Konut Alt Piyasalarının Ankara Metropolitan Alanı Örneği Üzerinden Değerlendirilmesi

The housing market consists of heterogeneous products with different housing characteristics. Due to its heterogeneity, the housing market is better analyzed by dividing it into different homogeneous groups, especially submarkets with similar spatial, environmental and physical characteristics, rather than a single homogeneous market. This article discusses the housing submarkets by using the current housing supply in Ankara. In this context, it investigates whether the analysis for the city as a whole reflects a realistic housing price structure. Moreover, it seeks an answer the question of whether socio-economic submarkets based on average household income by neighborhood and spatial submarkets based on location by district are determinant for Ankara. Data were collected from one of Turkey's largest real estate websites on the dwelling units being advertised for sale in the nine central districts of Ankara between January and September 2021. Data were analyzed by hedonic regression model. Empirical results reveal that although a single market does not effectively reflect a realistic price structure, location by districts and average household income by neighborhood do affect the price of housing in each submarket. Each submarket has its own dynamics and the housing price structure in each submarket depends on different variables. For Ankara, spatial submarkets have more explanatory power than socio-economic submarkets.

Evaluation of Housing Submarkets on the Example of Ankara Metropolitan Area

___

  • Adair, A. S., Berry, J. N. ve McGreal, W. S. (1996). Hedonic modelling, housing submarkets and residential valuation. Journal of Property Research, 13(1), 67-83.
  • Adair, A. S., McGreal, W. S., Smyth, A., Cooper, J. ve Ryley, T. (2000). House prices and accessibility: the testing of relationships within Belfast area. Housing Studies, 15(5), 699-716.
  • Alkay, E. (2008). Housing submarkets in İstanbul. International Real Estate Review, 11(1), 113-127.
  • Allen, M. T., Springer, T. M. ve Waller, N. G. (1995). Implicit pricing across residential submarkets. Jourban of Real Estate and Financial Economics, 11(2), 137-151.
  • Ankara Ulaşım Ana Planı (AUAP) (2014). Ankara metropolitan alanı ve yakın çevresi ulaşım ana planı hanehalkı araştırması sonuçları (2013-2038), 52, Ankara: Gazi Üniversitesi Ulaşım Ana Planı Ofisi Yayını.
  • Ball, M. ve Kirwan, R. (1977). Accessibility and supply constraints in the urban housing accessibility and supply constraints in the urban housing market. Urban Studies, 14, 11–32.
  • Bourassa, S. C., Hamelink, F., Hoesli, M. ve MacGregor, M. D. (1999). Defining Housing Submarkets. Journal of Housing Economics, 8, 160-183.
  • Bourassa, S. C., Hoesli, M. ve Peng, V. S. (2003). Do housing submarkets really matter?. Journal of Housing Economics, 12(1), 12-28.
  • Cingöz, A. R. A. A. (2014). Konut Fiyatları Nasıl Belirlenir?. İstanbul: Derin Yayıncılık.
  • Dale-Johnson, D. (1982). An alternative approach to housing market segmentation using hedonic price data. Journal of Urban Economics, 11, 311-332.
  • Davenport, J. L. (2003). The effect of supply and demand factors on the affordability of rental housing. The Park Place Ecoonmist, 25. http://digitalcommons.iwu.edu/econ_honproj/10 adresinden erişilmiştir.
  • Ellickson, B.; Fishman, B.; Morrison, P. A. (1977). Economic analysis of urban housing markets: a new approach. Santa Monica: Rand Corporation. https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/reports/2007/R2024.pdf adresinden erişilmiştir.
  • Gabriel, S. (1984). A note on housing market segmentation in an Israeli development town. Urban Studies, 21, 189-194.
  • Gelir İdaresi Başkanlığı. 30.09.2021 tarihinde, https://www.tuik.gov.tr/ adresinden erişilmiştir.
  • Goodman, A. C. (1981). Housing submarkets within urban areas: definitions and evidence. Journal of Regional Science, 21(2), 175-185.
  • Goodman, A. C. ve Thibodeau, T. G. (2003). Housing market segmentation and hedonic prediction accuracy. Journal of Housing Economics, 12, 181-201.
  • Goodman, A. C. ve Thibodeau, T. G. (2007). The spatial proximity of metropolitan area housing submarkets. Real Estate Economics, 35, 209-232.
  • Gökler, L. A. (2017). Ankara’da konut fiyatları farklılaşmasının hedonik analiz yardımıyla incelenmesi. Megaron Dergisi, 12(2), 304-315.
