Uygulamada düz oranlı gelir vergilerinin ekonomik etkileri

Son yirmi yıldır dünyadaki birçok ülke düz oranlı gelir vergisi olarak adlandırılan reformları yürürlüğe koymaktadır. Bu reformlar ülkeden ülkeye büyük farklılıklar göstermektedir ve hiçbiri aslına uygun olarak tüm gelir kaynakları üzerinden alınan düz oranlı vergi değildir. Düz oranlı vergiler yatırımları, istihdamı ve milli geliri canlandıran bir araç olarak destek görmektedir. Bu çalışma, düz oranlı vergilerin ekonomik etkilerini incelemektedir. Düz oranlı vergi reformlarının mikro ve makroekonomik etkileri çerçevesinde iki ana sonuç ortaya çıkmaktadır: Öncelikle, düz oranlı vergiler belirli koşullar altında piyasanın etkinliğini artırmaktadır; ancak bu artış, eşitsizlik pahasına gerçekleşmektedir. Adalet açısından düz oranlı vergi reformlarının etkisi verginin dizaynına bağlıdır. İkinci olarak, düz oranlı vergi büyük ölçüde konjonktüre paralel bir etkiye sahiptir. Düz oranlı vergi reformları marjinal vergi yükünü azaltarak, yatırım ve tasarruflar için canlandırıcı bir etki göstermektedir; ancak, bu tedbirin devreye girmesiyle bütçe gelirleri otomatik olarak artmamaktadır.

The economic effects of flat taxes in practice: A review of the literature

Over the last two decades, many countries in the world have implemented socalled flat income tax reforms. These reforms vary significantly from country to country, and none of them represent a literal flat tax on all sources of income. Flat taxes are advocated on the belief that they will provide a strong stimulus to investment, employment and output. This paper explores economic effects of flat tax reforms. With respect to micro and macroeconomic effects of flat tax reforms the two key conclusions are as follows: First, flat taxes can in some circumtances enhance market performance but this is done at the cost of more inequality. In terms of equity, the effects of flat tax reforms depend on the design of flat tax. Second, the regime based on flat tax is strongly pro-cyclic. Flat tax reforms lovers marginal tax burdens, creating incentives for investment and saving but the budgetary revenues do not automatically get increased as a result of this measure.

___

Adam, S. ve James, B. (2006), “Options for a UK ‘Flat Tax’: Some Simple Simulations”, The Institute for Fiscal Studies, IFS Briefing Note, No:72, August.

Aktan, C. C. ve Vural, İ. Y. (2004), “Vergi Rekabeti”, (Aktan, C.C., Dileyici, D. ve Vural, İ. Y. Ed. (2004), Kamu Maliyesinde Çağdaş Yaklaşımlar, Ankara:Seçkin, içinde), 69-87.

Aktan, C. C. ve Vural, İ. Y. (2004), “Globalleşme ve Maliye Politikasında Değişim”, (Aktan, C. C., Dileyici, D. ve Vural, İ. Y. (Ed.), Kamu Maliyesinde Çağdaş Yaklaşımlar, Ankara: Seçkin içinde), 49-68.

Arnold, J. (2008), Do Tax Structures Affect Aggregate Economic Growth? Empirical Evidence From a Panel of OECD Countries, Economic Department Working Papers No. 643, Paris: OECD.

Auerbach, A. J. ve Hassett, K. A. (Ed.) (2005), Toward Fundamental Tax Reform, Washington DC, The AEI Press.

Bonney, R. (1999), The Rise of the Fiscal State in Europe, c.1200-1815, (Oxford: Oxford University Press).

CESifo (2007), “Flat Tax Experiments”, CESifo-DICE Report, Journal for Institutional Comparisons, Vol.5, No.1, Spring.

Clemens, J., Veldhuis, N. ve Palacios, M. (2007), “Tax Efficiency: Not All Taxes are Created Equal”, Studies in Economic Prosperity, Number 4, The Fraser Institute, January.

