Sabit sermaye mallarının yurt içi ölçek etkisi ve 2000 yılı sonrası Türkiye örneği

Sabit sermaye malları GSYİH’nin oluşum süreci içerisinde önemli bir role ve etkiye sahiptir ve ülkeler istenilen ekonomik büyümeyi yakalamak amacıyla genellikle artan sabit sermaye talepleriyle daha çok sabit sermaye mallarına ihtiyaç duymaktadır. Bu ülkeler için söz konusu bu malların ölçek etkisi ölçülen değerler kapsamında değişik parametrik değerler ortaya koymaktadır. 2000 yılı sonrası dönemde Türkiye’deki sabit sermaye mallarının ölçek etkileri ampirik bir çerçevede ele alınmış ve saptanan bulgular yorumlanmıştır. Kamu sektörü ve özel sektör tarafından talep edilen sabit sermaye malları saptanan küçük etki ölçeklerine rağmen ifade ettikleri parametrik değerlerle GSYİH ile doğrudan ilişkili pazar dinamiklerini de yönlendirebilmektedir.

The criteria effects of fixed capital properties for domestic formation and The case of Turkey after 2000

The real (or fixed) capital properties have fairly important effects in the forming process of GDP and countries aim to catch the desired economic growth generally need more investment of fixed capital properties increasing the demand of reel properties. The criteria effects of these properties create different parametric values in the measured criteria for these countries. The criteria effects of reel properties in Turkey were taken up in the empirical frame work and they were interpreted in the last period after 2000. The demanded fixed capital properties for private and public sector connected with the parametric values that are in spite of their effects have been determined the small criterion effects can also manipulate the market dynamics that directly related to GDP.

___

Altar, M., Necula C. ve Bobeica, G. (2010), “Estimating Potential GDP for the Romanian Economy an Eclectic Approach”, Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting, 3(1), 5-25.

Arby, M.F. ve Batool, I. (2007), “Estimating Quarterly Gross Fixed Capital Formation”, Munich Personel RePEc Archive, SBP (State Bank of Pakistan) Working Paper Series, No:17, June, 1-16.

Bebczuk, R.N. ve Berrettoni, N.D. (2006), Explaining Export Diversification:An Empirical Analysis. Argentina: Department of Economics, Universidad Nacional de La Plata, Final Version January-2006.

Brand, C., Reimers, H.E. ve Seitz, F. (2003), Forecasting Real GDP: What Role for Norrow Money. Frankfurt: European Central Bank-September 2003, Working Paper No. 254.

Carliner, M. (2001), “Housing and GDP”, Housing Economics, October, 7-9.

Cheng, M.Y. (2003), “Economic Fluctuations and Growth: An Emprical Study of the Malaysian Economy”, The Journal of Business in Developing Nations, 7(1), 51-73.

Contessi, S., Pierangelo, D.P. ve Francis, J.L. (2010), The Cyclical Properties of Disaggregated Capital Flows. Research Division-Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper Series:2008-041C, July 2010.

Davidson, R. ve MacKinnon, J.G. (1993), Estimation and Inference in Econometrics,Oxford University Press.

DİE (Devlet İstatistik Enstitüsü), Türkiye Ekonomisi İstatistik ve Yorumlar, Şubat- Mart 2003.

DPT (Devlet Planlama Teşkilatı), Ekonomik Gelişmeler, Temmuz 2001-2003-2005- 2008-2010.

DPT (Devlet Planlama Teşkilatı), Ekonomik Gelişmeler, Aralık 2001-2003-2005- 2008-2010.

DPT (Devlet Planlama Teşkilatı), Sekizinci Beş Yıllık Kalkınma Planı Sanayi Politikaları Özel İhtisas Komisyonu Raporu, Ankara: 2000.

ECLAC (Economic Commision for Latin America and the Carabbiean), Domestic Performans Chapter III, Preliminary Overview of the Economies of Latin America and the Caribbean 2008.

Edizdoğan, N. (2008), Kamu Maliyesi, 10. Baskı, Bursa: Ekin Kitabevi.

Ege, İ. ve Saraç, T.H. (2011), “The Relation Ship Between Insurance Sector and Economic Growth: An Econometric Analysis”, Journal of Economics Resarch, 2(2), 1-9.

European Research Area (2009), European Policy Brief, Belgium: Socio-Economic Sciences and Humanities Research, December, 1-8.

