Ana Akım Büyüme Modeli ve Yakınsama Hipotezlerinin Analizi: Panel Veri Yaklaşımı

Bu çalışmada (Mankiw-Romer- Weil, 1992)’in makalesi izlenerek 1990-2010 yılı arasındaki altı farklı ülke grubunda (Hepsi, Nüfusu bir milyondan fazla, Batı, Afrika, İslam, Latin) Solow-Swan Modeli, Genişletilmiş Solow-Swan Modeli, Mutlak ve Koşullu Yakınsama tezleri, panel veri sabit etkiler yaklaşımıyla analiz edilmektedir. Solow-Swan Modelindeki bağımsız değişkenlerin katsayıları tüm gruplar için yüksek bulunurken, genişletilmiş modelde de teorik modelin işaret ettiği oran sorunu devam etmektedir. Ayrıca, genişletilmiş modelin işçi başı geliri açıklama gücü ilk modele göre yükselmiş ve neredeyse tamamına yakın bir açıklama gücü olduğu görülmüştür. Son olarak aynı yapısal unsurlara sahip olmak şartıyla ülkeler arasındaki gelir eşitsizliklerinin zaman içerisinde giderilebileceği sonucuna varılmıştır.

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