Terorün BRICS ve MINT Ülkelerindeki Turizm Faaliyetleri Üzerine Etkisi

Küreselleşen dünya ekonomisinde, ekonomik acıdan belirsizliklere sebep olacak olaylar bütün ülkeleri etkilemektedir. Son yıllarda dünya ekonomisi icerisinde hızlı gelişimi ve ekonomilere olan katkısı sebebiyle turizm ülkeler acısından büyük onem kazanmıştır. Bununla birlikte, tüm dünyada artış egiliminde olan teror olayları turizm hareketliligini etkilemektedir. Bu calışmanın amacı, son yıllarda yaşanan teror olaylarının BRICS (Brezilya, Rusya, Hindistan, Çin ve Güney Afrika) ve MINT (Meksika, Endonezya, Nijerya ve Türkiye) ülkelerini ziyaret eden turist sayısına olan etkilerini incelemektir. Bu amac dogrultusunda, 2002-2013 donemi inceleme konusu yapılmıştır. Ekonometrik yontem olarak, Konya (2006) tarafından onerilen SUR modeline dayalı bootstrap nedensellik testi kullanılmıştır. Çalışmanın sonuclarına gore, ele alınan BRICS ve MINT ülkelerinden yalnızca Meksika'da turizmden terorizme dogru nedensellik ilişkisi tespit edilmiştir

Effects of Terror on Tourism Activities in BRICS and MINT Countries

In the globalized world economy, economic events that bring about uncertainties have an impact on all countries. Tourism has been gaining importance in the world economy with its rapid development and significant contributions to the economy. In the meantime, increasing terror events all around the world have been affecting tourism mobility. This study aims to investigate the effects of terror events occurred in recent years on the tourist arrivals in BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) and MINT (Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria and Turkey) countries. For this aim, bootstrap causality test based on SUR model, which was suggested by Konya (2006), was employed to data from the period 2002-2013. According to the empirical results, a unidirectional causality from tourism to terror was found only in Mexico

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