Harun ÖZTÜRKLER, A. Hakan ÇERMİKLİ

4949

Dünya enerji tüketimi:1980-2005 döneminde enerji tüketimindeki değişim

Bu çalismada, nüfusun kent/kirsal yapisinda, ekonominin sektör yapisinda ve kisi basina gelirde meydana gelen degismelere göre kisi basina enelji tüketiminin nasil bir seyir izledigi incelenmeye çalisilmistir. Açiklayici degiskenler ile enerji tüketimi arasindaki iliski, tek degiskenli regresyon modelleri çerçevesinde ele alinmistir. Modellerin tahmin edilmesinde, ikinci dereceden, kübik ve üst modelolmak üzere üç farkli istatistiksel form kullanilmistir. Tahmin edilen modeller açiklayici degiskenler ile enerji tüketimi arasindaki iliskilerin birbirindenfarkli oldugunu ortaya koymaktadir. Toplam nüfusun kentte yasayan kisminda meydana gelen artis kisi basina enelji tüketimini sürekli olarak artirirken, hizmetler kesiminin GSYH içindeki payinda meydana gelen artis belli bir orana kadar enerji tüketimini azallmakta ve daha sonra artirmaktadir. Kisi basina gelir seviyesi ise farkli gelir seviyelerinde etkisi farkli olmakla beraber, sürekli enerji tüketimini artirmaktadir.

The world energy consumption: Changing in energy consumption in 1980-2005 period

This study examines how per capita energy consumption changes with respect to changes in population s urban/rumI structure, economy s sectoral structure, and per capita income. The relationship between explanatory variables and energy consumption is formulized as single regression models. In estimations of the models, three different forms, namely second order, cubic, and exponential, are utilized. Estimation findings reveal that the relationships of explanatOlY variables with energy consumption are different from each other. While increase in the share of urban population raises energy consumption continuously, increase in the share of services in GDP initially reduces, and then increases energy consumption. At different levels, per capita income has different eiJects on energy consumption, but increases inper capita income raise energy consumption continuously.
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Ekonomik Yaklaşım-Cover
  • ISSN: 1300-1868
  • Yayın Aralığı: 3
  • Yayıncı: Ekonomik Yaklaşım Derneği
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