TAMAMLAYICILIK İNDEKSİ ÇALIŞMASI: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ

Bu çalışma, Türkiye’nin ticari yapısını bilimsel bir şekilde ele alarak anlamayı amaçlamaktadır. Buradaki kantitatif soru, Türkiye’nin ticaretinin partnerleriyle ne derece uyumlu olduğudur. Bunun için, literatür taraması sonucunda erişilen ve bir ülke pazarının diğer ülke pazarlarıyla ne kadar örtüştüğünü ölçmek amacıyla oluşturulmuş endeksler üzerinde çalışılmaktadır. Hepsi tek tek ele alınıp birbirleri ile karşılaştırması yapılmaktadır. Her birinin kendine has avantaj ve dezavantajları olan endekslerin yalnız bir tanesini uygulamaktan kaçınarak, hepsinin bir kombinasyonu olan yeni bir endeks üretilmektedir. Elde edilen ilgili verilerin bahsi geçen indeks üzerinde uygulamaya konulması sonucu Türkiye’nin 2011-2015 yıllarında; Kuveyt, Suudi Arabistan, Özbekistan, Katar ve Avusturya ile en üst düzeyde tamamlayıcı ticaret yapısına sahip iken; Singapur, Malta, Yunanistan, Hindistan ve Japonya ile en düşük düzeyde tamamlayıcı ticaret yapısına sahip olduğu ortaya çıkmaktadır. Bu çalışmayı önemli kılan faktör ise, Türkiye’nin ticaret tamamlayıcılığı üzerine yapılan ilk çalışma olmasıdır.

A COMPLEMENTARITY INDEX STUDY: THE CASE OF TURKEY

This paper aims to understand the trade structure of Turkey in a scientific base. The empirical question is how much compatible Turkey’s trade is with its partners. After a literature review, we work through the indices created to gauge a market’s complementarity with another and evaluate the appropriateness of these indices by examining each and making a comparison between them. Rather than relying upon one of them -of each has its own pros and cons-, we create a new index which is a combination of other indices found in the literature. In the end, by applying the related trade data to the concept, calculations show that, for the period throughout 2011 and 2015 in general, Turkey has the highest complementary trade structure with Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Uzbekistan, Qatar and Austria while Singapore, Malta, Greece, India and Japan emerge as the partner countries with the lowest complementarity with Turkey. The most important feature of this study, after all, is its being the first searching about the trade complementarity of Turkey.

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