Şanlıurfa İlinde Et ve Et Ürünleri Tüketimini Etkileyen Faktörlerin Standart Devamlı Talep Modellerine Göre Belirlenmesi Üzerine Bir Araştırma

Bu çalışmada, standart devamlı talep modelleri kullanılarak, Şanlıurfa ilinde hanelerin kırmızı ve beyaz et tüketim desenine etki eden faktörler analiz edilmiştir. Yapılan testler sonucunda, iki basamaklı Cragg devamlı talep modelinin, tek basamaklı Tobit devamlı talep modeline üstün olduğu görülmüştür. Bilindiği gibi, tek basamaklı Tobit devamlı talep modeli, malı satın alma kararı ile satın alınan mal miktarına etki eden faktörlerin aynı olduğunu varsaymaktadır. Hanelerin ekonomik faktörlerinin yanında sosyo-demografik faktörlerinin çoğunun da, et tüketimini önemli derecede etkilediği görülmüştür. Kırmızı et talebi; toplam gıda harcamalarına, hanehalkı reisine ve hanehalkı sayısına karşı elastik iken, beyaz et talebi modelde kullanılan hiç bir değişkene karşı elastik bulunmamıştır

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Tobit, Cragg, Kırmızı ve Beyaz Etler, Talep Analizleri

FACTORS AFFECTING MEAT AND MEAT PRODUCTS CONSUMPTION QUANTITIES IN SANLIURFA PROVINCE

In this paper, a two-stage decision choice modeling was used to estimate red and white meat consumption demand patterns in Sanliurfa city. The conducted tests reveal that a two-stage Cragg model is deemed appropriate than a single Tobit model which assumes the decision to purchase meat to be the same as the decision for the quantity consumed. Most of household demographic variables play important role in determining meat consumption pattern as economic factors play. The demand for red meat is elastic with respect to total food expenditure, the age of household head and household size, while the demand for white meat was not elastic with any of variables used in the model.

Keywords:

Tobit, Cragg, red and white meats, demand analysis,

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