THE IMPACT OF EXPORT, IMPORT, AND RENEWABLE ENERGY CONSUMPTION ON TURKEY’S ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT

Purpose - The purpose of this study is to examine the effect of export, import, and renewable energy consumption on the ecological footprint for the period 1990-2015 in Turkey. Methodology - In this study, firstly Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips-Perron (PP) unit root tests were applied. Then, long-term relationships between variables were investigated by Johansen Cointegration Test. Finally, the long-term elasticity coefficients were estimated with the Fully Modified Ordinary Least Square (FMOLS), Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS) and Canonical Cointegrating Regression (CCR) Models. Findings- The ADF and PP unit root test results showed that the variables generally contain unit root at level value. When the first difference of the variables was taken, the series became stationary. The Johansen Cointegration Test findings demonstrated that there is a cointegration relationship between the variables. According to the FMOLS, DOLS and CCR models that predicted long-term elasticity coefficients, while the renewable energy consumption and export reduced the ecological footprint, the import increased the ecological footprint. Conclusion- The analysis results showed that the variables of export and renewable energy consumption improve environmental quality in Turkey. The rate of consumption of natural resources is greater than the production rate in Turkey. This situation gradually increases the ecological deficit in the economy. The success of the economy in sustainable development depends on reducing the ecological deficit. First of all, dependency on imported resources should be reduced, and investments aimed at preserving and increasing biological capacity should be increased. In addition, priority should be given to using renewable energy rather than fossil-based energy consumption. Economic policies that can be implemented in this direction have a critical importance.

