Çevresel Düzenlemelerle Güvenli Kentler Oluşturmak: Mahallelerin Geçirgenliği ve Evden Hırsızlık Oranları, Diyarbakır, Türkiye

Çevresel Kriminoloji perspektifine göre bir evin suçlara maruz kalmasını etkileyen birçok faktör bulunmaktadır. Evden hırsızlık suçunda ise mahallelerin geçirgenliği önemli bir etkendir. Mahallelerin geçirgenliği ile evden hırsızlık suçu arasındaki ilişkiyi araştıran birçok çalışma bulunmaktadır. Bu çalışmaların birçoğu geçirgenliği bir ara değişken olarak tespit etmiştir. Bu çalışma ise Diyarbakır şehri hakkında elde edilmiş olan çevresel ve suç değişkenlerini içeren bir ikincil veri seti üzerine kurulmuştur. Analiz sonucunda, mahallelerin geçirgenliği ile evden hırsızlık suçu arasında anlamlı bir ikili ilişki bulunmuştur. Regresyon modeline ev sayısı değişkeni dâhil edildiğince ise, geçirgenlik değişkeninin etkisi ortadan kalkmaktadır. Hem geçirgenliği hem de evden hırsızlık suçunu etkileyen asıl faktörün mahallede bulunan ev sayısı olduğu ortaya çıkmıştır.

Creating Safe Cities Through Environmental Design: Neighborhood Permeability and Burglary Rates in Diyarbakir, Turkey

According to Environmental Criminological perspective various factors may affect the vulnerability of a house. In terms of residentiall burglary, permeability is one of the major factors. There have been multiple studies to examine the relationship between the degree of neighborhood permeability and burglary rates. Most of the studies concluded that permeability is a mediating factor for burglary. This study derives on these condary data collected on environmental factors and burglary rates in Diyarbakir. The analysis showed that there is a significant bivariate relationship between neighborhood permeability and burglaryrates. However when number of houses introduced to the regression model, the effect of neighborhood permeability disappears. It is found that the major variable that affects both neighborhood permeability and burglary rates is the number of houses.

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