Rasim GÖKBULUT İLKER, Ümit GÜMRAH, Tülin ATAKAN

Contagion effects of the credit crisi in financial markets of the united states to emerging countries: An evidence from Turkey

Bu çalışma ABD hisse senedi piyasalarındaki volatilitenin gelişmekte olan ekonomiler kategorisinde yer alan Türkiye'de hisse senedi, faiz ve döviz piyasaları üzerindeki olası bulaşma etkisini ve derecesini ve bu piyasaların kendi aralarındaki etkileşimlerini Granger Nedensellik testleri ve Vektör-Otoregresif Modeli (VAR) ile incelemektedir. Çalışmada A.B.D. fınans piyasalarında Mayıs 2006'da ilk belirtilerini gösteren ve Temmuz 2007'den itibaren yaşanan finansal kriz öncesi ve kriz dönemleri ele alınmaktadır. Bulgular, piyasalar arasında anlamlı ilişkileri ortaya koymaktadır.

A.B.D. Finans piyasalarındaki kredi krizinin gelişmekte olan piyasa ekonomilerine bulaşma etkisi: Türkiye üzerine bir uygulama

This study aims to analyze any probable contagion effects of fluctuations in the U.S. stock market on the financial markets of Turkey, namely stock, interest rate, and exchange rate markets. Furthermore, it is also aimed to investigate the intertemporal effects and the degree of these effects among the above-mentioned markets in Turkey. The empirical analysis takes into consideration the volatility changes which are initially observed in May 2006 and deepened in July 2007 in the U.S.A. Granger Causality tests and Vector Autoregressive (VAR) Model have been employed for determining the presence and the degree of the contagion effect. Significant relationships between the markets have been observed.

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