Zeki BAYRAMOĞLU, Orhan GÜNDÜZ, Zuhal KARAKAYACI

Effect of Risk Attitudes on the Success of the Agricultural Enterprises and * Analysis of Affecting Factors

Agricultural production has been occurred under natural, economic, technical and social numerous risks and uncertainties. In addition, saving rate is low because the turnover rate of the capital is low in agricultural enterprises. These reasons affect to the production decisions of the agricultural entrepreneurs. Hence, the wrong decisions can lead to a low income, and the effect of the low income can reveal in the following years. This situation can also cause to close an enterprise. Attitudes of the agricultural entrepreneurs against risk can also cause that the resources have been an inactive. Since, the production factors not used effectively because of risk perception is another reason of low income. Therefore, the risk attitudes of the entrepreneurs in the agricultural enterprises operating in Konya province and affecting factors were analyzed in this study. For this purpose, 396 sample enterprises were selected from the agricultural enterprises operating in Konya by stratified random sampling method. The risk attitudes of the agricultural entrepreneurs were determined by asking the questions about preference scale known as the reference game. The economic performance of the agricultural enterprises according to risk attitude was analyzed as regards Laur Accounting Systems. In addition, the factors affecting risk attitudes of the agricultural entrepreneurs were determined by using Logistic Regression Analysis. As a result, it was determined that 70.45% of the agricultural enterprises did not like risk (including indifferent to the risk) and 29.55% of them liked risk. The most important factor affecting the risk attitudes of the agricultural entrepreneurs is the size of the enterprise land. It was also found that the economic performance of the risk lover enterprises better than ones risk non-lover

Tarım İşletmelernde Rsk Tutumlarının İşletme Başarısı Üzerne Etks ve Etkleyen Faktörlern Analz

Tarımsal üretm doğal, ekonomk, teknk ve sosyal brçok rsk ve belrszlk altında gerçekleşmektedr. Ayrıca tarım şletmelernde sermayenn devr hızının düşük olmasından dolayı tasarruf oranı da düşüktür. Bu nedenler tarım şletmecs yönetclernn üretm kararlarını etklemektedr. Ntekm alınacak yanlış kararlar düşük gelr sevyesne neden olablecek ve gelr düşüklüğünün şddet takp eden yıllarda etksn göstereblecektr. Bu durum şletmenn tamamen kapanması noktasına da geleblmektedr. Tarım şletmes yönetclernn rske karşı tutumları gelr düşüklüğü le brlkte kaynakların atıl kalmasına da neden olablmektedr. Ntekm üretm faktörlernn rsk kaygısı le etkn kullanılmaması da gelr düşüklüğünün dğer br nedendr. Bu nedenle bu çalışmada Konya lnde faalyet gösteren tarım şletmelernn yönetclernn rske karşı tutumları ve bunu etkleyen faktörler analz edlmştr. Bu amaca yönelk olarak Konya'da faalyet gösteren tarım şletmelernden tabakalı tesadüfi örnekleme yöntem kullanılarak 396 örnek şletme belrlenmştr. Bu şletmelern yönetclerne referans kumarı olarak blnen terch ölçeğ soruları yöneltlerek rsk tutumları belrlenmştr. Tarım şletmelernn rsk davranışlarına göre ekonomk performansları Laur muhasebe sstemne göre analz edlmştr. Ayrıca şletme yönetclernn rsk tutumlarını etkleyen faktörler lojstk regresyon analz kullanılarak belrlenmştr. Sonuç olarak tarım şletmelernn %70,45'nn rsk sevmedğ ve %29,55'nn se rsk sevdğ belrlenmştr. İşletme yönetclernn rsk tutumlarını etkleyen en öneml faktörün şletme arazsnn büyüklüğü olduğu belrlenmştr. Ayrıca rsk seven şletmelern ekonomk performansının rsk sevmeyen şletmelere göre daha y olduğu tespt edlmştr.

