BİRLEŞİK KRALLIK VE ABD ARASINDAKİ ENDÜSTRİ İÇİ TİCARETİ ETKİLEYEN FAKTÖRLER: ARDL MODELİ YAKLAŞIMI

Bu çalışma, Birleşik Krallık ve Amerika Birleşik Devletleri arasındaki imalat sektöründe endüstri içi ticaretin bir analizidir. Analiz 1993-2019 yıllarını kapsamaktadır. Endüstri içi ticareti etkileyen faktörler ve etkileri incelenmiştir. ARDL yaklaşımı yardımıyla değişkenler arasındaki eşbütünleşme test edilmiştir. Elde edilen sonuçlara göre, uzun dönemde doğrudan yabancı yatırım, kişi başına gelir farkı ve ticari açıklık etkili olurken, kısa dönemde kişi başına gelir farkı, GSYH farkı ve ticaret yönelimi etkili olduğu gözlemlenmiştir. Kişi başına gelir farkı hem kısa vadede hem de uzun vadede endüstri içi ticaret üzerinde bir etkiye sahiptir ve bu da benzer kişi başına gelir seviyelerine sahip ülkeler arasında uluslararası ticaretin daha güçlü olacağını öne süren Linder’in Tercihlerde Benzerlik Teorisini ortaya koymaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Endüstri içi ticaret, Tercihlerde benzerlik teorisi, Ticaret yönelimi, kişi başı milli gelir farkı, ARDL modeli

THE FACTORS AFFECTING THE INTRA INDUSTRY TRADE BETWEEN THE UNITED KINGDOM AND THE UNITED STATES: AN ARDL MODEL APPROACH

This study is an analysis of the intra industry trade between the United Kingdom and the United States of America in the manufacturing sector. The analysis comprises of the years between 1993 and 2019. The factors influencing the intra industry trade and their impacts are examined. With the help of ARDL approach, cointegration between the variables is tested. According to the results, foreign direct investment, per capita income difference and trade openness are affective in the long run, but in the short run, per capita income difference, GDP difference and trade orientation are affective. Per capita income difference has an impact on the intra industry trade both in the short run and in the long run, demonstrating the Linder’s Theory of Overlapping Demands which proposes that the international trade will be stronger between countries with similar per capita income levels.

Keywords:

Intra Industry Trade, Theory of Overlapping Demand, Trade Orientation, Per Capita Income Difference, ARDL Model,

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