EKONOMİK KALKINMA VE KADINLARIN İŞGÜCÜNE KATILIMI: TÜRKİYE İÇİN U HİPOTEZİNİN YENİDEN TEST EDİLMESİ

Ekonomik kalkınmanın ilk dönemlerinde kadınların işgücüne katılımının düştüğü, ancak kalkınmanın ilerleyen dönemlerinde işgücüne katılımın arttığı iddia edilmektedir. Diğer bir ifadeyle, ekonomik kalkınma ile kadınların işgücüne katılımı arasında U şeklinde bir ilişki olduğu varsayılmaktadır. Türkiye için daha önce yapılmış ampirik analiz sonuçları da böyle bir ilişkinin Türkiye için geçerli olduğunu iddia etmektedir. Ancak söz konusu çalışmanın kullanmış olduğu ekonometrik yöntemin zayıflıkları ve kullanılan veri seti, elde edilen bulguların güvenirliliğini tartışmalı hale getirmiştir. Çalışmamız, Türkiye için U hipotezinin geçerliliğini güncel veri seti ile bir kez daha test etmeyi amaçlamaktadır. Panel ekonometrisi kullanılarak 2004-2014 dönemi için İBBS-2 düzeyindeki verilerle bu hipotezin geçerliliği test edilmiştir. Ekonometrik analiz sonuçları, Türkiye için U hipotezinin geçerli olmadığını aksine bu ilişkinin ters U şeklinde olduğunu iddia etmektedir.

ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND FEMALE LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION: A REEXAMINATION OF THE U HYPOTHESIS FOR TURKEY

It is claimed that female labor force participation falls at the early stages of economic development and subsequently increases at the later stages. In other words, there is a U-shaped relationship between economic development and female labor force participation. The result of the previous empirical analysis for Turkey asserts that this relationship is valid for Turkey. However, due to the shortcomings of the econometric method and the data set used in the study, the obtained empirical findings are controversial. Our study aims to reanalyze the validity of the U hypothesis for Turkey with the current large data set. By using the panel econometrics, the validity of this hypothesis is tested at the NUTS-2 level for the period 2004-2014. While the obtained empirical results do not support the U hypothesis, it asserts that this relation is an inverted U-shaped for Turkey.

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