Possible Challenges to The Republic of Abkhazia in The Focus of Trump Administration`s Geopolitical Interests in The South Caucasus [Güney Kafkasya’da Trump Yönetiminin Jeopolitik Çıkarlarının Işığında Abhazya Cumhuriyeti’nin Yaşayacağı Muhtemel Zorluklar]

Makale, 45. ABD Başkanı Donald Trump’ın Güney Kafkasya dış politikasını incelemektedir. Mayıs 2017’de imzalanan ve Abhazya’nın bağımsızlığını tanıyan ve onunla diplomatik ilişkiler kuran devletlere maddi yardımda bulunmayı yasaklayan Konsolide Tahsisatlar Yasası, ilk kez Abhazya’yı “işgal altındaki topraklar” olarak yasama düzeyinde ilan etti. 2016 yılından bu yana ABD Gürcistan’la askeri işbirliğini güçlendiriyor ve Trump başkanlığında da benzer bir yol izlenmeye devam ediyor. Bu önlemler ve ABD ile İran arasında ilişkilerin gelişmesi de genel olarak Güney Kafkasya’da ve özellikle Abhazya’da durumun istikrarsızlaştırılmasına katkıda bulunuyor. Trump yönetimi altında Güney Kafkasya’da Rusya ile olan anlaşmazlıklar daha saldırgan hale geldi. Böyle bir durum, bölgenin bir parçası olan Abhazya’nın çıkarlarını ve güvenliğini etkileyecektir. Makale bu bağlamda ABD Başkanı Donald Trump’ın Abhazya Cumhuriyeti’ne yönelik dış politikasında olası zorlukları ve tehditleri izlemeye çalışmaktadır.

Possible Challenges to The Republic of Abkhazia in The Focus of Trump Administration`s Geopolitical Interests in The South Caucasus

The article reviews the foreign policy of the 45th US President Donald Trump in the South Caucasus. In the Consolidated Appropriations Act, signed in May 2017, which prohibits financial assistance to the states that recognized Abkhazia’s independence and established diplomatic relations with it, for the first time on the legislative level America declares Abkhazia an “occupied territory”. Since 2016, America has been strengthening military cooperation with Georgia, similar course is pursued during the presidency of Trump. These measures, as well as the growing escalation of the relations between the US and Iran, contribute to the destabilization of the situation in the South Caucasus in general and in Abkhazia in particular. Under Trump, the confrontation with Russia in the South Caucasus has become more aggressive. Such a situation can not but affect the interests and security of Abkhazia, which is part of the region. In this connection, this article attempts to trace possible challenges in the foreign policy course of US President Donald Trump to the Republic of Abkhazia.

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