Mohmmad Taghi SATTARI, Halit APAYDIN, Fazlı ÖZTÜRK

Stochastic operation analysis of irrigation reservoir in low-flow conditions: a case study from Eleviyan Reservoir, Iran

In Iran, an arid and semiarid country, the distribution of precipitation is irregular and uneven, making the replenishment of reservoirs difficult during periods of scant rainfall. In this paper, a method has been devised to make available the maximum amount of water for irrigation, drinking, and the flow regime of Sofi Creek. The optimal performance of the Eleviyan Dam was evaluated based on reservoir inflows. Before the construction of the dam, 21 years of flow data (October 1973 to September 1994) was measured, and possible low flows were calculated. In this study, 2 scenarios are considered; the first scenario is based on the assumption of an initially full reservoir, and the second is based on the assumption of full dead volume in addition to drinking and utility water. In the first scenario, system shortages were observed in September at all confidence levels and in August at 80% and 90% confidence levels. In the second scenario, considerable shortages were observed in September at all levels, and in August with a 70%-90% and July with a 90% confidence level.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Key words: Optimization model, reservoir operation, distribution functions, low flow

Stochastic operation analysis of irrigation reservoir in low-flow conditions: a case study from Eleviyan Reservoir, Iran

Keywords:

Key words: Optimization model, reservoir operation, distribution functions, low flow,

PDF

___

Akbulut U (2003). Modeling of Multipurpose Reservoirs via HEC-5. MSc, Gazi University, Ankara, Turkey (in Turkish).
Celeste AB, Billib M (2012). Improving implicit stochastic reservoir optimization models with long-term mean inflow forecast. Water Resour Manage 26: 2443–2451.
Chebbi A, Zammouri M, Cunha MC, Nazoumou Y, Besbes M, Bargaoui Z (2008). Optimization of withdrawals from an aquifer: a case study of Kairouan (Tunisia). Water Int 33: 100–
Development Alternatives (2010). Climate Change Actions in SemiArid Areas: Workshop Proceedings. Madhya Pradesh, India: Development Alternatives.
Eum HI, Vasan A, Slobodan PS (2012). Integrated reservoir management system for flood risk assessment under climate change. Water Resour Manage 26: 3785–3802.
Işık S (2001). Determination of Operation Model of an Irrigation Purposed Dam. PhD, İstanbul Technical University, İstanbul, Turkey (in Turkish).
Jairaj PG, Vedula S (2003). Modeling reservoir irrigation in uncertain hydrologic environment. J Irrig Drain Eng 129: 164–172.
Li FF, Wei JH, Fu XD, Wan XY (2012). An effective approach to longterm optimal operation of large-scale reservoir systems: case study of the Three Gorges system. Water Resour Manage 26: 4073–4090.
Murray AT, Padegimas PD, Gober P, Anselin L, Rey SJ, Sampson D, Liu Y (2012). Spatial optimization models for water supply allocation. Water Resour Manage 26: 2243–2257.
Needham J, Watkins D, Lund JR, Nanda SK (2000). Linear programming for flood control in the Iowa and Des Moines rivers. J Water Resour Plann Manage 126: 118–127.
Sattari MT, Apaydın H, Öztürk F (2009). Operation analysis of Eleviyan irrigation reservoir dam by optimization and stochastic simulation. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 23: 1187– 120
Sattari MT, Kodal S, Öztürk F (2006). Application of deterministic mathematical method in optimizing the small irrigation reservoir capacity. Akdeniz University J Fac Agric 19: 261–267. Sattari MT, Salmasi F, Öztürk F (2008). Comparison of different methods used in determination of irrigation reservoir capacity. J Agric Sci Ankara University 14: 1–7.
Smakhtin VU (2001). Low flow hydrology: a review. J Hydrol 240: 147–186.
Srinivasan K, Neelakantan T, Shyam NR, Nagarajukumar C (1999). Mixed-integer programming model for reservoir performance optimization. J Water Resour Plann Manage 125: 298–301.
Srivastava DK, Awchi TA (2009). Storage-yield evaluation and operation of Mula Reservoir, India. J Water Resour Plann Manage 135: 414–425.
Suresh KR, Mujumdar PP (2004). A fuzzy risk approach for performance evaluation of an irrigation reservoir system. J Agr Water Manage 69: 159–177.
Tu M, Hsu N, Yeh W (2003). Optimization of reservoir management and operation with hedging rules. J Water Resour Plann Manage 129: 86–97.
Turgeon A (2005). Daily operation of reservoir subject to yearly probabilistic constraints. J Water Resour Plann Manage 131: 342–350.
WMO (1974). International Glossary of Hydrology. Geneva: World Meteorological Organization.
Wurbs RA (2005). Comparative Evaluation of Generalized River/ Reservoir Systems Models. College Station: Texas Water Resources Institute.
You J, Cai X (2009). Reexamination of critical period for reservoir design and operation. J Water Resour Plann Manage 135: 392–396.