Fedderke, J. (2004), “Investment in Fixed Capital Stock: Testing for the Impact of Sectoral and Systemic Uncertainty”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 66(2), 165-187.

Gelos, R.G. ve Isgut, A. (2001), “Irreversibilities in Fixed Capital Adjustment: Evidence From Mexican and Colombian Plants”, Economics Letters, 74(1), 85-89.

Ghali, K.H. ve Al-Mutawa, A. (1999), “The Intertemporal Causal Dynamics Between Fixed Capital Formation and Economic Growth in the Group-Of-Seven Countries”, International Economic Journal, 13(2), 31-37.

Goldar, B. ve Kumari, A. 2002, Import Liberalization and Productivity Growth in Indian Manufacturing Industries in The 1990’s, Working Paper No: E /219/2002, New Delhi: University of Delhi Enclave Institute of Economic Growth.

Hansen, B.E. (1992), “Testing for Parameter Instability in Linear Models”, Journal of Policy Modeling, 14(1), 517-533.

Hazman, G.G. (2010), “Türkiye’deki Mali Nitelikteki Teşviklerin Doğrudan Yabancı Sermaye Üzerindeki Etkisi: Toda-Yamamato Nedensellik Analizi Çerçevesinde Değerlendirme”, Maliye Dergisi, Sayı:158, Ocak-Haziran 2010, 262-277.

Herzer, D. ve Schrooten, M. (2008), “Outward FDI and Domestic Investment in Two Industrialezed Countries”, Economics Letters, 99 (1), 139-143.

Johansen, S. (1991), “Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models”, Econometrica, 59, 1551-1581.

Johansen, S. (1995), Likelihood-Based İnference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models, Oxford University Press.

Johensen, S. (1998), “Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors”, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12, 1551-1581.

Kaitila, V. (2008), Convergence of Real GDP Per Capita in The Eu15-How Do The Accessıon Countrıes Fıt In? Working Paper No.25, Brussels: ENEPRI-European Network Of Economic Poliıcy Research Institutes-January 2004.

Kerekes, C.B. ve Williamson, C.R. (2008), “Unveiling de Soto’s Mistery: Property Rights, Capital Formation, and Development”, Journal Institutional Economics, 4(3), 299-325.

Macartney, G. (2007), Investment in Innovation and Fixed Assets: The Effect US Tax Reforms that Reduced the Relative Price of Equity to Dept, London: University College London Institute for Fiscal Studies and AIM - April 2007.

Mileva, E. (2008), The Impact of Capıtal Flows on Domestıc Investment in Transition Economies, Working Paper Series No.871-February 2008, Frankfurt: ECB-European Central Bank.

SIG (Minisrty of Finance and Treasury of Solomon Island Government) (2008), StatisticalBulletin: 16/2008, Gross Domestic Product 2003-2006. Huniara: Islands National Statistics Office 2008.

Stiglitz, J.E. (2000), Economics of the Public Sector, 3rd. ed., New York: W.W. Norton & Co. Ltd.

Tanzi, V. (1993), “Financial Markets and Public Finance in Transformation Process”, in Vito Tanzi (ed.), Transition to Market: Studies in Fiscal Reform, Washington DC: International Monetary Fund, 1-30.

United Nations (UN) (2009), United Nations Trade and Development Report 2009, Responding to the Global Crisis Climate Change Mitigation and Development,UNCTAD/TDR/2009, Sales No: E.09.II.D.16, New York and Geneva 2009.

United Nations (UN) (2010), United Nations Trade and Development Report 2010. Employment, Globalization and Development, UNCTAD/TDR/2010, Sales No:E.10.II.D.3, New York and Geneva 2010.

US Bureau of Census (2001), “Value of Construction Put in Palace”, Current Construction Reports, Issued: C30/00-5, July, 2000, 1-3.

US BLS-US Bureau of Labor Statistics (2009), International Comparisons of GDP Per Capita and Per Employed Person: 17 Countries 1960-2008, July 28, 2009,

Washington DC:US Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Wasshausen, D. ve Moulton, B.R. (2006), “The Role of Hedonic Methods in Measuring Real GDP in the United States”, Eurostat 31st. CEIES Seminar: Are We Measuring Productivity Correctly? Washington DC: Bureau of Economic Analysis US Department of Commerce, 97-112.