Decoster, A., Swerdt, K. ve Orsini, K. (2008), “A Belgian Flat Income Tax: Effects on Labour Supply and Income Distribution”, Centre for Economic Studies-leuven, http://www.econ.kuleuven.be/ces/discussionpapers/default.htm.(İndirme tarihi:19/ 04/ 2010).

Duncan, D. ve Peter, K. S. (2009), “Does Labor Supply Respond to a Flat Tax? Evidence from the Russian Tax Reform”, IZA Discussion Paper No. 4257, June. www.iza.org (İndirme tarihi: 21/04/2010).

Edwards, C. ve Mitchell, D. J. (2008), Global Tax Revolution: The Rise of Tax Competition and the Battle to Defend It. Washington, DC, Cato Institute.

Eisner, R. (1996), “The Proposed Sales and Wages Tax-Fair, Flat, or Foolish?”, (Hall, R. E., Rabushka, A., Armey, D., Eisner, R. ve Stein, H. Fairness and Efficiency in the Flat Tax, Washington DC, The AEI Press, içinde), 42-95.

European Commission (2009a), Monitoring Revenue Trends and Tax Reforms in Member States 2008, European Economy, 4/2009.

European Commission (2009b), Taxation Trends in The European Union, Eurostat- European Commission.

European Commission (2009c), General Government Data-General Government Revenue, Expenditure, Balances and Gross Debt, ECFIN/REP/51796/2009-EN, Eurostat-European Commission.

Eurostat (2009), EU Economic Data Pocketbook, 3-2009, European Union ve Eurostat. http://europa.eu (indirme tarihi:22/04/2010).

Forbes, S. (2005), Flat Tax Revolution:Using a Postcard to Abolish the IRS, Washington, DC, Regnery Publishing.

Friedman, M. (1962), Capitalism and Freedom, Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

Friedman, M. ve Friedman R. D. (1980). Free to Choose: A Personal Statement, New York:Harcourt Brace Jovanovich.

Fuest, C, Peichl, A. ve Schaefer, T. (2007), Is a Flat Tax Feasible in a Grown-up Welfare State? IZA DP No. 3142, http://ftp.iza.org/ dp3142.pdf (İndirme tarihi:19/04/2010).

Ganghof, S. (1999), Adjusting National Tax Policy to Economic Internationalization: Strategies and Outcomes, MPIfG Discussion Paper, 99/6, December, www.mpi-fgkoeln. mpg.de (İndirme tarihi: 28/03/2010).

Ganghof, S. (2001), Global Markets, National Tax Systems, and Domestic Politics: Rebalancing Efficiency and Equity in Open States’ Income Taxation, MPIfG Discussion Paper 01/9, December, www.mpi-fg-koeln.mpg.de (İndirme tarihi: 28/03/2010).

González-Torrabadella, M. ve Pijoan-Mas, J. (2006), “Flat Tax Reforms: A General Equilibrium Evaluation for Spain”, Investigaciones Económicas, Vol. XXX (2), 317- 351.

Gorodnichenko, Y., Martinez-Vazquez, J. ve Peter, K. S. (2008), “Myth and Reality of Flat Tax Reform: Micro Estimates of Tax Evasion Response and Welfare Effects in Russia”, NBER Working Paper No:13719, http://www.nber.org/papers/w13719 (İndirme Tarihi: 7/04/2010).

Grecu, A. (2004), Flat Tax-The British Case, Adam Smith Institute, London: Adam Smith Research Trust.

Hall, R. E. ve Rabushka, A. (1996), “Putting the Flat Tax into Action”, (Hall, R.E., Rabushka, A. Armey, D., Eisner, R. ve Stein, H., Fairness and Efficiency in the Flat Tax, Washington DC: The AEI Press, içinde), 3-41.

Hall, R. E. ve Rabushka, A. (2007), The Flat Tax, Second Edition, Hoover Classics, Hoover Institution, http://www.hoover.org/publications/books/3602666.html, (İndirme tarihi: 29/03/2009).

