AB ÜLKELERİ ve TÜRKİYE’DE DOLAYLI ve DOLAYSIZ VERGİLERİN GELİR DAĞILIMI ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİSİ: PANEL VERİ ANALİZİ

1929 krizi sonras ı devletin ekonomiye müdahalesi anlay ışının hâkim olmas ı ile birlikte devlet eko- nomik ve sosyal fonksiyonlar kazanmıştır. Devlet, sosyal fonksiyonu gere ği gelir dağılımı adaletini sağlamaya çalışmakta ve bunun için elindeki politika araçlarını kullanmaktadır. Bu çalışmada 2006- 2018 yılları arasında 25 AB ülkesi ve Türkiye’de dolaylı ile dolaysız vergilerin gelir dağılımı üzerin- deki etkisi panel veri analizi yöntemiyle araştırılmıştır. Yapılan çalışma sonucunda, dolaysız vergile- rin gelir da ğılımı adaletsizliğini azalttığı, dolaylı vergilerin ise arttırdığı tespit edilmiştir. Ayrıca, ne- densellik testi sonuçlarına göre dolaylı ile dolaysız vergilerden gelir da ğılımına doğru tek yönlü iliş- kinin olduğu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır

IMPACT OF DIRECT AND INDIRECT TAXES ON INCOME DISTRIBUTION IN EU COUNTRIES AND TURKEY: PANEL DATA ANALYSIS

After the 1929 crisis, the state gained economic and social functions with the understanding of state intervention in the economy. The state tries to provide income distribution justice due to its social function and uses the policy tools it has. In this study, the effect of indirect and direct taxes on income distribution in 25 EU countries and Turkey between 2006-2018 was investigated by panel data analysis method. As a result of the study, it has been determined that direct taxes decrease the unfairness of income distribution and indirect taxes increase. In addition, according to the causality test results, it is concluded that there is a on e-way relationship from indire ct and direct taxes to income distribution

