___

• AKIŞ, Sevgin; (1998), “A Compact Econometric Model of Tourism Demand for Turkey”, Tourism Management, 19(I), pp. 99-102.
• AKTAŞ, Cengiz; (2005), “Türkiye’ nin Turizm Gelirini Etkileyen Değişkenler İçin En Uygun Regresyon Denkleminin Belirlenmesi”, Doğuş Üniversi- tesi Dergisi, 6(2), ss.163-174.
• ALLEN, David; Ghialy YAP and Riaz SHAREEF; (2009), “Modelling Interstate Tourism Demand in Australia: A Cointegration Approach”, Mathemat- ics and Computers in Simulation, 79, pp.2733-2740.
• ASLAN, Alper; (2008), “Türkiye' de Ekonomik Büyüme ve Turizm ilişkisi üzerine Ekonometrik Analiz”, Munich Personal Repec Archive MPRA, MPRA Paper No: 10611, İnternet Adresi: http://mpra.ub.uni- muenchen.de/10611/, Erişim Tarihi: 03.11.2014.
• BADILLO, Rosa; Carmelo REVERTE and Elena RUBIO; (2011), “The Fisher Effect in the EU Revisited: New Evidence Using Panel Cointegration Es- timation with Global Stochastic Trends” Applied Economics Letters, 18(3), pp.1247-1251.
• BAHAR, Ozan ve Kurtuluş BOZKURT; (2010), “Gelişmekte Olan Ülkelerde Turizm-Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: Dinamik Panel Veri Analizi”, Ana- tolia: Turizm Araştırmaları Dergisi, 21(2), ss.255-265.
• BAI, Jushan and Chihwa KAO; (2006), “On the Estimation and Inference of a Panel Cointegration Model with Cross-Sectional Dependence”, in Badi BALTAGI (Ed.), Panel Data Econometrics: Theoretical Contribu- tions and Empirical Applications, Amsterdam: Elsevier Science, pp. 3- 30.
• BAI, Jushan and Serena NG; (2004), “A Panic Attack on Unit Roots and Cointe- gration”, Econometrica, 72, pp.1127–177.
• BAI, Jushan; Chihwa KAO and Serena NG; (2009), “Panel Cointegration with Global Stochastic Trends”, Journal of Econometrics, 149, pp. 82-99.
• BALTAGI, Badi H.; (2014), The Oxford Handbook of Panel Data, First Edi- tion, OUP-USA: Oxford University Press.
• BICAK, H. Ali; Mehmet ALTINAY and Hatice JENKINS; (2005), “Forecasting the Tourism Demand of North Cyprus”, Journal of Hospitality & Lei- sure http://dx.doi.org/10.1300/ J150v12n03_06, Date of Access: 02.11.2014. 12(3), pp.87-99, Internet Address:
• BODART, Vincent J.; Bertrand CANDELON and Jean-François CARPENTIER; (2012), “Real Exchanges Rates in Commodity Producing Countries: A Reappraisal”, Journal of International Money and Finance, 31(6), pp.1482-1502.
• BOTTASSO, Anna; Caroline CASTAGNETTI and Maurizio CONTI; (2013), “And Yet They Co-move Public Capital and Productivity in OECD”, Journal of Policy Modeling, 35, pp.713-729.
• CAMARERO, Mariam; Estrella G´OMEZ and Cecilio TAMARIT; (2013), “EMU and Trade Revisited: Long-Run Evidence Using Gravity Equa- tions”, The World Economy, 36, pp.1146-64.
• CHO, Vincent; (2009), “A Study on the Temporal Dynamics of Tourism Demand in the Asia Pacific Region”, International Journal of Tourism Re- search, 11, pp.465-485.
• CHO, Vincent; (2010), “A Study of the Non-economic Determinants in Tourism Demand”, International Journal Of Tourism Research, 12, pp.307- 320.
• CHU, Fong-Lin; (2009), “Forecasting Tourism Demand with ARMA-Based Methods”, Tourism Management, 30, pp.740-751.
• ÇOBAN, Orhan ve Ceyhun Can ÖZCAN; (2013), “Türkiye’de Turizm Gelirleri- Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: Nedensellik Analizi (1963-2010)”, Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi İİBF Dergisi, 8(1), ss.243-261.
