Türkiye’de Kamuoyunun Serbest Ticaret ve Küreselleşme Algısı ve Bu Algının Temel Dinamikleri

Bu makalede Türkiye’de bireylerin dış ticarette liberalleşme ve serbest ticaret anlaşmalarına ne ölçüde destek verdikleri ve bu desteğin altında yatan faktörler Türkiye temsili, 1485 kişiden oluşan bir örneklemde gerçekleştirilen anket çalışması üzerinden incelenmektedir. Gerçekleştirilen lojistik regresyon analizinde elde edilen sonuçlara göre, daha genç, kişi başına düşen hane halkı gelir seviyesi daha yüksek, milliyetçilik seviyesi daha az, ekonomik durumundan daha fazla tatmin olan ve ekonomik liberalizasyonun olası sonuçları hakkında daha fazla bilgi sahibi kişilerin başka ülkelerle imzalanan serbest ticaret anlaşmalarına ve küreselleşmeye daha fazla destek verdikleri görülmüştür. Buna karşılık, literatürde etkileri tartışılan cinsiyet, ideolojik oryantasyon, ve eğitim seviyesi gibi çeşitli faktörlerin bireylerin ticaretin liberalizasyonu ve küreselleşme konularındaki tutumlarına herhangi bir etkisi olduğuna dair bir bulgu elde edilememiştir.

‘Laissez-Passer’? The Public Opinion on Free Trade and Globalization and the Underlying Dynamics in Turkey

This article investigates to what extent individuals in Turkey support trade liberalization and signing of free trade agreements with other countries and the underlying dynamics of their attitudes. The logistic regression analysis conducted on the data acquired through a nationally representative survey with 1596 participants reveals that those who are younger, less nationalist, more content about their current economic situation, earn more and possess higher level of knowledge on the possible consequences of economic liberalization are more supportive to signing FTA’s and the process of globalization. On the other hand, some factors which have been identified as possibly influential dynamics in the literature such as sex, income, occupation, ideology and education did not attain any statistical significance in our analysis.

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