Turkey vis-à-vis the periphery of the EU: An economic assessment

Bu yazının amacı, Türkiyenin son üç onyıldaki ekonomik deneyimini ABnin çevre ülkeleriyle karşılaştırarak incelemektir. Yazıda dünya ekonomisinin yaşadığı son üç orta dönemli çevrimde belli başlı ülke gruplarının başarımları değerlendirildikten sonra, 2000li yıllardaki borç-itişli çevrimin canlılık ve onu izleyen durgunluk evrelerinin incelenmesine geçilmektedir. Yazının bir sonraki bölümünde Türkiye ekonomisinin uzun dönemli gelişmesi gözden geçirilmekte ve 1980lerin başından günümüze kadar geçen uzun dönemde Türkiyenin ABnin (reel hasıla artışı itibariyle) ABnin doğu ve güneydoğusundaki çevre ülkelerine kıyasla daha başarılı olduğu kaydedilmektedir. Bununla birlikte, Türkiye 2000li yıllarda (ABnin çevresinde yer alan ülkelerdekine benzer biçimde) sanayisizleşme belirtileri göstermekte, özelleştirme ve sendikasızlaşmanın olumsuz toplumsal etkileri ile de karşı karşıya bulunmaktadır.

Türkiye ve ABnin çevre ülkeleri: Bir ekonomik değerlendirme

The aim of this paper is to review the Turkish economic experience in comparison to those countries at the periphery of the EU in the last three decades. Starting with the assessment of economic performance in major country groups over the last three medium- term cycles of the world economy, the paper then proceeds to the examination of debt-led boom and the subsequent recession in that periphery over the 2000s. In the following section, Turkish economic development over the long run is reviewed and it is noted that, from the early 1980s to the present, Turkey had a better record of output growth vis-à-vis the Eastern & South Eastern periphery of the EU. However, Turkey has recently started to show signs of deindustrialisation and has also been faced with some adverse social consequences of privatisation and deunionisation similar to what has been observed in the periphery of the EU.

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