz, K. (2010). Energy production, consumption, policies and recent developments in Turkey. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 14(4), 1172–1186. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2009.12.006
  • Tunç, M., Çamdali, Ü., & Parmaksizoglu, C. (2006). Comparison of Turkey’s electrical energy consumption and production with some European countries and optimization of future electrical power supply investments in Turkey. Energy Policy, 34(1), 50–59. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.ENPOL.2004.04.027
Selçuk Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi-Cover
  • ISSN: 1302-1796
  • Yayın Aralığı: Yılda 3 Sayı
  • Başlangıç: 1992
  • Yayıncı: Melikşah Aydın