Benzin Tüketimi, CO2 Emisyonu ve Ulaşım Altyapı Yatırımları: Seçilmiş Gelişmekte olan Ülkelerde Ulaşım Kuznets Eğrisi

Bu çalışma, 1994 ve 2014 döneminde aralarında seçilmiş üst orta-gelir seviyesindeki ülkelerden oluşan panel için toplulaştırılmış ortalama grup tahminlemesine dayalı gecikmesi dağıtılmış otoregresif modeli (ARDL-PMG) kullanılarak benzin tüketimi, CO2 emisyonu ve ulaşım altyapı yatırımları arasındaki bağlantıyı incelemektedir. Uzun dönemli PMG tahminleri, ulaşım altyapısı yatırımının hem benzin tüketimini hem de CO2 emisyonunu artırdığını (pozitif), ikinci dereceden formunun ise (ulaşım altyapısı yatırımının karesi) azaltıcı (negatif) etki yaptığını göstermektedir. Bu nedenle, sonuçlar genel olarak üst orta-gelirli ülkeler için ulaşım Kuznets eğrisinin varlığını göstermektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Ulaşım Altyapı Yatırımları, Benzin Tüketimi, CO2 Emisyonu, Ulaşım Kuznets Eğrisi, Panel ARDL

Gasoline Consumption, CO2 Emissions and Transportation Infrastructure Investment: Transportation Kuznets Curve in Selected Developing Countries

This study examines the links between gasoline consumption, CO2 emissions and transportation infrastructure investment using an autoregressive distributed lag model based on the pooled mean group estimation (ARDL-PMG) for a panel consisting of selected upper middle-income countries for the period between 1994 and 2014. The long-run PMG estimates show that transportation infrastructure investment increases both gasoline consumption and CO2 emissions, while its quadratic form (squared of transportation infrastructure investment) has negative effect. Hence, these results overall imply the existence of transportation Kuznets curve for upper middle-income countries.

Keywords:

Panel ARDL, Transportation Infrastructure Investment, Gasoline Consumption, CO2 Emissions, Transportation Kuznets Curve,

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