Türkiye'de Suç Oranının Sosyo-Ekonomik Belirleyicileri: Yatay Kesit Analizi

Türkiye'de son yıllarda suç oranlarının arttığı yönündeki genel görüş kamuoyunda önemli ölçüde destek bulmaktadır. Ayrıca ülkedeki suç miktarının artmasında sosyal ve ekonomik faktörlerin önemli rol oynadığı da ileri sürülmektedir. Bu çalışmanın amacı 81 ili kapsayan sosyal ve ekonomik unsurların bu süreçte ne derece önemli olduklarını belirlemektir. 2000 yılına ait il bazındaki veriler kullanılarak yapılan yatay kesit analizine göre, gelir düzeyinin, işsizlik oranının, göç oranının, eğitim seviyesinin, nüfus yoğunluğu ve doğum hızı gibi demografik unsurların ve şehirleşmenin suç oranını belirleyen temel ve önemli faktörler olduğu görülmüştür.

Economic and Social Determinants of the Crime Rate in Turkey: Cross-Section Analysis

There is an important support to the view in public that erime rate has been inereasing in the recent years in Turkey. in addition, it is argued that social and eeonomic factors play an important role in inercasing the crime in the country. The aim of this article is to determine to what extent the economic and social factors are imponant in this process for 81 provinces. According to ıhe cross section analysis based on 2000 data in the provincc level, it is observed that income, unemployment, migration, education, demographie factors such as population density and birth rate and urbanization ratio are the main and important determinants of crime rate.

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