TÜRKİYE’DE KAMU HARCAMALARI VE VERGİLERİN İÇ GÖÇ ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİLERİ

Nüfus hareketlerinin kalkınma süreci başta olmak üzere birçok alanda önemlietkileri vardır. Göç, bireysel çıkar motivasyonu ile hareket edildiği varsayımıaltında göçmen için faydalı olsa da, bir bütün olarak topluma faydalı olmayabilir.Özellikle gelişmekte olan ülkelerde göç, şehirlerin kalabalıklaşmasına, işsizliksorunlarına ve bölgesel dengesizliklere neden olabilmektedir. Dolayısıyla içgöçün belirleyicileri incelenmesi gerekli bir konudur. Bu çalışmada, kamuharcamaları ve vergilerin iç göç üzerindeki etkileri, Türkiye örneklemibağlamında ele alınmıştır. Yapılan dinamik panel veri analiz sonuçlarına göre,kamu harcamaları ile iç göç arasında istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bir ilişkikurulamamış iken; vergi gelirleri ile iç göç arasında ise negatif bir ilişki tespitedilmiştir. Kamu harcamalarına fonksiyonel sınıflandırma açısından bakıldığındaise güvenlik ve savunma harcamaları ile net göç hızı arasında ters yönlü bir ilişkibulunmuştur.

THE EFFECTS OF PUBLIC EXPENDITURES AND TAXES ON INTERNAL MIGRATION IN TURKEY

Population movements have significant effects in many areas, especially in the development process. Although migration is beneficial for the immigrant under the assumption that it is motivated by individual interests, it may not be beneficial to society as a whole. Especially in developing countries, migration can cause crowding of cities, unemployment problems and regional imbalances. Therefore, the determinants of internal migration are an important issue to be examined. In this study, the effects on public spending and tax of internal migration are discussed in the context of Turkey sample. According to the results of the dynamic panel data analysis, no statistically significant relationship between public expenditures and internal migration could be established; a negative relationship was found between tax revenues and internal migration. In terms of functional classification of public expenditures, an inverse relationship was found between security and defense expenditures and net migration rate.

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