Ramiz MAMMADOV, Ali Akbar RASULY, Hanieh MOBASHER, Keyvan MOHAMADZADEH

Urmiye Gölü Örneğinde Arazi/Arazi Değişimi Tespit Prosedüründe Hücresel Otomata Markov Yöntemi İle Nesne Tabanlı Sınıflandırma Yaklaşımının Uygulanması

Mevcut araştırmanın temel amacı, nesne tabanlı bir görüntü analizi (OBIA) işlemi uygulayarak Urmiye Gölü'nün kuzey kıyılarındaki Arazi Örtüsü / Arazi Kullanım Değişiklikleri (LC / LUC) modellerinde değişiklikleri ortaya koymaktı. Buna bağlı olarak, görüntü işleme prosedürleri aşamasında, Urmiye Gölü yüzeylerindeki uzamsal değişiklikler, 1987'den 2016'ya kadar Landsat görüntülerinden dikkatlice alınmıştır. Ardından, ikinci aşamada, Misho Dağı'nın güney yamaçları için LC / LU değişim modelleri kesin olarak tanımlandı. Elde edilen modeller, görüntü sınıflandırma prosedürlerinde yaklaşık% 92,54 genel bir hassasiyet ve% 91'lik bir Kappa katsayısı gösterdi. Son aşamada, Hücresel Otomata-Markov (CA-Markov) yönteminin tanıtılması ve bir geçiş matrisinin ayarlanmasıyla, LC / LU modellerinde uzamsal değişiklikler, çalışma alanı içinde 2020 yılına kadar yaklaşan yıllar boyunca aşamalı olarak simüle edilmiştir. Nihai modeller, Urmia Gölü yüzeyinde, belirli su hacimlerinin eşlik ettiği ve azalan eğilimde anlamlı bir düşüş olduğunu göstermektedir, bu da tuzlu toprakların miktarının anlamlı şekilde arttığını vurgulamaktadır. Bu zararlı eğim, esas olarak Urmiye Gölü'nün kıyı bölgelerinde, kritik bir hiper-salin durumunun eşlik ettiği LC / LU tiplerinde en son değişikliklerin ortaya çıkmasıyla bitki örtüsünün tiplerinde kritik bir azalmaya neden olur. Mevcut önemli değişikliklerin uygulanması, yerel biyotik ve abiyotik bileşenlerin çoğunun ciddi çevresel olumsuz gözlemlerle taklit tehlikeler içinde olduğuna işaret etmektedir. LC / LU’ta bu tür hızlı bir şekilde meydana gelen devrim niteliğindeki değişiklikler, acil durumdaki tehlike ekosistemlerinde ve hassas iklimsel alt sistemlerde var olan çeşitli kritik etkiler yaratacaktır.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Arazi Kullanım Değişiklikleri, Nesneye Dayalı Yaklaşım ve CA-Markov Yöntemi, Urmiye Gölü

APPLYING AN OBJECT-BASED CLASSIFICATION APPROACH THROUGH A CELLULAR AUTOMATA-MARKOV METHOD IN LANDCOVER/LANDUSE CHANGE DETECTION PROCEDURE "CASE OF THE URMIA LAKE"

The main aim of the present research was to reveal changes on Land-Cover/Land-Use Changes (LC/LUC) patterns in the in the northern coast of the Urmia Lake by applying an object-based image analysis (OBIA) process. Accordingly, in the image process procedures stage, spatial changes on the Urmia Lake surfaces were carefully acquired from the Landsat imageries, since 1987 to 2016. Then, in the second stage, LC/LU change patterns have been precisely delineated, for the southern hillsides of the Misho Mountain. The resulting models showed an overall accuracy of nearly about 92.54% and a Kappa coefficient of 91% in the image classification procedures. In the final stage, by introducing a Cellular Automata-Markov (CA-Markov) method and setting a transition matrix, the spatial changes on the LC/LU patterns have been progressively simulated for the approaching years till year 2020 inside the study area. The final models illustrate a meaningful significant decrease in the Urmia Lake surface, accompanying by certain water volumes diminishing tendency, highlighting the fact that the amount of salty lands are meaningfully increasing. This harmful inclination has successively causes a critical diminishing on the vegetation’s types by emerging the most recent changes on LC/LU types accompanying by a critical hyper-saline condition mainly around the coastal parts of the Urmia Lake. Implementations of the current significant changes strongly pointing up that the majority of local biotic and abiotic components are in imitate dangers with serious environmental negative observations. Such rapidly occurring revolutionized changes on LC/LU will impose various critical effects on the existing in danger ecosystems and vulnerable climatic sub-systems in immediate prospect.

Keywords:

Landuse Changes, Object-Based Approach and CA-Markov Method, Urmia Lake,

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