Investigation of Vegetable Production Amount and the Size of Cultivation Areas in Kahramanmaraş with the Econometric Model

In this study, it is to determine the relationship between the size of the agricultural land planted between 2016-2020 and its average yield in Afşin, Andırın, Dulkadiroğlu, Ekinözü, Elbistan, Göksun, Nurhak, Onikisubat, Pazarcık, Türkoğlu and Çağlayancerit districts of Kahramanmaraş province. For this, according to the data obtained from TUIK, 5 products selected in grain, which are thought to be produced more widely in the region, are respectively; Wheat, corn, barley, chickpea and sugar beet, while the others are probably 5 products selected in fruit, respectively; Apple, cherries, strawberries, mulberries and walnuts and others, which are considered to be produced more than 5 vegetables selected, respectively; pepper, cucumber, acur, tomato and garlic. For the estimation results obtained in the research, VAR (vector autoregressive model) analysis, which is an econometric program, and unit root test were used. According to the estimation results, it was determined that there is a 0.99 correlation between the size of the agricultural land planted and the amount of yield in selected products according to the years in Kahramanmaraş districts between the years 2016-2020, and as a result of the VAR analysis, the most appropriate delay size was the 10th delay. In addition, the average productivity of 1 decare of total cultivated land in the districts according to the selected years is 0.6909 in Afşin, 0.4397 in Andırın, 0.6732 in Dulkadiroğlu, 0.4057 in Ekinözü, 0.6371 in Elbistan, 0.5208 in Göksun, 0.3068 in Nurhak, Onikişubat. 0.5542 tons in Pazarcık, 0.5891 tons in Türkoğlu, 0.6827 tons in Çağlayancerit and 0.6046 tons in Çağlayancerit.

Keywords:

Agricultural land size, Districts econometrics, Land yield amount.,

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