PDF

___

Akcaoz, H. and Ozkan, B. (2005). Determining risk sources and strategies among farmers of contrasting risk awareness: a case study for Cukurova region of Turkey, Journal of Arid Environments, 62(4):661-675.

Alderman, H. (2008). Managing risks to increase efficiency and reduce poverty, World Development Report, World Bank, Washington DC.

Berenson, M. L. and Levine, D. M. (1996). Basic business statistics: concepts and applications, Sixth Edition, Prentice-Hall International pp.837.

Boakye, A.A. (2017). Risk attitudes, risk management and business success of micro and small informal agribusiness entrepreneurs in Ghana: The Case Of Agri-Food Processors, PhD Thesis, Department of Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness, University of Ghana.

Ceyhan, V., Cinemre, H.A. and Demiryürek, K. (1997). Determination of risk behavior of farmers in Samsun Province Terme District, Ondokuz Mayıs University Agricultural Faculty Research Series No:3, Samsun. (In Turkish)

Dillon, L. J. and Scandızzo, P. L. (1978). Risk attitudes of subsistence farmers in Northeast Brazil. A Sampling Approach, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 60 (3):425-435.

Erkuş, A., Bülbül, M., Kıral, T., Açıl, F. and Demirci, R. (1995). Agricultural economics, Lecture Book, Publication of Ankara University Agricultural Faculty Education, Research and Development Foundation, Ankara. (In Turkish)

Greene, W.H. (2003). Econometrics analysis, Pearson Education LTD. ISBN: 0-13-110849-2 New York.

Holloway, C. (1979). Decision making under uncertainty: models and choices. Prentice-Hall, Inc., Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey.

Karberg, S. (1993). Developing a sensible and successful marketing attitude. Purdue University, Cooperative Extension Service, West Lafayette, Indiana, EC-673,

Mickelsen, S. and Trede L. D. (2001). Identifying and applying learning modes to risk management education to Iowa farmers, 28th Annual National Agricultural Education Research Conference December 12, Pp: 513-525.

Ndem, C.N. and Osondu, C.K. (2018). Risk sources and management strategies among cassava farmers in Abia State, Nigeria, Scientific Papers Series Management, Economic Engineering in Agriculture and Rural Development 18(1): 267-276.

Özçomak, M.S., Oktay, E. and Özer, H. (2005). Determination of the factors affecting potential natural gas demand in Erzurum Province, 7th Natonal Econometrc and Statstcs Symposum, İstanbul University. (In Turkish)

Özdamar, K., 2002. Statistical data analysis with packet programs, Volume 1, Second Pub., Eskişehir, Kaan Publication. (In Turkish)

Paudel, B., Acharya, B.S., Ghirimire, R., Dahal, K.R. and Bista, P. (2014). Adapting agriculture to climate change and variability in Chitwan: long-term trends and farmers' perceptions, Agricultural Research, 3:165-174.

Perry, J. and Johnson, J. (2000). Influences of human capital and farm characteristics on farmers' risk attitudes producer marketing and risk management: Frontiers for the 21st Century Conference, January 13-14, Orlando, Florida, Pp: 23.

TSI, (2017). Agricultural Production Statistics. http://www.turkstat.gov.tr Ullah, R., Shivakoti, G.P. and Ali, G. (2015). Factors effecting farmers' risk attitude and risk perceptions: the case of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 13:151-157.

Vergara, O., Patrick G. F., Knight, T. O. and Baquet, A. E. (2001). Understanding limited resource farmer's risk management decision making: summary and preliminary analysis, a report from the understanding farmer risk management decision making & educational needs research proj. Information Rep. 2001-003, M. S. University, Department of Agricultural Economics, Pp: 26.

Yamane, T. (1967). Elementary sampling theory. Prentice-Hall Inc.Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey.

Yusuf, S. and Malomo, D. (2007). Technical efficiency of poultry egg production in Ogun State: A Data Envelopment Analysis Approach. International Journal of Poultry Science, 6 (9): 622-629.