• CROUCH, Geoffrey; (1995), “A Meta-Analysis of Tourism Demand”, Annals of Tourism Research, 22(1), pp.103-118.
• DEMİREL, Baki; Barış ALPARSLAN; Emre Güneşer BOZDAĞ and Alp Gökhun İNCİ; (2013), “The Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on Tour- ism Sector: A Case Study, Turkey”, Niğde Üniversitesi İİBF Dergisi, 6(2), pp.117-126.
• DIVISEKERA, Sarath; (2003), "A Model of Demand for International Tourism", Annals of Tourism Research, 30(1), pp.31-49.
• DRITSAKIS, Nikolaos and Spiros ATHANASIADIS; (2000), “An Econometric Model of Tourist Demand: The Case of Greece”, Journal of Hospitality & http://dx.doi.org/ 10.1300/ J150v07n02_03, Date of Access: 02.11.2014. Marketing, 7(2), pp.39-49, Internet Address:
• DRITSAKIS, Nikolaos; (2004), “Cointegration Analysis of German and British Tourism Demand for Greece”, Tourism Management, 25, pp.111-119.
• DURBARRY, Ramesh and M. Thea SINCLAIR; (2003), “Market Shares Analy- sis the Case of French Tourism Demand”, Annals of Tourism Research, 30(4), pp.927-941.
• EUROSTAT; (2014a), “Consumer Price Indices”, Internet Address: http://ec.eu- ropa.eu/eurostat/web/hicp/data/database, Date of Access: 14.10.2014.
• EUROSTAT; (2014b), “National Accounts”, Internet Address: http://epp.euro- stat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/statistics/search_database, Date of Access: 14.10.2014.
• Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; (2014), “Economic Data-Consumer Price Index of All Items Index 2010=100”, Economic Research Division, In- ternet Address: http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2, Date of Access:
• GREENE, William H.; (2012), Econometric Analysis, Seventh Edition, Pearson New Jersey: Education Limited, Prentice Hall.
• HABIBI, Fateh, Khalid Abdul RAHIM and Lee CHIN; (2008), “United Kingdom and United States Tourism Demand for Malaysia: A Cointegration Anal- ysis”, MPRA Papers, pp. 1-16, Internet Address: http://mpra.ub.uni- muenchen.de/13590/1/MPRA_paper_13590.pdf, 02.11.2014. Date of Access:
• IM, Kyung So; M. Hashem PESARAN and Yongcheol SHIN; (2003), “Testing for Unit Roots in Heterogeneous Panels”, Journal of Econometrics, 115, pp. 53-74.
• IMF; (2014), “International Financial Statistics Data”, Internet Address: http://elibrary-data.imf.org/FindDataReports.aspx?d=33061&e=169393. Date of Access: 02.10.2014.
• JINTRANUN, Jintanee; Songsak SRIBOONCHITTA; Peter CALKINS and Chukiat CHAIBOONSRI; (2011), “Thailand’s International Tourism De- mand: Seasonal Panel Unit Roots and the Related Cointegration Model”, Review of Economics&Finance, pp. 63-76.
• KAO, Chihwa and Min-Hsien Chiang CHIANG; (2000), “On the Estimation and Inference of a Cointegrated Regression in Panel Data”, in Badi H. BALTAGI (Ed.), Advances in Econometrics: Nonstationary Panels, Panel Cointegration and Dynamic Panels, 15, Amsterdam: Elsevier Science, pp. 179-222.
• KAO, Chihwa; (1999), “Spurious Regression and Residual-Based Tests for Coin- tegration in Panel Data”, Journal of Econometrics, 90, pp.1-44.
• KARA, Oğuz; İstemi ÇÖMLEKÇİ ve Vahdet KAYA; (2012), “Turizm Gelirl- erinin Çeşitli Makro Ekonomik Göstergeler İle İlişkisi: Türkiye Örneği (1992-2011)”, Ekonomik ve Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi, 8(1), ss.75- 100.
• KOZIC, Ivan; (2014), “Detecting International Tourism Demand Growth Cy- cles”, Current Issues in Tourism, 17(5), pp.397-403, Internet Address: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/ 13683500.2013.808607, Date of Access: 02.11.2014.
