TÜRKİYE'DE KARBONDİOKSİT EMİSYONU, ENERJİ TÜKETİMİ VE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİNİN TARİHSEL AYRIŞTIRMA YAKLAŞIMI İLE İNCELENMESİ

Bu çalışmanın amacı, Türkiye Ekonomisinde karbondioksit emisyonu, enerji tüketimi ve ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkiyi tarihsel bir perspektiften incelemektedir. Bu amaçla, bu değişkenler arasındaki zamanla değişen etkileşim ve iş döngüsünü dikkate alarak tarihsel ayrıştırma yöntemi kullanılmıştır. Çalışmadan elde sonuçlara göre özellikle 1980’lerden bugüne kadar dönem de Türkiye’de fosil bazlı enerji kullanımını azaltarak CO2 emisyonlarını azaltmaya karşı ekonomik büyümeden kısmen ödün vermesi gerektiğine ilişkin bulgu elde edilmiştir. Ayrıca, 2002-2007 alt döneme ilişkin enerji tüketimi ve reel GSYİH serilerinde ortaya çıkan şokun 2002-2007 alt döneminde CO2 emisyonları artırdığı gözlenirken analize konu diğer alt dönemlerde kısa dönemli zayıf bir biçimde pozitif ve negatif yönde etkilere sahip olduğunu gözlenmiştir. Bu sonuç, Türkiye için EKC hipotezine ilişkin net bilgi vermemektedir. Bu bulgu, Türkiye’de yaşanan kısa dönemli politik ve ekonomik şokların bir sonucu olarak EKC hipotezinin de döngüsel özellikler taşıyor olabileceğinden kaynaklanabilir.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Çevre, CO2 emisyonu, Enerji tüketimi, Reel GSYİH, Tarihsel Ayrıştırma

INVESTIGATING RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSIONS, ENERGY CONSUMPTION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH WITH THE HISTORICAL DECOMPOSITION APPROACH IN TURKEY

The purpose of this study, Turkey carbon dioxide emissions in the economy, examines the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth from a historical perspective. For this purpose, the historical decomposition method was used, taking into account the time-varying interaction and business cycle between these variables. According to the results obtained from the study period, from the 1980s until today, especially against the reduction of CO2 emissions by reducing the use of fossil-based energy in Turkey sacrificing economic growth was achieved partly from findings that it should. In addition, it was observed that the shock in the energy consumption and real GDP series for the 2002-2007 sub-period increased CO2 emissions in the 2002-2007 subperiod, while the other sub-periods subject to the analysis had a weak positive and negative shortterm effects. This result does not give clear information regarding the EKC hypothesis for Turkey. This finding probably show a circular feature can be stated that the EKC hypothesis as a result of short-term political and economic shocks in Turkey.

Keywords:

Environment, CO2 Emission, Energy Consumption, Real GDP, Historical Decomposition,

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