Hamza ÇEŞTEPE, Ersin ARSLAN, Murat YAZICI

Toplam Faktör Verimliliği, Ekonomik Büyüme ve İhracat İlişkisi: Gelişmekte Olan Ülkeler Örneği

Toplam faktör verimliliği, ekonomik büyüme ve ihracat, özellikle gelişmekte olan ülke ekonomileri için önemli makroekonomik büyüklüklerdir. Bu çalışmada, bu üç büyüklük arasındaki ilişki Dünya Bankası’nın güncel gelir gruplandırma kriterine göre üst orta gelirli ülkeler grubunda yer alan 26 gelişmekte olan ülke için, 1990-2017 dönemi verileriyle incelenmiştir. Panel nedensellik analizinin kullanıldığı çalışmada, toplam faktör verimliliği ve ihracat arasında toplam faktör verimliliğinden ihracata doğru tek yönlü nedensellik ilişkisi bulunmuştur. Toplam faktör verimliliği ve ekonomik büyüme arasında da çift yönlü nedensellik tespit edilmiştir. Elde edilen bulgular, gelişmekte olan ülkelerde toplam faktör verimliliğinin büyüme ve ihracatın başlıca nedenlerinden biri olduğu göstermektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Toplam Faktör Verimliliği, Ekonomik Büyüme, İhracat, Gelişmekte Olan Ülkeler

The Relationship of Total Factor Productivity, Economic Growth and Exports: The Case of Developing Countries

Total factor productivity, economic growth and exports are important macroeconomic sizes, especially for developing economies. In this study, the relationship between these three sizes is analyzed with the data of 1990-2017 for 26 developing countries in the upper middle income countries group according to the current income grouping criteria of the World Bank. In the study in which panel causality analysis is used, one-way causality relationship is found between total factor productivity and exports from total factor productivity to exports. Bidirectional causality is also found between total factor productivity and economic growth. Findings indicate that, total factor productivity is one of the main causes of growth and exports in developing countries. Key Words: Total Factor Productivity, Economic Growth, Exports, Panel Causality JEL Classification: F43, O33, 047

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