• KULENDRAN, Nada and Stephen F. WITT; (2001), “Cointegration Versus Least Squares Regression”, Annals of Tourism Research, 28(2), pp.291-311.
• LEJÁRRAGA, Iza and Peter WALKENHORST; (2013), “Economic Policy, Tourism Trade and Productive Diversification”, International Econom- ics, 135-136, pp.1-12.
• LEVIN, Andrew; Chien-Fu LIN and Chia-Shang CHU; (2002), “Unit Root Tests in Panel Data: Asymptotic and Finite-Sample Properties”, Journal of Econometrics, 108, pp.1-24.
• LI, Gang; Haiyan SONG and Stephen F. WITT; (2005), “Recent Developments in Econometric Modeling and Forecasting”, Journal of Travel Re- search, 44, pp. 82-99.
• LIM, Christine and Michael MCALEER; (2001), “Cointegration Analysis of Quarterly Tourism Demand by Hong Kong and Singapore for Australia”, Applied Economics, 33(12), pp.1599-1619.
• LIM, Christine and Michael MCALEER; (2002), “A Cointegration Analysis of Annual Tourism Demand by Malaysia for Australia”, Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, 59, pp. 197-205.
• LIM, Christine; (1997), “Review of International Tourism Demand Models”, An- nals of Tourism Research, 24(4), pp.835-849.
• LIM, Christine; Michael MCALEER and Jennifer C.H. MIN; (2009), “ARMAX Modelling of International Tourism Demand”, Mathematics and Com- puters in Simulation, 79, pp. 2879-2888.
• MADDALA, Gangadharrao Soundalyarao and Shaowen WU; (1999), “A Com- parative Study of Unit Root Tests with Panel Data and A New Simple Test”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 61, pp. 631-52.
• MOON, Hyungsik Roger and Benoit PERRON; (2004), “Testing for a Unit Root in Panels with Dynamic Factors”, Journal of Econometrics, 122, pp. 81- 126.
• MOSCONE, Francesco and Elisa TOSETTI; (2009), “A Review and Comparison of Tests of Cross Section Independence in Panels”. Journal of Economic Surveys, 23, pp.528-561.
• MUNOZ, Teresa G.; (2007), “German Demand for Tourism in Spain”, Tourism Management, 28, pp. 12-22.
• NARAYAN, Paresh K.; (2003), "Tourism Demand Modelling: Some Issues Re- garding Unit Roots, Co-integration and Diagnostic Tests", International Journal of Tourism Research, 5, pp. 369-380.
• O’CONNEL, Paul G. J.; (1998), “The Overvaluation of Purchasing Power Par- ity”, Journal of International Economics, 44, pp.1-19.
• OECD; (2014a), "Main Economic Indicators - Complete Database", Main Eco- nomic Indicators (database), Internet Address: http://www.oecd-ili- brary.org/economics/ data/main-economic-indicators/main-economic-in- dicators-complete-database_data-00052-en, Date of Access: 14.10.2014.
• OECD; (2014c), “National Income”, Internet Address: http://stats.oecd.org/ In- dex.aspx?DataSetCode=SNA_TABLE2, Date of Access: 14.10.2014.
• OECD; (2014b), "Aggregate National Accounts: Gross Domestic Prod- uct", OECD National Accounts Statistics (database), DOI: 10.1787/data- 00001-en, Internet Address: http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/econom- ics/data/aggregate-national-accounts/gross-domestic-product_data- 00001-en, Date of Access: 14.10.2014.
• OOSTERHAVEN, Jan and Tianhu FAN; (2006), “Impact of International Tour- ism on the Chinese Economy”, International Journal of Tourism Re- search, 8, pp. 347-354.
• OTHMAN, Redzuan, Norlida Hanim Mohd SALLEH and Tamat SARMIDI; (2012), “Analysis of Causal Relationship Between Tourism Develop- ment, Economic Growth and Foreign Direct Investment: An ARDL Ap- proach”, Journal of Applied Sciences, 12, pp. 1245-1254.
• OUERFELLI, Chokri; (2008), “Co-integration Analysis of Quarterly European Tourism Demand in Tunisia”, Tourism Management, 29, pp.127–137.
