İlter Şahin AKTAŞ, TAYFUN MENLİK, Adnan SÖZEN

Akıllı Bir Şebekedeki Risk İndikatörlerinin Bulanık Analitik Hiyerarşi Prosesi ile Modellenmesi

Akıllı şebeke sistemlerinde, enerji arzının kesintisiz ve güvenli bir şekilde yapılması için kapsamlı bir risk analizi gerektirmektedir. Bu çalışmada, akıllı şebeke sistemi için, gelişmiş, çoklu ve detaylı bir Risk Değerlendirme Endeks çerçevesi oluşturulmuş, riskler; Finansal, Güvenlik, Çevresel, Teknolojik ve Yönetimsel Riskler olmak üzere beş ayrı ana başlık altında toplanmıştır. Çalışmada, Chang’ın Bulanık Analitik Hiyerarşi Prosesi (BAHP) Yöntemi, Geliştirilmiş Entegral Değer ve Kuadratik Ortalama Metot yöntemleri kullanılarak risklerin önem dereceleri belirlenmiştir.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Akıllı Şebekeler, bulanık AHP, risk analizi, bulanık sayılar, bulanık sıralamalar

Modelling of Risk Indicators in a Smart Grid Newtork By Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process

In smart grid systems, a comprehensive risk analysis is required to be able to transfer supply of energy continuous and secure. In this study, an advanced, multiple and detailed Risk Assessment Index Framework has been established for a smart grid system. Risks are constituted as Financial, Security, Environmental, Technological and Management Risks. The significance of the risks are determined by using Chang's Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (BAHP) Method, Enhanced Integral Value and Quadratic Mean Method.

Keywords:

Smart grid, fuzzy AHP, risk assessment, fuzzy numbers, fuzzy rankings,

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