Coşkun KARACA, Mahmure EŞGÜNOĞLU, Alptekin ULUTAŞ

Türkiye’de Optimal Yenilenebilir Enerji Kaynağının COPRAS Yöntemiyle Tespiti ve Yenilenebilir Enerji Yatırımlarının İstihdam Artırıcı Etkisi

Bu çalışma Türkiye'nin elektrik üretiminde yenilenebilir enerji payının %100 olması halinde sektöre yapılacak ilave yatırımların istihdamda sağlayacağı artışı tahmin etmektedir. İlave yatırımlarda hangi yenilenebilir kaynağa ne kadar pay ayrılacağı COPRAS çok kriterli karar verme yöntemiyle belirlenmiştir. COPRAS'a göre belirlenen yenilenebilir enerji yatırım büyüklüklerinin ülkedeki istihdama yapacağı katkı Ulusal Enerji Laboratuvarı (NREL) tarafından geliştirilen İstihdam ve Ekonomik Kalkınma Modeline (JEDI) göre tahmin edilmiştir. Model sonuçlarına göre fosil yakıtlı santraller yerine kurulacak 56.694 MW büyüklüğündeki yenilenebilir enerji santrallerinin kurulumu ve işletilmesiyle ülkede 576.664 kişiye doğrudan, 322.852 kişiye dolaylı ve 233.030 kişiye uyarılmış olmak üzere toplamda 1.132.545 kişiye ilave istihdam sağlanacağı tahmin edilmektedir

Determination of Renewable Energy Source in Turkey by COPRAS and Analysis of the Employment-Enhancing Effect of Renewable Energy Investments

The present study estimates the increase in the number of jobs resulting from the additional investments in energy sector if Turkey’s renewable energy percentage in the electricity generation is 100%. The share to be allocated to each renewable energy source within additional investment value is determined according to COPRAS-based multi-criteria decision making method. The contribution of renewable energy investment value which is determined through COPRAS to employment in the country has been estimated according to Jobs and Economic Development Impact (JEDI) Model which was developed by National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL). According to results of the model, it is estimated that a total of 1.132.545 additional jobs will be created with following breakdown through the installation and operation of 56.694 MW renewable energy plants instead of fossil fuel power stations: to 576.664 people directly, to 322.852 people indirectly and to 233.030 people through stimulated employment

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