Eray CAN, Hülya KESKİN ÇITIROĞLU, Deniz ARCA

JEOTERMAL ENERJİ SANTRALLERİNİN (JES) PROJELENDİRİLMESİNDE OLUŞMASI MUHTEMEL RİSKLERİN ANALİZ EDİLMESİ

Günümüz koşullarında fosil yakıtların hem hızla tükenmeye başlaması hem de maliyetlerinin yüksek olması ve çevresel kaygılar nedenleriyle, enerji üretiminde yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklarına daha hızlı bir yönelim olmaktadır. İnsanoğlu, yirminci yüzyılın başlarından itibaren yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklarından güç üretme yeteneği kazanmış olup, yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklarından biri olan jeotermal enerji günümüzde üzerine çaba harcanan enerji kaynaklarından biri haline gelmiştir. Yenilenebilir ve sürdürülebilir enerji kaynaklarından biri olan jeotermal enerji santrallerinin (JES) projelendirilmesi yapılırken, karşılaşılabilecek olası risklerin belirlenmesi ve bu risklere karşı önlem alınması; planlanan santralin güvenliği, verimi, kullanım ömrü, proje maliyetinin belirlendiği düzeyde kalması ve elektrik enerjisi üretiminde sürdürülebilirliğin sağlanması açılarından olumlu etkilere sahiptir. Bu nedenle bu çalışmada JES kurulumunda veya projelendirilmesinde karşılaşılabilecek hata ve riskler, sırasıyla Hata Türü ve Etkileri Analizi (HTEA), Pareto ve Analitik hiyerarşi prosesi (AHP) sistematiğinde araştırılmış ve sonuçlar karşılaştırılmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Jeotermal enerjisi santrali (JES), Hata Türü ve Etkileri Analizi (HTEA), Pareto Analizi, Analitik Hiyerarşi Prosesi (AHP)

Analysis of Possible Risks in the Project of Geothermal Power Plants (GPP)

In today's conditions, there is a faster trend towards renewable energy sources in energy production owing to the quickly consuming of fossil combustibles, their high costs and environmental concerns. Mankind has gained the ability to generate power from sources of renewable energy until now the early of the twentieth century, and geothermal energy has become one of the energy sources on which efforts are made today. During the design of geothermal power plants (GPP), that is one of the sources of sustainable and renewable energy, determining the possible risks that may be encountered and taking precautions against these risks; It has positive effects in terms of safety, efficiency, useful life of the planned power plant, keeping the project cost at the determined level and ensuring sustainability in electrical energy production. Therefore, the failures that may be met in the installation or design of GPP; Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA), Pareto and Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) systematics were searched and their outcomes were matched in this study.

Keywords:

Geothermal power plant (GPP), Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA), Pareto Analysis, Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) Jeotermal enerjisi santrali (JES), Hata Türü ve Etkileri Analizi (HTEA), Pareto Analizi, Analitik Hiyerarşi Prosesi (AHP),

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