The Process of Brexit and Possible Models for EU & UK’s Future

Brexit veya Brexit krizi, Avrupa Birliği'nden İngiltere çıkışına başlayan sürece verilen (Avrupa Birliği'nden İngiltere’nin çıkışının kısa kod adı olarak) isimdir. Bilindiği gibi, bu süreç, AB’yi % 52 oranına yakın değerde bırakmak isteyen destekçilerin 23 Haziran 2016’daki referandumun ardından zaferiyle resmiyet kazanmıştır. Günümüzde, mevcut süreç farklı bir anlam daha kazanmıştır, bu nedenle bugün, 29 Mart 2017'de başlayan ayrılık müzakerelerini erteleme anlaşmalarının gerçekleştirilmesine de atıfta bulunmaktadır. İngiltere’de Avam Kamarası 14 Ekim'de 2019'da, iktidardaki Muhafazakar Partinin ılımlı Muhafazakar Milletvekili Oliver Letwin tarafından önerilen değişikliğin kabul edilmesi üzerine gecikmeli olarak harekete geçebilmiştir. Letwin'in değişiklik önerisi, Brexit anlaşması yürürlüğe girmeden önce İngiltere'nin ihiç antlaşma yapmadan AB’yi terk etmesini engellemeyi hedeflemiştir. Bu çalışmada, Brexit'in olası süreci ele alınacak ve İngiltere’nin beklenen yeni dış politikası ve mevcut AB üyesi ve aday ülkeleri üzerindeki etkileri farklı modeler üzerinden incelenektir.

Brexit Süreci ve AB ile İngiltere’nin Geleceği İçin Olası Modeller

The Brexit or Brexit crisis is the same term for the UK exit beginner project of the European Union (known as the code name for the meaning as British exit from the European Union).  As is known, this process was started officially started via following the referendum of 23th June in 2016 which presented the victory of the supporters who had been wishing to leave the EU at the near value as %52. Nowadays, the exist process gained a different meaning, hence it refers today to realizing the withdrawal agreements negotiated with the long withdrawal procedure started on 29th  March in 2017. The new Brexit agreement was scheduled to be voted as a motion at the extraordinary session of the House of Commons on 14TH October in 2019, but upon the adoption of the proposed amendment by Oliver Letwin, the moderate Conservative MP of the ruling Conservative Party, the government withdrew the motion. Letwin's amendment proposal aims to prevent Britain from "accidentally" leaving the EU unintentionally before the Brexit agreement is enacted. In this paper the possible process of Brexit will be discussed, and its effects on UK’s foreign policy and available EU member and candidate countries are going to be paid attention.

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