Su Kaynakları Yönetimi İçin Bir Öneri: Sistem Dinamiği

Su kaynakları yönetiminin planlanması, gelecek nesillerine sağlıklı ve yeterli su bırakabilmesi için önem arz etmektedir. Bu çalışmanın amacı su kaynakları yönetiminde etkin bir politika tasarlamada kullanılabilecek bir yöntem olarak sistem dinamiğinin açıklanmasıdır. Sistem dinamiği; dinamik düşünce ve neden-sonuç düşüncesi gibi birçok önemli düşünce becerisini kullanan disiplinler arası bir problem çözme yoludur. Sistem dinamiği, karmaşık ve etkileşimli konular hakkında anlaşılabilirliği sağlayan çok yönlü bakış açısını birleştirerek öğrenmeyi hızlandırabilen, disipline edilmiş işbirlikçi bir yaklaşımdır

A Suggestion For Water Resources Management: System Dynamics

The planning of water resources management is important in order to leave healthy and sufficient water for future generations. The purpose of this study is to explain the system dynamics as a method that can be used to design an effective policy in water resources management. System dynamics is an interdisciplinary problemsolving methodology that utilizes several significant thinking skills such as dynamic thinking and cause-and-effect thinking. System dynamics is a disciplined collaborative approach that could accelerate learning by combining a multifaceted perspective that provides insight into complex and interactive issues

