TÜRKİYE’DE ENERJİ TÜKETİMİ vE İŞSİZLİK İLİŞKİSİ

Bu çalışmada Gregory-Hansen eşbütünleşme testi ve Toda-Yamamoto nedensellik testi kullanılarak 19802015 döneminde Türkiye için enerji tüketimi ile işsizlik arasındaki ilişki araştırılmıştır. Gregory-Hansen eşbütünleşme testi sonuçlarına göre değişkenler arasında uzun dönemli bir ilişki olduğu görülmektedir. Toda-Yamamoto nedensellik testi sonuçlarına göre ise enerji tüketiminden işsizlik oranlarına doğru tek yönlü nedensellik ilişkisinin varlığı belirlenmiştir. Böylece, enerji tüketimindeki değişikliklerin işsizlik oranları üzerinde etkili olduğu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. Politika yapıcılar tarafından enerji tüketiminin işsizlik oranları üzerinde etkili olduğu dikkate alınmalıdır

ENERGY CONSUMPTION AND UNEMPLOYMENT NEXUS IN TURKEY

This study investigates the relationship between energy consumption and unemployment in Turkey over the period from 1980 to 2015 by utilizing the Gregory-Hansen cointegration test and Toda-Yamamoto causality test. The Gregory-Hansen cointegration test results show that there is a cointegration relationship between the variables in the long run. According to Toda-Yamamoto causality test results, there is unidirectional causality relationship between variables from energy consumption to unemployment rates. Therefore, it is concluded that changes in energy consumption affects unemployment rates. It should be taken into consideration that energy consumption has effect on unemployment rates by policy makers

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