Hüseyin Tayyar GÜLDAL, Mehmet Arif ŞAHİNLİ, Ahmet ÖZÇELİK

2008 Küresel Ekonomik Krizinin Genç İşsizlik Oranına Etkisi: Türkiye Uygulaması

Son yıllarda dünyada ve Türkiye’de en önemli konulardan birisi ekonomik büyümenin istihdam ve işsizlik üzerindeki etkisidir. Literatürde istihdam ve işsizlik ile ilgili çalışmalar tarandığında, Türkiye ekonomisi için yapılan yeterli sayıda ampirik çalışma bulunamamıştır. Bu konuya katkıda bulunmak amacıyla, 1998-2016 dönemi için Kukla değişkenleri kullanarak ekonomik büyümenin Türkiye ekonomisindeki genç işsizlik üzerindeki etkisini araştırılmıştır. Araştırma sonuçlarında ekonomik büyümenin, genç işsizlik üzerindeki etkisinin arttığı belirlenmiştir.

Impact of 2008 Global Economic Crisis on Youth Unemployment: An Application to Turkey

In recent years, youth unemployment in Turkey is the effect of economic growth on employment andunemployment. When we search studies for employment and unemployment in the literature, wecan’t find many empirical studies for the Turkish economy. In order to contribute about this subject,we try to search the effect of economic growth on youth unemployment for the Turkish economy forthe period of 1998-2016 employing Dummy variables. Especially, we found that, increasing effect ofeconomic growth on youth unemployment.

PDF

___

Anonymous. 2008. Causes of the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. Url: https://www.thebalance. com/what-caused-2008-globalfinancial-crisis-3306176. (Access date: 01.10.2019)
Attar MA. 2013. The Turkish Experience. Legatum Institute. Url: http://www. li. com/docs/ default-source/future-of-iran/thefuture-of-iran-economy-tacklingyouth-unemployment-theturkish-experience-pdf-. pdf. (Access date: 01.10.2019)
Bäck H, Baumann M, Debus M. 2019. Coordination of legislative speech in times of crisis: Youth unemployment and debates on redistributive policies in the Swedish Riksdag, 1994–2014. International Journal of Social Welfare. Vol: 28-4.
Bell DN and Blanchflower DG. 2011. Youth unemployment in Europe and the United States. Nordic Economic Policy Review. Vol: 11-37.
Bruno GS, Marelli E, Signorelli M. 2014. The rise of NEET and youth unemployment in EU regions after the crisis. Comparative Economic Studies. 56(4): 592-615.
Choudhry M, Marelli E, Signorelli M. 2010. The impact of financial crises on youth unemployment rate. Quaderni del Dipartimento di Economia. Finanza e Statistica. 79.
Clark KB, Summers LH. 1982. The dynamics of youth unemployment. In The youth labor market problem: Its nature, causes, and consequences). University of Chicago Press.
Drydakis N. 2015. The effect of unemployment on self-reported health and mental health in Greece from 2008 to 2013: a longitudinal study before and during the financial crisis. Social Science & Medicine. 128: 43-51.
Draper NR, Smith H. 1966. Applied regression analysis. John Wiley&Sons, Newyork.
Eurostat. 2019. Eurostat population projection. Access date: 04.10.2019. url: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/ population- demography-migrationprojections/data/database.
Furnham A. 1985. Youth unemployment: A review of the literature. Journal of adolescence. 8(2): 109-124.
Georgiou MN. 2010. The Impact of Education on Unemployment: An Empirical Analysis for Europe, Japan and USA (1992-2006). Access date: 04.10.2019. url: https://ssrn.com/ abstract=1577130 or http://dx.doi.org/ 10.2139/ssrn.1577130.
Günaydın D, Çetin M. 2015. The main macroeconomic determinants of youth unemployment: An empirical analysis. Pamukkale University Journal of Social Sciences Institute. (22): 17-34.
Hammarström A. 1994. Health consequences of youth unemployment review from a gender perspective. Social science & medicine. 38(5): 699-709.
Ibrahim DHM, Mahyuddin MZ. 2017. Youth unemployment in Malaysia: Developments and policy considerations. Outlook and Policy. Annual Report.
ILO. 2013. Global Employment Trends for Youth: A Generation at Risk, Geneva: International Labour Organization
Jimeno JF, Rodriguez-Palenzuela D. 2002. Youth unemployment in the OECD: demographic shifts, labour market institutions, and macroeconomic shocks. European Central Bank Working Paper. no: 155.
Levin HM. 1983. Youth unemployment and its educational consequences. Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis. 5(2): 231-247.
OECD. 2005. OECD Employment Outlook, OECD.Paris.
OECD. Harmonised Unemployment Rates News Release: October 2010. Paris 15 December 2010. Access date: 03.10.2019. http://www.oecd.org/ dataoecd/1/15/ 46719811. pdf, s. 1-2.
O'higgins N. 1997. The challenge of youth unemployment. International Social Security Review 50(4): 63-93.
Okafor EE. 2011. Youth unemployment and implications for stability of democracy in Nigeria. Journal of Sustainable Development in Africa. 13(1): 358-373.
Petersen AC, Mortimer JT. 2006. Youth unemployment and society. Cambridge University Press.
Riddell WC, Song X. 2011. The impact of education on unemployment incidence and re-employment success: Evidence from the US labour market. Labour Economics. 18(4): 453-463.
Scarpetta S, Sonnet A and Manfredi T. 2010. Rising youth unemployment during the crisis. OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working Papers. No: 106.
Seçer B. 2006.Uluslararası Boyutuyla Genç İşsizliği ve Gençlere Yönelik İstihdam Politikaları. TİSK Akademi. Cilt:1. Sayı:2. 78-97.
Turkstat. 2018. Url: http: //www.tuik.gov.tr. (Access date: 01.05.2018)
Umaru A. 2014. Effects of Unemployment and Inflation on Economic Growth in Nigeria, 1986-2012. Department of Economics, Faculty of Social Science. Ahmadu Bello University Master Thesis.
Verd JM, Barranco O, Bolíbar M. 2019. Youth unemployment and employment trajectories in Spain during the Great Recession: what are the determinants? Journal for Labour Market Research. 53(1): 4.