TÜRKİYE’DE 1980 SONRASI PARA AKTARIM MEKANİZMASINDA KREDİ KANALININ YERİ

Para politikasının önemli bir bölümünü oluşturan aktarım mekanizmasının geleneksel görüşün yanı sıra kredi kanalının da bir parçası olmuştur. Kredi görüşüne göre para politikası kredi arzını etkilemekte, daralan kredi miktarı üretimi olumsuz yönde etkilemektedir. Türkiye’deki kredi kanalı için yapılmış kısıtlı sayıdaki çalışmaya ek olarak bu çalışmada kredi kanalının etkisi araştırılmış ve 1980 sonrası için bir destek bulunamamıştır. Nedenselliğin üretimden krediye doğru olduğu ve dolayısıyla kredi miktarında üretimin belirleyici olduğu bulunmuştur.

Türkiye’de 1980 Sonrası Para Aktarım Mekanizmasında Kredi Kanalının Yeri

The credit channel has become a part of the monetary transmission mechanism which is an important part of monetary policy According to the credit view monetary policy affects the credit supply and a reduction in credit deteriorates production Additional to the limited number of studies about credit channel in Turkey this study investigates the credit channel and found no support for it after the 1980s It is found that the causality is from production to credit and thus production determines the credit amount Key Words: Credit view monetary transmission mechanism Turkey

___

  • Alper, C.Emre ve İsmail Sağlam (2001), “The Transmission of a Sudden Capital Outflow: Evidence from Turkey.” Eastern European Economics 39, No. 2, pp. 29-48.
  • Altunbas, Y., O. Fazylov ve P. Molyneux (2002), “Evidence on the bank lending channel in Europe” Journal of Banking & Finance 26, 2093–2110.
  • Bernanke, B.S., (1983), “Nonmonetary effects of the financial crisis in the propagation of the great depression.” American Economic Review 73 (2), 257–276.
  • Bernanke, B.S. (1993), “Credit in Macroeconomy.” Fed of New York Quarterly Review 18, 50-76.
  • Bernanke, Ben, ve Alan Blinder ( 1988), “Credit, money, and aggregate demand,” American Economic Review 78, 435–439.
  • Bernanke, Ben, ve Alan Blinder (1992), “The federal funds rate and the channels of monetary transmission.” American Economic Review 82, 901–921.
  • Bernanke, B. S. ve Gertler, M. (1995), “Inside the black box: the credit channel of monetary policy transmission.” Journal of Economic Perspectives 9(4), 27-48.
  • Bondt, G.J. de (1998), “Credit channels in Europe: Bank-level panel data analyses.” De Nederlandsche Bank WO&E no. 567.
  • Buttiglione, L. ve G. Ferri, 1994, “Monetary Policy Transmission via Lending Rates in Italy: Any Lessons from Recent Experience?” İtalya Merkez Bankası Çalışma makalesi 224.
  • Çavuşoğlu, A. Tarkan (2002), “Credit Transmission Mechanism in Turkey: An Empirical Investigation” ERC Working Papers in Economics 02/03
  • Dale, S.ve A.G. Haldane (1995), “Interest rates and the channels of monetary transmission: some sectoral estimates.” European Economic Review, 39, 9, 1611-1626.
  • Escriva, J.L. ve A.G. Haldane (1994), “The interest rate transmission mechanism: sectoral estimates for Spain.” İspanyol Merkez Bankası makalesi 9414.
  • Fama, E. (1985) “What’s different about banks?” Journal of Monetary Economics, 15, 29–40.
  • Guender, Alfred V. (1998), “Is there a bank-lending channel of monetary policy in New Zealand?” The Economic Record 74, 243-265.
  • Gündüz, Lokman (2001), “Türkiye’de parasal aktarım mekanizması ve banka kredi kanalı” İMKB Dergisi 5, 13-30.
  • Kakes, J. ve J.E. Strum (2002), “Monetary policy and bank lending: Evidence from German banking groups.” Journal of Banking and Finance 26, 2077-2092.
  • Kashyap A. K. and J. C. Stein (1994), Monetary policy and bank lending, G. Mankiw’s Monetary policy, Studies in Business Cycles 29 (pp. 221-56) University of Chicago Press.
  • Kashyap, A.K. ve J.C. Stein (2000), “What do a million banks have to say about the transmission of monetary policy?” American Economic Review 90(3), 407- 428.
  • Kashyap, A.K, J. Stein ve D.Wilcox (1994), “Monetary policy and credit conditions: evidence from the composition of external finance”, American Economic Review 83, 78-98.
  • Küppers, M. (2001), “Curtailing the black box: German banking groups in the transmission of monetary policy” European Economic Review 45, 1907-1930.
  • Perron, P. (1989) The Great Crash the Oil Price Shock and the unit root hypothesis. Econometrica 57, 1361–401.
  • Romer, C.D. ve D. H. Romer (1990), “New evidence on the monetary transmission mechanism.” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1, 149-213.
  • Safaei, J. ve N. E. Cameron (2003), “Credit channel and credit shocks in Canadian macrodynamics – a structural VAR approach” Applied Financial Economics 13, 267–277.
  • Seyrek, İsmail, Mehmet Duman ve Murat Sarıkaya (2002), “Parasal Aktarım Mekanizması Ve Para Politikası Aracı: Türkiye’de Aktarım Mekanizması” Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi. İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, Cilt 5, Sayı 1, 201- 212.
  • Stiglitz, Joseph ve Andrew Weiss. 1981. “Credit Rationing in Markets in Imperfect Information.” American Economic Review 71, no. 3 (June): 393-410.
  • Walsh, C. E. (1998) “Monetary Theory and Policy” MIT Yayınları Cambridge, MA, ABD.
  • Worms, Andreas (2001), “Monetary policy effects on bank loans in Germany: A panel- econometric analysis” the Deutsche Bundesbank Discussion paper 17/01