TÜRKİYE’DEKİ KARAYOLU TRAFİK KAZALARINDAKİ EĞİLİMLER, 1980-2016

Bu çalışmanın amacı Türkiye’de 1980 ile 2016 yılları arasındaki trafik kazası, ölüm ve yaralanma oranlarını incelemektir. Zaman serisi analizi kullanılarak 1000 kişi, 1000 sürücü, 1000 taşıt ve milyon taşıt-kilometre başına düşen kaza eğilimleri analiz edilmiştir. Ayrıca, çalışma süresince Türkiye’de gerçekleşen ekonomik gelişme ile trafik kazaları arasında ilişki araştırılmıştır. Karayolu yatırımlarının ve trafikteki yaptırımların kazalar, ölümler ve yaralanmalar üzerindeki etkisi de tartışılmıştır. Çalışmanın sonuçları Türkiye’de gelir düzeyinde, taşıt sahipliğinde ve taşıt-km’de yaşanan hızlı artışa rağmen, trafik kazalarındaki ölümlerin son 26 yılda %17 oranında azaldığını göstermiştir. Öte yandan, trafik kazalarının ve yaralanmaların sayısı artmaya devam etmektedir ve ölüm oranları halen Avrupa Birliği ülkelerinin üzerindedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Trafik kazaları, kaza oranı, ulusal güvenlik analizi, Türkiye

TRENDS IN ROAD TRAFFIC CRASHES IN TURKEY, 1980-2016

The objective of this article is to examine the trends of traffic crashes, deaths and injuries in Turkey from 1980 to 2016. A time-series methodology were used to analyze crash trends per 1000 people, 1000 driver, 1000 vehicle and a million vehicle-kilometer traveled (VKT). Furthermore, the association between economic development of Turkey and traffic crashes were explored. The effectiveness of highway investments and traffic enforcement on traffic crashes, deaths and injuries were also discussed. Results shows that even though a dramatic increase is has observed in income, vehicle ownership and VKT in Turkey, road traffic deaths has decreased by 17% in the last 26 years. However, crashes and injuries has continued to increase, and death rates are still higher than rates in the European Union (EU) countries.

Keywords:

Traffic crashes, crash rate, nationwide safety analysis, Turkey,

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