Heady, C. (1993), “Optimal Taxation as a Guide to Tax Policy: A Survey”, Fiscal Studies, vol. 14, no.1, 15-41.

Heath, A. (2006), Flat Tax: Towards a British Model. The Taxpayers Alliance, http://tpa.typepad.com/research/files/flattax.pdf (İndirme tarihi: 10/04/2010).

Heckman, J. J., Lochner, L. ve Taber, C. (1998), “Tax Policy and Human-Capital Formation”, The American Economic Review, Vol. 88, No. 2, Papers and Proceedings of the Hundred and Tenth Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association (May 1998), 293-297.

Heer, B. ve Mark, T. (2003), “Efficiency and Distribution Effects of a Revenue-Neutral Income Tax Reform”, Journal of Macroeconomics, 25, 87-107.

Ivanova, A, Keen, M. ve Klemm, A. (2005), The Russian Flat Tax Reform, IMF Working Paper, WP/05/16.

İbn Haldun (1989), Mukaddime, Çev. Zakir Kadiri Ugan, İstanbul: Milli Eğitim Bakanlığı.

Jacobs, B., R. A. de Mooij ve Folmer, K. (2007), Analyzing a Flat Income Tax in The Netherlands, CESifo Working Paper No. 1890, http://www.cesifogroup. de/DocCIDL/ cesifo1wp1890.pdf. (İndirme tarihi:19/04/2010).

Jacobs, B., R. A de Mooij ve Kees, F. (2007), “Analyzing a Flat Income Tax in theNetherlands”, CESIFO Working Paper no. 1890. www.ifo.de/DocCIDL/cesifo1wp1890.pdf (İndirme tarihi:18/04/2010).

James, S. (2002), Taxation: Critical Perspectives on the World Economy, London:Routledge.

Keen, M., Kim, Y. ve Versano, R. (2006), “The ‘Flat Tax(es)’: Principles and Evidence”, IMF Working Paper, WP/06/218, September.

Keen, M., Kim, Y. ve Versano, R. (2008), “The ‘Flat Tax(es)’: Principles and Experience”, International Tax and Public Finance, 15,712-751.

Kormendi, R. C. ve Koester, R. B. (1987), “Taxation, Aggregate Activity and Economic Growth: Cross-Country Evidence on Some Supply-Side Hypotheses”, Working paper no. 559, October 1987, Ross School of Business. http://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/handle/2027.42/ 35806. (İndirme tarihi: 19/04/2010).

KPMG (2008), KPMG’s Individual Income Tax Rate Survey 2008, http://www.kpmg.com/ Global/en/IssuesAndInsights/ArticlesPublications/Docum ents/ Individual-income-tax-rate-survey-2008.pdf (İndirme tarihi: 05/04/2010).

KPMG (2009), KPMG’s Corporate and Indirect Tax Rate Survey 2009, http://www.kpmg.com/Global/en/IssuesAndInsights/ArticlesPublications/Documents /KPMG-Corporate-Indirect-Tax-Rate-Survey-2009.pdf. (İndirme tarihi: 19/04/2010).

Kukk, K. (2007), Fiscal Policy Effects on Economic Growth: Short Run vs Long Run. Working Paper 167, School of Economics and Business Administration, Tallinn University of Technology, http://ideas.repec.org/p/ttu/wpaper/167.html. (İndirme tarihi: 19/04/2010).

Lee, Y. ve Gordon, R. H. (2005), “Tax Structure and Economic Growth”, Journal of Public Economics, 89, 1027-1043.

Michekis, J. ve Angela, B. (2006), “Employment and Growth effects of Tax Reforms”, Economic Modelling, 23, 909-925.

Milesi-Ferretti, G. M. ve Roubini, N. (1998), “Growth Effects of Income and Consumption Taxes”, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking,.721-744.

Musgrave, R. A. (1959), The Theory of Public Finance, New York: McGraw-Hill.

