Regional impacts of alternative price policies for Turkey' s dairy sector

Tarımsal politikaların bölgesel etkileri, hem ülke içindeki ekonomik gerekçelerle hem de Türkiye'nin Avrupa Birliğine katılma arzusundan dolayı önemli bir endişe olarak ortaya çıkmıştır. Bu çalışma, son yıllarda dikkate alınan iki alternatif sütçülük destekleme politikasının bölgesel etkilerini analiz etmek için spatial bir denge modelini kullanmaktadır. Bunlar teşvik primi ve hedef fiyat/fark ödemesi politikalarıdır. Her iki politika da, 1980 sonrasındaki trendin Türkiye'nin gelişmiş batı bölgelerinde üretilen sütün payının daha büyük bir oranda artmasına katkıda bulunmuştur. Bölgeler arasındaki dengesizlik, süt teşvik primi politikasına göre hedef fiyat politikası altında daha fazla artmaktadır.

Türkiye sütçülük sektöründe alternatif fiyat politikalarının bölgesel etkileri

Regional impacts of agricultural policies have emerged as a key concern in Turkey for both domestic reasons and because of Turkey's desire to join the European Union. This study uses a spatial equilibrium model to analyze the regional impacts of 2 alternative dairy support policies that are currently being considered: a price premium policy and a target price/deficiency payment policy. Both policies are found to exacerbate the post-1980 trend toward a greater share of milk produced in the more prosperous western regions of Turkey. Regional disparity in milk production increases more under the target price policy than under the price premium policy.

___

  • 1. E.U. Commission: First Report on Economic and Social Cohesion. Luxembourg, 1996.
  • 2. Wiliams, R.H.: European Union Spatial Policy and Planning. London: Paul Chapman Publishing, 1996.
  • 3. Yavuz, F., Birinci, A., Peker, K.: Economic Structural Change, Problems and Solutions in the East Anatolian Agriculture. East Anatolian Agriculture Congress, Erzurum, 1998, 1065-1075.
  • 4. State Planning Organization: Special Master Report on Dairy and Dairy Products of VIII. Five-Year Development Plan. Ankara,2000.
  • 5. Yavuz F., Aksoy, S., Tan, S., Dagdemir, V., Keskin, A.: Institutional Structuring Requirement for the Improvement of Dairy Marketing System in Turkey. The Agricultural Economics Research Institute, Ankara, 2001.
  • 6. State Institute of Statistics: Agricultural Structure and Production. Ankara, 1980-1998.
  • 7. State Institute of Statistics: Gross Domestic Product by Provinces. Ankara, 1998.
  • 8. Copus, A.K., Kelly, R.: The Implications of Further CAP Reform on the Regional Impact of Livestock Headage Payments in Scotland, European Network for Livestock Systems and Integrated Rural Development, www.mluri.sari.zc.uk/ livestocksystems/ dublin/Kelly. 2002.
  • 9. Ruane, J.J., Hallberg, M.C.: Spatial Equilibrium Analysis for Fluid and Manufacturing Milk in the United States, 1967. Bulletin 783, The Pennsylvania State University, Pennsylvania, 1972.
  • 10. Hallberg, M.C., Hahn, D.E., Stammer, R. W., Elterich, G.J., Fife, C.L.: Impact of Alternative Federal Milk Marketing Order Pricing Policies on the United States Dairy Industry. The Pennsylvania State University, Pennsylvania, 1978.
  • 11. McDowell, F.H.: Domestic Dairy Marketing Policy: An Interregional Trade Approach, PhD dissertation, The University of Minnesota, Minnesota, 1982.
  • 12. Chavas, J.P., Kraus, A.F., Jesse, E.V.: A Regional Analysis of Milk Supply Response in the United States. North Central J. Agri. Econom., 1990, 12: 149-164.
  • 13. . Yavuz, F., Schnitkey, G.D., Zulauf, C.R., Miranda, M.J.: A Spatial Equilibrium Analysis of Regional Structural Change in the U.S. Dairy Industry. Rev. Agricul. Econom., 1996, 18: 693-703.
  • 14. Cox, T.L., Chavas, J.P., Jesse, E.V.: Regional Impacts of Reducing Dairy Price Supports and Removing Milk Marketing Orders in the U.S. Dairy Sector. Agricultural Economics Staff Paper Series No. 377. University of Wisconsin, Madison, 1997.
  • 15. Yavuz, F.: An Analysis on Agricultural Policies Toward Meat and Dairy Industry in Turkey. I. Symposium of Turkey Meat and Dairy Industry, İzmir, 2000, 39-50.
  • 16. Yeni, R.: State Support Policies in Animal Husbandry Sector. 1. Symposium of Turkey Meat and Dairy Industry, İzmir, 2000, 70-83.
  • 17. State Institute of Statistics: Statistical Almanac of Turkey. Ankara, 1990-2000.
  • 18. Ulguray, D.: Animal Husbandary Policies in Turkey in the Framework of Agricultural Policies in Turkey. I. Symposium of Turkey Meat and Dairy Industry, Agricultural Economics Research Institute, İzmir, 2000, 84-94.
  • 19. Tan, S.: A Spatial Equilibrium Analysis of Regional Structural Change in Turkey's Dairy Industry, PhD Dissertation. Atatürk University, Erzurum, 2001.
  • 20. Samuelson, P.A.: Spatial Price Equilibrium and Linear Programming. Am. Economic Rev., 1952; 42: 283-303.
  • 21. Takayama, T., Judge, G.G.: Spatial Equilibrium and Quadratic Programming. J. Farm Econom., 1964, 46: 67-93.
  • 22. McCarl, B.A., Spreen, T.H.: Price Endogenous Mathematical Programming as a Tool for Sector Analysis. Am. J. Agricul. Econom., 1980, 62: 87-102.
  • 23. Brooke, A., Kendrick, D., Meeraus, A.: General Algebraic Modeling System (GAMS): A Users' Guide. California: The Scientific Press, 1992.
  • 24. Kasnakoğlu, H.: Recent Developments in the Livestock Sector in Turkey and Review of Livestock: Feed Relationships and Implication for Food Security. Middle East Technical University, Department of Economics, Ankara, 1997.
  • 25. Tan, S., Ertürk, Y.E., Bayaner, A.: Demand Analysis of Milk and Milk Products. International Animal Husbandry '99 Congress, Ege University, İzmir, 1999, 527- 532.
  • 26. Koc, A., Tan, S.: The Demand for Dairy Products in Turkey: The Impact of Household Composition on Consumption, Middle East Technical University Development Journal, 2001, 28: 169-181.
  • 27. Tan, S., Erturk, E.: Dairy and Dairy Products: Outlook and Estimation. Agricultural Economics Research Institute. Ankara,1999.
Turkish Journal of Veterinary and Animal Sciences-Cover
  • ISSN: 1300-0128
  • Yayın Aralığı: Yılda 6 Sayı
  • Yayıncı: TÜBİTAK