___

  • ABDELBARI Hassan - ELSAWAH Sondoss - SHAFI Kamran (2015). “Model Learning Using Genetic Programming Under Full And Partial System Information Conditions”, 33rd International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA.
  • AKIN Mutluhan, AKIN Galip, (2007). “Suyun Önemi, Türkiye’de Su Potansiyeli, Su Havzaları Ve Su Kirliliği”, Ankara Üniversitesi Dil Ve Tarih-Coğrafya Fakültesi Dergisi 47, 2, 105-118.
  • ATALIK, Ahmet. (2006). “Küresel ısınmanın su kaynakları ve tarım üzerine etkileri”. Bilim ve Ütopya, 139: 18-21.
  • AYANOĞLU M., GÖKÇE M. (2007). “Sistem Düşüncesinden Sistem Dinamiklerine”, Makine Teknolojileri Elektronik Dergisi, (3) 29-41. BARLAS
  • Yaman (2005a). Dinamik Sistem Yaklaşımı: Modeller, Kurumsal Öğrenme Ve Sorun Çözme – I. Endüstri Ve Otomasyon Dergisi (94).
  • BARLAS Yaman (2005b). Dinamik Sistem Yaklaşımı: Modeller, Kurumsal Öğrenme Ve Sorun Çözme - II. Endüstri Ve Otomasyon Dergisi(95).
  • BAŞKAYA Zehra (1997). Sistem Dinamiğinin İşletmelerde Uygulanması, Ekin Kitabevi Yayınları, Bursa.
  • CAMPUZANO, F. - MULA, J. (2011). Supply Chain Simulation, London: SpringerVerlag.
  • CHU, Jianxun, (2015). “What are the Water Resources Scenarios in future? SD-based Water Resource Carrying Capacity Modeling in China”, 33rd International Conference of the System Dynamics Society* Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA.
  • COYLE Roger G. (1996). Systems Dynamics Modeling, Chapman & Hall, London. DAĞLI, Himmet. (2005). “İçme suyu kalitesi ve insan sağlığına etkileri” Bizim İller. İller Bankası Aylık Yayın Organı. Sayı 3: 16-21.
  • D'HONT Floortje, HOLMES Jai Clifford, SLINGER Jill, (2013). “Addressing Stakeholder Conflicts İn Rural South Africa Using A Water Supply Model”, The 31st International Conference of the System Dynamics Society Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA.
  • ERKUT Haluk (1983). Sistem Dinamiğinin Temelleri, İTÜ Fen Edebiyat Fakültesi Ofset Atölyesi, İstanbul.
  • ERKUT Haluk (1995). Sistem Yönetimi Yönetim Bilimleri Dizisi: 4, İrfan Yayınları, İstanbul.
  • FORD A. (1999). Modeling the Environment: An Introduction to SystemDynamics Modeling of Environmental Systems, Island Press: Washington, DC.
  • FORRESTER Jay Wright (1969). Urban Dynamics, Cambridge, The MIT Press, MA, USA.
  • FORRESTER Jay Wright (1962). Industrial Dynamics, Waltham, MA: Pegasus Communications.
  • FORRESTER Jay Wright (1995). Road Map 1: Counterintuitive Behaviour Of Social Systems.MIT System Dynamics In Education Project.
  • FORRESTER Jay Wright (2007a). “System Dynamics: A Personal View Of The First Fifty Years”, System Dynamics Review Vol 23, 345–358.
  • GÜNER Ebru (2003). Su Havzaları Ve Planlama İlişkisi, İstanbul Teknik Üniversitesi Yüksek Lisans Tezi, İstanbul.
  • HAVILAND, William.A. (2002). Kültürel Antropoloji (Çev: Hüsamettin İnaç, Seda Çiftçi). No: 143. Sosyoloji Serisi: 3. İstanbul: Kaktüs Yayınları.
  • HERRERA Hugo (2014). “Integrating System Dynamics With Traditional Management Tools: A Case Study In The Apparel Industry”, 32nd International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, Delft, Netherlands.
  • HESAN Reza– GHORBANI Amineh–DIGNUM Virginia (2014). “Using Diference Equation to Model Discrete-time Behavior in System Dynamics Modeling”, 32nd International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, Delft, Netherlands.
  • KIRKWOOD Craig W. (1998). System Dynamics Methods: A Quick Introduction, College Of Business Arizona State University.
  • HOLMES Jai K Clifford, SLINGER Jill H, MUSANGO Josephine K, BRENT Alan C, PALMER Carolyn G, (2014). “Using System Dynamics to Explore the Water Supply and Demand Dilemmas of a Small South African Municipality”, 32nd International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, Delft, the Netherlands.
  • LANE David J. – STERMAN John D. (2011). Profiles in Operations Research: Jay Wright Forrester, Chapter 20 in Profiles in Operations Research: Pioners and Innovators. S. Gass and A. Assad, New York, Springer: 363-386. http://jsterman.scripts.mit.edu/docs/Lane2011%20Profiles%20in%20Operations% 20Research.pdf
  • LIBBY Bradd, CHRISTIANSEN Alexander (2016). An Assessment of the Coupled Hydrology and Management of Northern Thailand’s Water Resources in Extreme Climate Conditions, Paper for the 34th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, Delft, Netherlands (July 2016)
  • MAANI Kambiz E. – CAVANA Robert Y. (2007). Systems Thinking AndModelling Understanding Change and Complexity, Pearson Education, NewZealand.
  • MARTIN, L. A. (1997a). Road Map 2: The First Step. MIT System Dynamics in Education Project. http://sysdyn.clexchange.org/sdep/Roadmaps/RM2/D- 4694.pdf
  • MORECROFT John (2015). Strategic Modelling And Business Dynamics: A Feedback Systems Approach, John Wiley & Sons, Chichester, England.
  • MORECROFT, J.D.W., STERMAN, J.D. (1994). Modelling For Learning Organizations, Productivity Press, Portland, OR.
  • ÖĞÜT Kaan - ŞAHİN Serçin (2012). “ Türkiye’de Finansal İstikrar Sorununa Sistem Dinamiği Yaklaşımı”, Türkiye Ekonomi Kurumu.
  • ÖZBAYRAK Mustafa, PAPADOPOULOU Theopisti C., AKGUN Melek (2007).
  • System Dynamics Modelling of A Manufacturing Supply Chain System, Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory, 15, 1338-1355.
  • RADZICKI, M. J.,(2007). “System Dynamics And Its Contribution To Economics And Economic Modeling”, Forthcoming In: Encyclopedia Of Complexity And System Science., Springer-Verlag,
  • RAMAGE Magnus – Ship Karen (2009). Sytem Thinkers, The Open University Walton Hall, Milton Keynes United Kingdom, Springer London.
  • RICHARDSON George P.,(1999). Feedback Throught in Social Science And Systems Theory, Pegasus Communications, Inc, Waltham.
  • RICHMOND B. (2010). The Thinking In Systems Thinking: Eight Critical Skills. In Tracing Connections: Voices Of Systems Thinkers (Richmond J Et Al, Eds). Isee Systems, Lebanon, NH, Creative Learning Exchange, Acton, MA.
  • RUTH Matthias, HANNON Bruce (2012). Modeling Dynamic Economic Systems, Second Edition Springer.
  • SENGE Peter (1990). The Fifth Discipline: The Art And Practice Of The Learning Organization. Random House, London.
  • SENGE Peter. M. (2002). Beşinci Disiplin, Çeviren: Ayşegül İldeniz Ve Ahmet Doğukan, Yapı Kredi Yayınları, 16.Baskı, İstanbul.
  • SENGE, Peter, KLEINER, A., Roberts, C., Ross, R. And Smith, B. (1994). The Fifth Discipline Fieldbook, Century, London.
  • SEZEN H. Kemal., (2007). Yöneylem Araştırması, Ekin Yayınevi, Bursa.
  • SEZEN H.Kemal., Günal Murat. (2009). Yöneylem Araştırmasında Benzetim, Ekin Yayınevi, Bursa.
  • SODERQUIST C and OVERAKKERS S. (2010). Education for Sustainable Development: A Systems Thinking Approach, Global Environmental Research, 14 / 2010: 193-202.
  • STERMAN John D. (1991). A Skeptic’s Guide to Computer Models, MIT System Dynamics In Education Project, Cambridge, USA.
  • STERMAN, John.D. (2000). Business Dynamics Systems Thinking And Modelling In A Complex World, Mcgraw-Hill, New York.
  • TANG Victor, VİJAY Samutra (2001). “System Dynamics Origins, Development AndFuture Prospects of a Method”, Research Seminar in Engineering Systems.
  • TOWIL Denis.R. (1996). Industrial Dynamics Modelling of Supply Chains, Logistic Information Management, Vol. 9, Iss 4 pp., 43-56.
  • VENNIX, J. a. M. (1995). “Building Consensus In Strategic Decision Making: System Dynamics As A Group Support System”, Group Decision and Negotiation, 4(4). 335–355.
  • WARREN K. (2005). “Improving Strategic Management With The Fundamental Principles Of System Dynamics”, System Dynamics Review, 21(4). 329–350.
  • WHEELER Frederick P., (1994). “How to Get Managers To Use SystemDynamics”, International System Dynamics Conference, Stirling, Scotland.
  • WOLSTENHOLME, E.F. (1990). Systems Enquiry: A System Dynamics Approach. John Wiley & Sons, Chichester, England.
  • YAMAGUCHI Kaoru (2013). Money and Macroeconomic Dynamics- Accounting System Dynamics Approach, Awaji Island, Japan: Japan Future Research Center.
  • http://www.dsi.gov.tr/toprak-ve-su-kaynaklari