İbrahim ÇİL, Ebru KARADUMAN, MÜMTAZ İPEK

Bir tekstil firmasında satış tahminleri üzerinden emniyet stoğu gün sayısının sistem dinamiği yaklaşımıyla belirlenmesi

Karmaşık bir sistemin çözümlenebilmesi nedensel döngü diyagramları kurularak veya sistemin dinamikleri araştırılıp incelenerek mümkün olmaktadır. Günümüzde teknolojinin de gelişmesiyle birlikte firmaların kar elde edebilmeleri için mevcut sistemlerine çok iyi hakim olup üretim planlamalarını çok iyi bir şekilde yaparak müşteri memnuniyetini en üst düzeyde tutmalarına ihtiyaçları vardır. Firmalar ancak bu şekilde rekabet ortamında ayakta durabileceklerdir. Bu çalışmada yapılan satış miktarları üzerinden nasıl bir emniyet stoğu politikası belirlenmesi gerektiği, bu sistemin ne gibi dinamiklerden etkilendiğinin tespitleri yapılmış ve öngörülerde bulunulmuştur. Bir tekstil firması için nedensel döngü diyagramı geliştirilmiştir. Bu firmanın emniyet stoğu bekleme süresini sistem dinamiği yaklaşımıyla simüle ederek stok politikası ortaya konulmuştur.

Determination of safety stock day number with system dynamic approach over forecasts sales for a textile company

A complex system is allow to able to be resolved by establishing a causal loop diagrams or explored by examining the dynamics of the system. Today, along with the development of technology, companies is also very good to be able to profit from the current system dominated, by the production planning very well, they need to keep customer satisfaction at the highest level. Companies will be able to stand in this way, but in a competitive environment. In this study, it is required to determine how a safety stock policy on sales volumes made, it has been made in the detections and predictions about this system affected by which dynamics. Causal loop diagram is developed for a textile company. This company's safety stock waiting time is simulated with the system dynamics approach, inventory policy has been put forward.

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