• PALM, Franz C.; Stephan SMEEKES and Jean-Pierre URBAIN; (2011), “Cross- sectional Dependence Robust Block Bootstrap Panel Unit Root Tests”, Journal of Econometrics, 163, pp. 85-104.
• PEDRONI, Peter; (1999), “Critical Values for Cointegration Tests in Heteroge- neous Panels with Multiple Regressors”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 61(4), pp.653-670.
• PEDRONI, Peter; (2000), “Fully-Modified OLS for Heterogeneous Cointegrated Panels”, in Badi H. BALTAGI (Ed.), Nonstationary Panels, Panel Cointegration and Dynamic Panels, 15, Amsterdam: Elsevier, pp.93- 130.
• PEDRONI, Peter; (2001), “Purchasing Power Parity Tests in Cointegrated Pan- els”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 83(4), pp.727-731.
• PESARAN, M. Hashem; (2004), “General Diagnostic Tests for Cross Section Dependence in Panels”, Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0435, http://www.econ.cam.ac.uk / research/repec/cam/pdf/cwpe0435.pdf, Date of Access: 16.02.2015. Cambridge, Internet Address:
• PESARAN, M. Hashem; (2007), “A Simple Panel Unit Root Test in the Presence of Cross-section Dependence,” Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22(2), pp. 265-312.
• PESARAN, M. Hashem; Aman ULLAH and Takashi YAMAGATA; (2008), “A Bias-adjusted LM Test of Error Cross-section Independence”, Econo- metrics Journal, 11, pp. 105-127.
• SCHIFF, Aaron and Susanne BECKEN; (2011), “Demand Elasticity Estimates for New Zealand Tourism”, Tourism Management, 32, pp.564-575.
• SEDDIGHI, H.R. and DF SHEARING; (1997), “The Demand for Tourism in North East England with Special Reference to Northumbria: An Empiri- cal Analysis”, Tourism Management, 18(8), pp. 499-511.
• SERWA, Dobromił; (2013), “Identifying Multiple Regimes in the Model of Credit to Households”, International Review of Economics and Fi- nance, 27, pp. 198-208.
• SHEN, Shujie; Gang LI and Haiyan SONG; (2011), “Combination Forecasts of International Tourism Demand”, Annals of Tourism Research, 38(1), pp.72-89.
• SMITH, Vanessa; Tae-Hwan KIM; Stephen LEYBOURNE and Paul NEWBOLD; (2004), “More Powerful Panel Data Unit Root Tests with an Application to Mean Reversion in Real Exchange Rates”, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 19, pp.147-170.
• SONG, Haiyan and Gang LI; (2008), “Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecast- ing, A Review of Recent Research”, Tourism Management, 29, pp. 203- 220.
• T.C. Ekonomi Bakanliği; (2014), “Ekonomik Görünüm”, Güncelleme: Adresi: 23/10/2014, Ekonomik_Gorunum.pdf, Erişim Tarihi: 11.11.2014. İnternet
• http://www.ekonomi.gov.tr/files/
• T.C. Kültür ve Turizm Bakanlığı; (2014), “Gelen Yabancı Ziyaretçi Sayısı”, “Sınır Giriş-Çıkış” ve “Turizm Geliri” İstatistikleri, İnternet Adresi: http://sgb.kulturturizm.gov.tr/TR,50930/istatistikler.html, Erişim Tarihi: 11.11.2014.
• TAPŞIN, Gülçin ve Ahu Tuğba KARABULUT; (2013), “Reel Döviz Kuru, İtha- lat ve İhracat Arasındaki Nedensellik İlişkisi: Türkiye Örneği”, Akdeniz İ.İ.B.F. Dergisi, (26), ss.190-205.
• The Bulgarian National Bank; (2014), “Macroeconomic Indicators”, Internet Address: http://www.bnb.bg/Statistics/index.htm, Date of Access: 14.10.2014.
• The Central Bank of The Russian Federation; (2014), “Consumer Price Index: All Items”, Internet Address: http://www.cbr.ru/eng/, Date of Access: 14.10.2014.
• The European Central Bank; (2014), “Statistical Data Warehouse”, Internet Address: http://sdw.ecb.europa.eu/, Date of Access: 14.10.2014.
• The National Bank of Georgia; (2014), “Consumer Price Index”, Internet Ad- dress: https://www.nbg.gov.ge/ index.php?m=306, Date of Access: 13.10.2014.
