YEŞİL BÜYÜMENİN BELİRLEYİCİLERİ: ÇİN ÖRNEĞİ

Küreselleşme süreci ile birlikte Çin, yüksek seviyede ekonomik büyüme oranları gerçekleştirmiştir. Gelişmekte olan ülkeler arasında yer alan Çin gerek nüfusu gerek ekonomik potansiyeli ile dünyada öne çıkan ekonomiler arasında yer almaktadır. Ülke ekonomilerinde en önemli makroekonomik hedefler arasında ekonomik büyüme yer almaktadır. Söz konusu hedefin sürdürülebilir olması ciddi önem taşımaktadır. Bu açıdan hem sürdürülebilir ekonomik büyüme hem de ekonomik kalkınma açısından yeşil büyüme çok önemli hale gelmiştir. Bu çalışmada en çok karbon salınımına sebep olan ülkeler arasında yer alan Çin ekonomisine ait 1990-2019 örneklem döneminde yıllık finansal gelişme, yenilenebilir enerji ve ekonomik entegrasyon değişkenleri ile yeşil büyüme ilişkisi araştırılmaktadır. Ampirik yöntem olarak Fourier ARDL yöntemi kullanılmıştır. Ampirik bulgular uzun dönemli ilişkinin mevcut olduğunu göstermiştir. Uzun dönem katsayı tahmin bulgularına göre Çin’de finansal gelişmenin yeşil büyüme üzerinde olumlu, yenilenebilir enerji tüketimi ve ekonomik entegrasyon ise olumsuz yönde etkide bulunmuştur. Kısa dönem bulguları ise finansal gelişmenin yeşil büyüme üzerinde olumlu, yenilenebilir enerji tüketiminin ise olumsuz etkisinin bulunduğu ortaya konmuştur.

THE DETERMINANTS OF GREEN GROWTH: THE CASE OF CHINA

Along with the globalization process, China has achieved high levels of economic growth rates. China, which is among the developing countries, is among the prominent economies in the world with its population and economic potential. Economic growth is among the most important macroeconomic targets in national economies. Sustainability of this target is of great importance. In this respect, green growth has become very important in terms of both sustainable economic growth and economic development. In this study, the relationship between annual financial development, renewable energy and economic integration variables and green growth in the 1990-2019 sample period of the Chinese economy is investigated. Fourier ARDL method was used as empirical method. Empirical findings have shown that there is a long-run relationship. According to both long- and short-term coefficient estimation findings, it has been revealed that financial development has a positive effect on green growth, while renewable energy consumption and economic integration have a negative effect on green growth in China.

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