Nehring, H. ve Florian S. (2007), “Global Debates about Taxation: Transfers of Ideas, the Challenge of Political Legitimacy and the Paradoxes of State-Building”, (Holger Nehring ve Florian Schui-Ed., Global Debates about Taxation, New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2007, içinde),1-18.

Nicodème, G. (2007), “Flat Tax: Does One Rate Fit All?”, Intereconomics, May/June, 138-143.

OECD (2006), Fundamental Reform of Personal Income Tax, OECD Tax Policy Studies No.13, Paris:OECD.

OECD (2010), OECD Economic Surveys-Czech Republic, Volume 2010/7, Paris:OECD, April.

Ormrod, W. M., Bonney, M. ve Bonney-Ed, R. (1999), Crises, Revolutions and Selfsustained Growth: Essays in European Fiscal History, 1130-1830, Stamford: Shaun Tyas.

Padovano, F. ve Emma, G. (2002), “Comparing the Growth Effects of Marginal vs. Average Tax Rates and Progressivity”, European Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 18, 592-544.

Peter, K. S. (2009), “Income Tax Flattening: Does It Help to Reduce the Shadow Economy”, IZA Discussion Papers, no. 4223, Bonn.

Romer, C. D. ve Romer, D. H. (2007), “The Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Changes: Estimates Based on a New Measure of Fiscal Shocks”, NBER Working Paper 13264, http://www.nber.org/papers/ w13264. (İndirme tarihi: 18/04/2010).

Rosen, H. S. (2005), Public Finance, Seventh (International) Edition, Boston: McGraw- Hill.

Saavedra, P. (2007), “Flat Income Tax Reforms”, (Gray, C., Lane, T. ve Varoudakis, A. (Ed.), Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth-Lessons for Eastern Europe and Central Asia, Washington DC: The World Bank içinde), 253-280.

Schulze, G. G. ve Ursprung, H. W. (1999), “Globalization of the Economy and the Nation State”, The World Economy, Vol. 22, No:3.

Sklenár P. ve Burger, I. (2006), Impact of the Slovak Tax Reform on Firms' Tax Evasion- A Comparative Study of the Czech and Slovak Republics, CERGE. http://www.cerge.cuni.cz/ pdf/gdn/RRCV_33_ paper_01.pdf (İndirme Tarihi: 02/05/2010).

Smith, A. (1776), An Enquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations, Cannan Edition, London: Methuen, 1904.

Socol, C, Socol, A. ve Marius, M. (2009), “Traps of the Flat Tax in Emerging Countries”, African Journal of Business Management, Vol. 3 (11), 781-785.

Stein, H. (1996), “The Uneasy Case for the Flat Tax”, (Hall, R.E., Rabushka, A., Armey, D., Eisner, R. ve Stein, H.) Fairness and Efficiency in the Flat Tax, Washington DC, The AEI Press, içinde102-109.

Stokey, N. L. (1980), “A Life-Cycle Model of the Linear Income Tax”, The Review of Economic Studies, Vol. 47, No. 4, July, 777-785.

Thorndike, J. J. (2007), “The Flat Tax: Fiscal Revolution or Policy Diffusion?”, (H.Nehring ve F. Schui-Ed. (2007), Global Debates about Taxation, Houndmills: Palgrave Macmillan içinde), 201-218.

Turhan, S. (1993), Vergi Teorisi ve Politikası, İstanbul: Filiz.

Vedder, R. (1985), “Federal Tax Reform: Lessons From The States”, Cato Journal, Vol.5, No.2, Fall,.571-590.

Ventura, G. (1999), “Flat Tax Reform: A Quantitative Exploration”, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 23, 1425-1458.

Voinea, L. ve Flaviu, M. (2009), “The Impact of the Flat Tax Reform on Inequality-The Case of Romania”, Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting, 4/2009, 19-41.

Vural, İ. Y. (2009), “İkili Gelir Vergisi: Temel İlkeler ve Uygulamalar”, Prof. Dr. Mualla Öncel’e Armağan Cilt I, Ankara: Ankara Üniversitesi Hukuk Fakültesi Yayınları No:243,179-210.