___

  • Albayrak, Özlem (2010), “Redistributive Eff ects of Indirect Taxes in Turkey 2003”, Ankara Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 2(1), 123-161.
  • Alvaredo, Facundo, Chancel, Lucas, Piketty, Thomas, Saez, Emmanuel & Zucman, Gabriel (Eds.) (2018), Dünya E şitsizlik Raporu. 2018, Özet. World Inequality Lab. https://wir2018.wid.world/files/download/wir2018-summary-turkish.pdf, 22. 04. 2020.
  • Ayyıldız, Fatih Volkan (2017), “Gelir Adaletsizliğinin Sebeplerinin Araştırılması: Ampirik Analiz”, Karadeniz Uluslararası Bilimsel Dergi, 34(34), 131-141.
  • Balseven, Hale ve Tuğcu, Can Tansel (2017), “Analyzing The Effects Of Fiscal Policy On İncome Distrıbution: A Comparison Between Developed And Developing Countries”. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues.7(2), 377-383.
  • Breusch, Trevor S. & Pagan, Adrian R. (1980), “The Lagrange Multiplier Test and İts Applications to Model Specification in Econometrics”, The Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239-253.
  • Bükey, Abdullah Miraç & Çetin, Ba şak I şıl. (2017), “Türkiye’de Gelir Dağılımına Etki Eden Faktörlerin En Küçük Ka reler Yöntemi ile Analizi”. Maliye Ara ştırmaları Dergisi. 3(1), 103-117.
  • Cevik, Mr Serhan & Carolina Correa-Caro (2015), Growing (Un)equal: Fiscal Policy and Income Inequality in China and BRIC+, IMF Working Paper, WP/15/68.
  • Çınar, Serkan (2010), “OECD Ülkelerinde Kişi Ba şına GSYİH Durağan m ı? Panel Veri Analizi”, Marmara Üniversitesi İİBF Dergisi, 21(2), 591-601.
  • Demirgil, Bünyamin (2018), “Vergilerin Gelir Da ğılımı Üzerindeki Etkisi: Ampirik Bir Çalışma”, Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 19(2), 118-131.
  • Drucker, Lev, Krill, Ze'ev & Geva, Assaf (2017), The Impact of Tax Composition on Income Inequality and Economic Growth. August 2017. Ministry of Finance. Publications And Reviews. Economic Data. https://mof.gov.il/en/ Publications AndReviews/EconomicData/DocLib/Article_082017_Eng.pdf, 21.4.2020.
  • Dumitrescu Elena-Ivona & Hurlin, Christophe (2012), “Testing for Granger Non-Causality in Heterogeneous Panels”, Economic Modelling, 29(4), 1450–1460. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2012.02.014
  • Eser, Levent Yahya ve Genç Murat Can (2020), “Gelir ve Servet Üzerinden Al ınan Vergilerin Gelir Dağılımı Üzerindeki Etkisi: OECD Ülkeleri Örneği”, Maliye Dergisi, Ocak-Haziran 2020; 178:224-239
  • European Commission (2020a), Indirect taxes as % of GDP, DG Taxation and Customs Union, based on Eurostat data, https://ec.europa.eu/taxation_customs/ business/ economic-analysis-taxation/data-taxation_en, 19.04.2020.
  • European Commission (2020b). Direct taxes as % of GDP, DG Taxation and Customs Union, based on Eurostat data, https://ec.europa.eu/taxation_customs/business/ economic-analysis-taxation/data-taxation_en,: 19.04.2020.
  • Eurostat (2020), Gini coefficient, http://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/submit View TableAction.do, 19.04.2020.
  • Granger, Clive W. (1969), “Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross- spectral methods”, Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 424-438.
  • Günel, Tuğay (2019), “Türkiye’de Dolaylı ve Dolaysız Vergilerin Gelir Dağılımına Etkisi: Ekonometrik Bir Uygulama”, Journal of Yaşar University, 14(55), 277-287.
  • Gürdal, Temel, Altundemir, Mehmet Emin & Şanver, Cahit (2015), Maliye Politikası, (4. Baskı), Sakarya.
  • Güven, Sabriye. & Mert, Mehmet. (2016). “Uluslararası Turizm Talebinin E şbütünleşme Analizi: Antalya İçin Panel ARDL Yaklaşımı”. Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 17(1), 133-152.
  • Hassan, Fareed M. A. & Bogetić, Željko (1996), “Effects Of Personal İncome Tax On İncome Distribution: Example From Bulgaria”, Contemporary Economic Policy, 14(4), 17-28.
  • Im, Kyung So, Pesaran, M. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol (2003), “Testing for Unit Roots in Heterogeneous Panels”, Journal of Econometrics, 115(1), 53–74. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(03)00092-7
  • Kanca, Osman ve Bayrak, Metin (2019), “Vergilerin Gelir Dağılımı Üzerindeki Belirleyiciliği: Panel Veri Analizi”, Atatürk Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 23(4), 1495-1514.
  • Kao, Chihwa (1999), “Spurious Regression and Residual-Based Tests for Cointegration in Panel Data”, Journal of Econometrics, 90(1), 1–44. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304- 4076(98)00023-2
  • Kirmanoğlu, Hülya (2019), Kamu Ekonomisi Analizi. Gözden Geçirilmiş 7. Baskı, İstanbul: Beta Yayıncılık.
