GELİŞMİŞ-GELİŞMEKTE OLAN ÜLKELERDE NÜFUS ARTIŞI VE SÜRDÜRÜLEBİLİR KALKINMA: BİR IV(2SLS) YAKLAŞIMI

Bu çalışmanın amacı nüfus artışının sürdürülebilir kalkınma üzerindeki etkisini analiz etmektir. 1990- 2012 dönemini kapsayan 146 ülke verisi yardımıyla elde edilen tahmin (Genelleştirilmiş En Küçük Kareler ve araç değişken) sonuçlarına göre nüfus artış oranı sürdürülebilir kalkınma üzerinde negatif yönlü bir etkiye sahiptir. Buna göre nüfus artış oranının yükselmesi sürdürülebilir kalkınma düzeyini azaltmaktadır. Bununla birlikte, 0-14 yaş nüfus artış oranı sürdürülebilir kalkınma üzerinde negatif yönlü etkiye sahipken, 15-64 yaş nüfus artış oranı ve 65 yaş üstü nüfus artış oranı sürdürülebilir kalkınma üzerinde, anlamlı herhangi bir etkiye sahip değildir. Diğer yandan nüfus artışının sürdürülebilir kalkınma üzerindeki etkisi, ülkelerin gelişmişlik düzeyine göre farklılık göstermektedir. Gelişmekte olan ülkelerdeki nüfus artış oranı sürdürülebilir kalkınmayı negatif yönlü, gelişmiş ülkelerdeki nüfus artış oranı sürdürülebilir kalkınmayı pozitif yönlü etkilemektedir.

POPULATION GROWTH AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN DEVELOPED-DEVELOPING COUNTRIES: AN IV(2SLS) APPROACH

The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of population growth on sustainable development. The population growth rate has a negative effect on sustainable development according to the estimates (Generalized Least Squares and instrumental variable) obtained with data from 146 countries covering 1990-2012 period. Accordingly, the increase in the population growth rate reduces the level of sustainable development. The population growth rate of 0-14 years has a negative effect on sustainable development, while the 15-64 years population growth rate and the population growth rate above 65 years have no significant effect on sustainable development. On the other hand, the impact of population growth on sustainable development varies according to the level of development of the countries. Population growth rate in developing countries affects sustainable development negatively, population growth rate in developed countries affects sustainable development positively. Keywords: Population Growth,

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Süleyman Demirel Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi-Cover
  • ISSN: 1301-0603
  • Yayın Aralığı: Yılda 3 Sayı
  • Başlangıç: 1996
  • Yayıncı: Süleyman Demirel Üniversitesi