  • Greaves, M. (1984). The determinants of residential values: the hierarchial and statistical approaches. Journal of Valuation, 3, 5-23.
  • Grigsby, W. (1963). Housing markets and public policy. Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press. Hepsi Emlak. 30.09.2021 tarihinde, https://www.tuik.gov.tr/ adresinden erişilmiştir.
  • Hoesli, M., Thion, B. ve Watkins, C. A. (1997). A hedonic investment of the rental of apartments in central Bordeaux. Journal of Property Research, 14, 15-26.
  • Keskin, B. ve Watkins, C. A. (2017). Defining spatial housing submarkets: Exploring the case for expert delineated boundaries. Urban Studies, 54(6), 1446-462.
  • Lancaster, K. J. (1966). A new approach to consumer theory. The Journal of Political Economy, 74(2), 132-157.
  • Maclennan, D. ve Tu, Y. (1996). Economic Perspectives on the structure of local housing markets. Housing Studies, 11, 387-406.
  • Maclennan, D., Munro, M. ve Wood, G. (1987). Housing choice and the structure of urban housing markets in between state and market housing in the post-industrial era. Scandinavian Housing and Planning Research, 4, 26-52.
  • Marques, J. (2012). The notion of space in urban housing markets. (Yayımlanmamış Doktora Tezi). University of Aveiro, Portugal.
  • Michaels, R. ve Smith, V. K. (1990). Market segmentation and valuing amenities with hedonic models: the case of hazardous waste sites. Journal of Urban Economics, 28, 223-242.
  • Öney, E. (2002). Plansız yerleşmelerde 17 Ağustos 1999 Kocaeli depremi sonrası konut tercihlerinin analizi: Reşit Paşa örneği. (Yayımlanmamış Yüksek Lisans Tezi). İstanbul Teknik Üniversitesi, İstanbul.
  • Özus, E., Dökmeci, V., Kıroğlu, G. ve Eğdemir, G. (2007). Spatial analysis of residential prices in İstanbul. European Planning Studies, 15(5), 707-721.
  • Palm, R. (1978). Spatial segmentation of the urban housing market. Economic Geography, 54, 210-221.
  • Pryce, G. (2013). Housing submarkets and the lattice of substititution. Urban Studies, 50(13), 2682-2699.
  • Rosen, S. (1974). Hedonic prices and implicit markets: product differantiation in pure competition. Journal of Political Economy, 82, 34-55.
  • Rosmera N. A. ve Mohd Diah, M. L. (2016). Housing market segmentation and the spatially varying house prices. Journal of the Social Sciences, 11(11), 2712-2719.
  • Rothenberg, J., Galster, G., Butler, R. ve Pitkin, J (1991). The maze of urban housing markets: theory, evidence and policy. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
  • Saner, E. (2008). Türkiye’de konut piyasasının belirleyicileri: ampirik bir uygulama. (Yayımlanmamış Yüksek Lisans Tezi). Zonguldak Karaelmas Üniversitesi, Zonguldak.
  • Schnare, A. ve Struyk, R. (1976). Segmentation in urban housing markets. Journal of Urban Economics, 3, 146-166.
  • Sonstelie, J. C. ve Portney, P.R. (1980). Gross rents and market values: testing the implications of Tiebout's hypothesis. Journal of Urban Economics, 7, 102-118.
  • Straszheim, M. (1975). An econometric analysis of the urban housing market. National Bureau of Economics Research, Cambridge.
  • Türkiye İstatistik Kurumu (2021). Konut Satış İstatistikleri. 30.09.2021 tarihinde, https://www.tuik.gov.tr/ adresinden erişilmiştir.
  • Uğurlar, A. (2013). Türkiye'de kiralık konut: Ankara örneğinde talep ve kullanım özellikleri. (Yayımlanmamış Doktora Tezi). Gazi Üniversitesi, Ankara.
  • Uğurlar, A. ve Eceral, T. Ö. (2014). Ankara'daki mevcut konut (mülk ve kiralık) piyasasına ilişkin bir değerlendirme. İdealkent, 12, 132-159.
  • Uğurlar, A., Eceral, T. Ö. ve Üçer, A. G. (2018). Alt konut piyasaları bağlamında hanehalkı ve konut özelliklerinin ilişkisi. İdealkent, 25(9), 800-833.
  • Watkins, C. A. (1999). Property valuation and the structure of urban housing markets. Journal of Property Investment and Finance, 17, 157-175.
  • Watkins, C. A. (2001). The definiton and idenfication of housing submarkets. Environment and Planning A, 33, 2235-2253.
  • Wu, C.; Sharma, R. (2012). Housing submarket classification: The role of spatial contiguity. Applied Geography, 32(2), 746-756.
  • Yiyit, M. (2017). Isparta ilinde konut fiyatını etkileyen faktörlerin hedonik fiyat modeli ile belirlenmesi ve konut sektöründeki alt piyasaların örtük sınıf analizi ile açığa çıkarılması. (Yayımlanmamış Doktora Tezi). Süleyman Demirel Üniversitesi, Isparta.