  • Kozuharov, Sasho, Petkovskı, Vladimir and Rıstovska, Natasha (2015), “The Impact of Taxes Measured By Gini Index in Macedonia”, UTMS Journal of Economics, 6(1), 41- 52.
  • Maddala, Gangadharrao S. & Wu, Shaowen (1999), “A Comparative Study of Unit Root Tests with Panel Data and a New Simple Test”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 61(s1), 631–652. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0084.61.s1.13
  • Martinez-Vazquez, Jorge., Vuloviç, Violeta and Dodson, Blanca Moreno (2012), “The Impact Of Tax And Expenditure Policies On İncome Distribution: Evidence From A Large Panel Of Countries”, Review of Public Economics. 200, 95-130.
  • Mehrara, Mohsen & Esfahani, Pourya (2016), “The Relationship Between İncome Distribution And Tax Structure In The Selected Countries”, Iranian National Tax Administration (INTA), 23(28)
  • Munduch, Pavel (2018), Econometric Analysis Of Inequality, Bachelor Thesıs, Charles University Faculty Of Social Sciences Institute Of Economic Studies.
  • Noyan, Emrah ve Avşargil Nuri (2017), “Türkiye’de 1980 Sonrası Dönemde Uygulanan Dolaylı ve Doğrudan Vergi Politikaları Üzerinden Müşevvik Sorunun Ekonometrik Analizi”, Alanya Akademik Bakış Dergisi, 1, 49-59.
  • OECD (2020), Tax on goods and services (indicator). doi: 10.1787/40b85101-en, https://data.oecd.org/tax/tax-on-goods-and-services.htm#indicator-chart, 20.04.2020.
  • Okner, Benjamin A.. (1975), Individual Taxes And The Distribution Of İncome. In The Personal Distribution Of Income and Wealth (Pp. 45-74). NBER.
  • Pedroni, Peter (1999), “Critical Values for Cointegration Tests in Heterogeneous Panels with Multiple Regressors”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 61(s1), 653– 670. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0084.61.s1.14
  • Pedroni, Peter (2000), Fully Modified Ols for Heterogeneous Cointegrated Panels. In Nonstationary Panels, Panels Cointegration, and Dynamic Pa nels. Emerald Group Publishing Limited, 15, 93–130.
  • Pedroni, Peter (2004), “Panel Cointegration: Asymptotic and Finite Sample Properties of Pooled Time Series Tests With An Application to the PPP Hypothesis”, Econometric Theory, 20, 597–625. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0266466604203073
  • Pehlivan, Osman (2013), Kamu Maliyesi, Trabzon: Murathan Yayınevi.
  • Pesaran, M. H., Ullah, Aman and Yamagata, Takashi (2008), “A Bias Adjusted LM Test of Error Cross Section Independence”, The Econometrics Journal, 11(1), 105-127.
  • Pesaran, M. Hashem (2004), General Diagnostic Tests for Cross Section Dependence in Panels, CESifo Working Paper Series, 1229.
  • Prasad, Naren (2008), Policies For Redistribution: The Use Of Taxes And Social Transfers. International Institute for Labour Studies, Discussion Paper. No:194.
  • Sameti, Majid & Rafie, Leila (2010), “Interaction Of İncome Distribution Taxes And Economic Growth (The Case Of Iran And Same Selected East Asian Countries)”, Iranian Economic Reviews, 14 (25), 67-81.
  • Sung, Myung Jae & Park, Ki-baeg (2011), “Effects Of Taxes And Benefits On Income Distribution In Korea”, Review Of Income And Wealth, 57(2), 345-363.
  • Susam, Nazan ve Oktayer, Nagihan (2007), “Türkiye Ekonomisinde Genel Bütçe Vergi Gelirleri İçinde Dolaysız ve Dolaylı Vergiler (1995-2005), Atatürk Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 21(2).
  • Şen, Hüseyin ve Sağbaş, İsa (2019), Vergi Teorisi ve Politikasına Giriş, Ankara: Arıkan Yayınları. Ekim 2019.
  • T. C. 1982 Anayasası, Kanun No: 2709; Kabul Tarihi: 7.11.1982 https://www.tbmm.gov.tr/ anayasa/anayasa_2011.pdf, 24. 04. 2020.
  • Ulusoy, Ahmet (2018), Maliye Politikası, 10. Baskı. Kocaeli: Umuttepe Yayınları.
  • Wang, Yafen, Xiao, Xiaofei & Gao, Tiemei (2007), An Empirical Analysis of Urban Households' Income Distribution Inequality and the Adjustment Effect of Individual Income Tax in China [J]. Finance & Trade Economics, 4.
  • World Bank (2020), GINI index (World Bank estimate), World Development Indicators, https://databank.worldbank.org/reports.aspx?source=2&series=SI.POV.GINI&country= #, 20.04.2020.
  • Yalçınkaya, Ömer ve Kaya, Vedat (2017),”Doğal İşsizlik Oranı mı yoksa; İşsizlik Histerisi mi?: OECD Ülkeleri için Yeni Nesil Panel Birim Kök Testlerinden Kanıtlar (1980- 2015)”, Selçuk Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Sosyal Ekonomik Araştırmalar Dergisi, 17(33), 1-18.
  • Yi, Liu & Haifeng, Nie (2004), ”The Eff ect of Indirect Tax Incidence on Income Distribution [J]”, Economic Research Journal, 5, 22-30.
  • Zandvakili, Sourushe (1994), “Income Distribution And Redistribution Through Taxation: An International Comparison”, Empirical Economics, 19(3), 473-491.