OECD Ülkelerinde Uluslararası Göçün Konut Fiyatları Üzerindeki Etkisi

Öz Bu çalışmanın amacı, seçilmiş OECD ülkelerinde uluslararası göç ile konut fiyatları arasındaki ilişkinin 2003-2016 dönemini kapsayan verilerle incelenmesidir. Panel Tam Uyarlanmış En Küçük Kareler (FMOLS) modeli kullanılarak değişkenler arasındaki uzun dönemli ilişki araştırılmıştır. Elde edilen bulgular, uluslararası göç ile konut fiyatları arasında pozitif yönlü bir ilişkinin varlığını desteklemektedir. Bu bağlamda, uluslararası göçteki %1’lik bir artışın konut fiyatlarını %0,08 artırdığı tespit edilmiştir. Kurulan modelde, konut fiyatlarını etkileme potansiyeli olan nüfus yoğunluğu, işsizlik ve kişi başına gelir gibi kontrol değişkenleri de araştırılmıştır. Elde edilen bulgulara göre, nüfus yoğunluğundaki %1’lik artış konut fiyatlarını %0,48 artırırken; işsizlik oranındaki %1’lik bir artış konut fiyatlarını %0,21 düşürmektedir. Ayrıca, kişi başına gelirdeki 1’lik artış ise konut fiyatlarını %0,58 artırmaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Uluslararası Göç, Konut Fiyatları, OECD Ülkeleri, FMOLS

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