• The U.S. Energy Information Administration-EIA; (2014), “Imported Crude Oil Price (Real, $/barrel)”, Internet Address: www.eia.gov/forecasts/ steo/realprices/ real_prices.xlsx, Date of Access: 13.8.2014.
• The World Bank; (2014), “Global Economic Monitor” Database, Internet Ad- dress: http://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/global-economic-monitor, Date of Access: 13.10.2014.
• The World Bank; (2014), MIDAS Database, Internet Address: http://data- bank.worldbank.org, Date of Access: 12.11.2014. TRAVELMATH;
• (2014), “Distance Calculator”, Internet Address:
• http://www.travelmath.com/distance/ Date of Access: 19/11/2014
• TÜİK; (2014), “Turizm İstatistikleri (Milliyete Göre Dönemlik Giriş Yapan Yabancı Ziyaretçi Sayısı)”, İnternet Adresi: http://tuikapp.tuik.gov.tr/ tur- izmapp/sinir.zul?, Erişim Tarihi: 03.09.2014.
• TÜROFED; (2010), “Dövizdeki Düşüş, Ziyaretçi Artış Avantajını Götürüyor”, Turizm Raporu 2010, 1(1), ss.6-7.
• TÜROFED; (2014), “Turizm Raporu 2013”, 3(7), İnternet Adresi: http://www.turofed.org.tr/PDF/DergiTr/Turizm_RaporuTUR%C4%B0Z M%20RAPORU%20%C5%9EUBAT%202014.pdf, 11.11.2014. Erişim Tarihi:
• TÜRSAB; (2014a), “Turizmin GSMH İçindeki Payı”, İnternet Adresi: www.tursab.org.tr/tr/istatistikler/ turizmin-ekonomideki-yeri/gsmhicin- deki-payi-1963-_79.html, Erişim Tarihi: 11.11.2014.
• TÜRSAB; (2014b), “Turizmin Dış Ticaret Açıklarını Kapatmada Payı”, İnternet Adresi: yeri/dis-ticaret-aciklarini-kapatmada-payi_916.html, 11.11.2014.
• turizmin-ekonomideki- Erişim Tarihi:
• UNCTAD; (2013), United Nations Conference on Trade and Development- UNCTAD Handbook of Statistics 2013, Newyork: UN Publications.
• UNCTAD; (2014), “Values, Shares and Growth of Exports and Imports of Total Services”, UNCTADSTAT-Services Trade Database, Internet Address: http://unctadstat.unctad.org, Date of Access: 11.11.2014.
• UNWTO; (2014), “United Nations World Tourism Organisation Tourism High- lights”, sites/all/files/pdf/unwto_highlights14_en.pdf, Address:
• http://dtxtq4w60xqpw.cloudfront.net/ Date of Access:
• WANG, Yu-Shan; (2009), “The Impact of Crisis Events and Macroeconomic Ac- tivity on Taiwan’s International Inbound Tourism Demand”, Tourism Management, 30, pp.75-82.
• WESTERLUND, Joakim; (2008), “A Panel Cointegration Tests of the Fisher Ef- fect”, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 23, pp.193-233.
• WITT, Stephen F. and Christine WITT; (1995), “Forecasting Tourism Demand: A Review of Empirical Research”, International Journal of Forecast- ing, 11(3), pp.447-475.
• World Economic Forum-WEF; (2013), “The Travel & Tourism Competitive- ness Report 2013: Reducing Barriers to Economic Growth and Job Crea- tion”, Jennifer BLANKE and Thea CHIESA (Eds.), Geneva, Internet Ad- dress:http://www3.wefo- rum.org/docs/WEF_TT_Competitiveness_Report_2013.pdf, Date of Ac- cess: 11.11.2014.
• YAMAURA, Koichi and Alexi THOMPSON; (2014), "Analysis of Tourism De- mand Model Across European Source Countries", Tourism Planning & Development, 21568316.2014.925487, Date of Access: 02.11.2014. Address: Internet http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/
• ZORTUK, Mahmut ve Seyhat BAYRAK; (2013), “Seçilmiş Ülkelere Göre Tür- kiye’nin Turizm Talebi”, Ekonometri ve İstatistik, 19, ss.38-58.