Hartati HARTATI, Widya PİNTAKA BAYU PUTRA

Predicting The Growth Curve of Body Weight in Madura Cattle

The growth curve of livestock animals is important to evaluate the biological development managed with a farming management system.This study aimed to estimate the growth curve of body weight (BW) in Madura cattle (Bos indicus) kept at the breeding management. Threenon-linear models of Logistic (L), Gompertz (G) and Von Bertalanff y (B) were performed in this study using 186 records data and computedwith SPSS 16.0 package. Research showed that the asymptotic weight (male/female) was reached of 220.80/218.02 kg (L), 277.72/274.13kg (G) and 333.92/329.83 kg (B). The weight of infl ection (male/female) was reached of 110.40/109.01 kg (L), 102.10/100.78 kg (G) and98.94/97.73 kg (B). The time of infl ection (male/female) was reached of 10.89/10.47 months (L), 10.09/10.23 months (G) and 9.80 months(B). Moreover, the coefficient of determination (R2) in all models included of high category i.e. 0.68 (male) and 0.70 (female). However, threegoodness-of-fit parameters of root mean squared error (RMSE), Akaike’s (AIC) and Beyesian (BIC) values revealed that G and B models weremore accurate than the other models for male and female, respectively. It can be concluded that about 68-70% of body weight of animals ina study can be explained by non-linear models of L, G and B.

Madura Sığırlarında Vücut Ağırlığı Büyüme Eğrisinin Tahmini

Çiftlik hayvanlarının büyüme eğrisi, bir çiftlik yönetim sisteminde biyolojik gelişimin değerlendirilmesi için önemlidir. Bu çalışmada, damızlık amaçlı yetiştirilen Madura sığırlarında (Bos indicus) vücut ağırlığının (BW) büyüme eğrisinin tahmin edilmesi amaçlanmıştır. Bu çalışmada, 186 veri kaydı ve SPSS 16.0 paket programı eşliğinde doğrusal olmayan üç model, Lojistik (L), Gompertz (G) ve Von Bertalanff y (B), kullanılmıştır. Çalışma, asimptotik ağırlığın (erkek/dişi), 220.80/218.02 kg (L), 277.72/274.13 kg (G) ve 333.92/329.83 kg (B)’a ulaştığını göstermiştir. Büküm ağırlığı (erkek/dişi), 110.40/109.01 kg (L), 102.10/100.78 kg (G) ve 98.94/97.73 kg (B)’a ulaşmıştır. Büküm zamanı (erkek/dişi), 10.89/10.47 ay (L), 10.09/10.23 ay (G) ve 9.80 ay (B) olarak belirlenmiştir. Ayrıca, tüm modellerde determinasyon katsayısı (R2), yüksek, 0.68 (erkeklerde) ve 0.70 (dişilerde) saptanmıştır. Bununla birlikte, Hata Kareler Ortalamasının Karekökü (RMSE), Akaike Bilgi Kriteri (AIC) ve Bayesci Bilgi Kriteri (BIC) üçlü uyum indeks analiz değerleri, G ve B modellerinin sırasıyla erkek ve dişiler için diğer modellere göre daha doğru olduğunu ortaya koymuştur. Hayvanların vücut ağırlığının yaklaşık %68-70’inin doğrusal olmayan L, G ve B modelleri ile tahmin edilebileceği sonucuna varılabilir.

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