___

  • Alvarado, R., Ortiz, C., Jimenez, N., Ochoa-Jimenez, D., & Tillaguango, B. (2021). Ecological Footprint, Air Quality and Research and Development: The Role of Agriculture and International Trade. Journal of Cleaner Production, 288, 1-13. DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.125589
  • Apaydın, Ş. (2020). Küreselleşmenin Ekolojik Ayak İzi Üzerindeki Etkileri: Türkiye Örneği. Ekonomi, Politika & Finans Araştırmaları Dergisi, 5(1), 23-42. DOI: 10.30784/epfad.695836
  • Çağlayan, E., & Saçaklı, N. (2006). Satın Alma Gücü Paritesinin Geçerliliğinin Sıfır Frekansta Spektrum Tahmincisine Dayanan Birim Kök Testleri ile İncelenmesi. Atatürk Üniversitesi İİBF Dergisi, 20(1), 121-137.
  • Destek, M.A., & Sinha, A. (2020). Renewable, Non-Renewable Energy Consumption, Economic Growth, Trade Openness and Ecological Footprint: Evidence From Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development Countries. Journal of Cleaner Production, 242, 1-11. DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.118537
  • Destek, M.A., Ulucak, R. & Dogan, E. (2018). Analyzing The Environmental Kuznets Curve for the EU Countries: the Role of Ecological Footprint. Environmental Science and Pollution Research. 25, 29387-29396. DOI:10.1007/s11356-018-2911-4
  • Dickey, D.A. and Fuller, W.A. (1981). Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series With a Unit Root, Econometrica, 49(4), 1057-1072. DOI: 10.2307/1912517
  • Dogan, E., Taspinar, N., & Gokmenoglu, K.K. (2019). Determinants of Ecological Footprint in MINT Countries. Energy & Environment, 30(6), 1065-1086. DOI: 0958305X19834279
  • Global Footprint Network (2021). National Footprint and Biocapacity Accounts. https://data.footprintnetwork.org/, accessed 20 January 2021.
  • He, F.S., Gan, G.G.G., Al-Mulali, U., & Solarin, S.A. (2019). The Influences of Economic Indicators on Environmental Pollution in Malaysia. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 9(2), 123-131. DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.7489
  • Johansen, S. (1988). Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12 (2-3), 231-254. DOI: 10.1016/0165-1889(88)90041-3
  • Johansen, S., & Juselius, K. (1990). Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Iference On Cointegration With Applications to the Demand for Money. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52 (2), 169-210. DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0084.1990.mp52002003.x
  • Kızılgöl, Ö. (2006). Türkiye’de Büyüme Oranı İle İşsizlik Oranı Arasındaki İlişki. Yönetim ve Ekonomi Araştırmaları Dergisi, 4(6), 54-69.
  • Kitzes J., Galli A., Bagliani M., Barrett J., Dige G., Ede S., Erb K., Giljum S., Haberl H., Hails C., Jolia-Ferrier L., Jungwirth S., Lenzen M., Lewis K., Loh J., Marchettini N., Messinger H., Milne K., Moles R., Monfreda C., Moran D., Nakano K., Pyhälä A., Rees W., Simmons C., Wackernagel M., Wada Y., Walsh C., & Wiedmann T. (2009). A Research Agenda for Improving National Ecological Footprint Accounts. Ecological Economics, 68(7), 1991-2007. DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2008.06.022
  • Langnel, Z., & Amegavi, G.B. (2020). Globalization, Electricity Consumption and Ecological Footprint: An Autoregressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) Approach. Sustainable Cities and Society, 63, 1-12. DOI: 1016/j.scs.2020.102482
  • McDonald, G.W., & Patterson, M.G. (2004). Ecological Footprints and Interdependencies of Newzealand Regions. Ecological Economics, 50, 49-67. DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2004.02.008
  • Mikayilov, J.I., Mukhtarov, S., Mammadov, J., & Azizov, M. (2019). Re-Evaluating the Environmental Impacts of Tourism: Does EKC Exist?. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 26, 1-14. DOI: 10.1007/s11356-019-05269-w
  • Nathaniel, S., & Khan, S.A.R. (2020). The Nexus Between Urbanization, Renewable Energy, Trade, and Ecological Footprint in ASEAN Countries, Journal of Cleaner Production, 272, 1-9. 122709 DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.122709
  • Nathaniel, S., Nwodo, O., Adediran, A., Sharma, G., Shah, M., & Adeleye, N. (2019). Ecological Footprint, Urbanization, and Energy Consumption in South Africa: Including the Excluded. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 26(30), 1-12. DOI: 10.1007/s11356-019-05924-2
  • Özcan, B., & Arı, A. (2013). Para Talebinin Belirleyenleri ve İstikrarı Üzerine Bir Uygulama: Türkiye Örneği. Yönetim ve Ekonomi, 20(2), 105-120.
  • Özsoy, C.E. (2015). Düşük Karbon Ekonomisi ve Türkiye’nin Karbon Ayak İzi. Uluslararası Emek ve Toplum Dergisi, 4(9), 198-215.
  • Phillips, P.C.B, & Perron, P. (1988). Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression. Biometrika, 75(2), 335-346. DOI: 10.1093/biomet/75.2.335
  • Rees W.E. (1992). Ecological Footprints and Appropriated Carrying Capacity: What Urban Economics Leaves Out. Environment and Urbanization, 4(2), 121-130. DOI: 10.1177/095624789200400212
  • Rees W.E. (1996). Revisiting Carrying Capacity: Area-Based Indicators of Sustainability. Population and Environment, 17(3), 195-215. DOI: 10.1007/BF02208489
  • Sinan, O.B. (2018). Türkiye’de İşsizlik Oranları ile Uluslararası Petrol Fiyatları İlişkisi: 1980-2016. Finans Ekonomi ve Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi (FESA), 3(4), 681-695. DOI: 10.29106/fesa.453091
  • Sharif, A., Tuzemen, Ö.B., Uzuner, G., Ozturk, I., & Sinha, A. (2020). Revisiting the Role of Renewable and Non-Renewable Energy Consumption on Turkey’s Ecological Footprint: Evidence from Quantile ARDL Approach. Sustainable Cities and Society, 57, 1-12. DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2020.102138
  • Sharma, R., Sinha, S., & Kautish, P. (2021). Does Renewable Energy Consumption Reduce Ecological Footprint? Evidence From Eight Developing Countries of Asia, Journal of Cleaner Production, 285, 1-13. DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.124867
  • Solarin, S.A., & Al-Mulali, U. (2018). Influence of Foreign Direct İnvestment on Indicators of Environmental Degradation. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 25(25), 24845-24859. DOI: 10.1007/s11356-018-2562-5
  • Şimşek, T., & Bursal, M. (2019). Türkiye’de Ekolojik Ayak İzi ve Biyokapasite Arasındaki İlişki: Bootstrap Rolling Window Nedensellik Testi. IBAD Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, Özel Sayı, 452-465. 10.21733/ibad.613865
  • Ulucak, R., & Bilgili, F. (2018). A Reinvestigation of EKC Model by Ecological Footprint Measurement for High, Middle and Low Income Countries. Journal of Cleaner Production, 188, 144-157. DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.03.191
  • Wackernagel M. (1991). Using Appropriated Carrying Capacity’as An Indicator: Measuring the Sustainability of A Community. The UBC Task Force On Healthy And Sustainable Communities, UBC School of Community and Regional Planning, Vancouver.
  • Wackernagel M. (1994). Ecological Footprint and Appropriated Carrying Capacity: A Tool for Planning Toward Sustainability. PhD Thesis, University of British Columbia.
  • Wackernagel M., & Rees W. (1998). Our Ecological Footprint: Reducing Human Impact on the Earth. New Society Publishers, Philadelphia, 7-85. DOI: 10.5070/G31710273.
  • Wang, J., & Dong, K. (2019). What Drives Environmental Degradation? Evidence from 14 Sub-Saharan African countries. Science of the Total Environment, 656, 165-173. DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.11.354
  • World Bank (2020), World Development Indicators Data Bank. https://databank.worldbank.org/, accessed 15 January 2021.
  • WWF (2012). Türkiye’nin Ekolojik Ayak İzi Raporu