Terör, Ekonomik Büyüme ve Genç İşsizlik Arasındaki İlişki: Panel VAR Analizi

Öz Bu çalışmanın amacı, 2003-2018 döneminde terörden en çok etkilenen 11 ülkede (Afganistan, Pakistan, Mısır, Hindistan, Türkiye, Irak, Yemen, Nijerya, Filipinler, Libya, İsrail) terör, büyüme ve genç işsizlik arasındaki ilişkiyi araştırmaktır. Çalışmada, yatay kesit bağımlılığını dikkate alan CADF panel birim kök testi ile değişkenlerin durağanlık sınaması yapılmıştır. Ayrıca değişkenler arasındaki ilişkiyi araştırmak için Panel VAR ve Panel Granger Nedensellik analizleri kullanılmıştır. Ampirik bulgular, genç işsizliğin büyümeye göre terörden daha fazla etkilendiğini ortaya koymaktadır. İlaveten, terörden genç işsizliğe, doğru tek yönlü nedensellik ilişkisi tespit edilmiştir. Bu sebeple genç işsizlik oranında yapılacak iyileştirmelerin terör faaliyetlerini azaltabileceği belirtilmektedir.

The Relationship between Terror, Economic Growth and Young Unemployment: Panel VAR Analysis

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