TÜRKİYE'NİN ANTİDAMPİNG UYGULAMALARININ EKONOMETRİK ANALİZİ

Günümüzde uluslararası ticaretin serbestleştirilmesi sonucu dampinge karşı önlemler, yerli sanayinin haksız rekabete karşı korunması açısından hızla önem kazanmaktadır. Bir ülkenin, ithal ettiği ürünle aynı özellikleri taşıyan ürünün yerel üreticilerine zarar veya zarar tehdidi arz ettiğini veya bir üretim dalının kurulmasını fiziki olarak geciktirdiğini belirlemesi durumunda kullandığı antidamping uygulamaları 1904 yılında ilk olarak Kanada'da kullanılmış ve daha sonra Dünya Ticaret Örgütü'ne üye ülkeler tarafından da yaygın bir biçimde kullanılmıştır. Bu çalışmanın temel amacı Türkiye'de makroekonomik değişkenlerin antidamping uygulamaları üzerindeki etkilerinin incelenmesidir. Makroekonomik değişkenler ve antidamping uygulamaları arasındaki ilişki Negatif Binomial Regresyon modeli kullanılarak 1989-2011 dönemi için analiz edilmiştir. Çalışmadan elde edilen sonuçlara göre Türkiye'nin antidamping uygulamaları üzerinde; ithalat artış hızının pozitif, Türkiye'nin GSYİH büyüme hızının negatif ve Türkiye'nin antidamping soruşturmalarına en fazla maruz kalan 10 ülkeye ait GSYİH büyüme hızlarının pozitif etkiye sahip olduğu tespit edilmiştir

ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF TURKEY'S ANTIDUMPING IMPLEMENTATIONS

Today, as a result of the liberalization of international trade, antidumping implementations are gaining importance in terms of protection of domestic industries against unfair competition. Antidumping implementations were first used in Canada in 1904 and since then have been widely used by the member countries of the WTO. The main purpose of this study is to investigate the effects of the antidumping implementations on macroeconomic variables. The relationship between macroeconomic variables and antidumping implementations was analyzed by using Negative Binomial Regression for the period of 1989-2011. Based on the results of this study, import growth rate has positive, Turkey's GDP growth rate has negative and growth rates of 10 countries which have been mostly indicted antidumping prosecutions by Turkey has positive effect on the Turkey's antidumping implementations

PDF

___

Aggarwal, A. (2004). "Patterns and Determinants of Anti-Dumping: A Worldwide Perspective", World Develpment. 32(6), 1043-1057.
Avsar V. (2013), ''Antidumping, Retaliation threats and Export Prices'', World Bank Economic Review, 27(1), 133-148.
Avsar V. (2013), ''Trade effects of Turkey's Antidumping Duties'', Uludağ Universitesi İİBF Dergisi, 32(1), 1-10.
Avsar V. (2014), ''Türkiye'nin Antidamping Soruşturmalarını Etkileyen Faktörler: Sanayi Verileri ile Ekonometrik Bir Analiz, Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi İİBF Dergisi, 9(1), 41-54.
Cox, R. (1983). "Some Remarks on Overdispersion", Biometrika.70, 269-274.
Dobson, J.A., (1990). "An İntroduction to Generalized Linear Models", Chapman and Hall, New York.
Feinberg R. (1989). "Exchange Rate and Unfair Trade. The Review of Economics and Statistics", 71(4), 704-707.
Feinberg, R. M. ve Barry, T. H. (1989). "Industry Rent Seeking and the Filing of 'Unfair Trade' Complaints", International Journal of Industrial Organisation. 7, 325-40.
Feinberg, R. M. (2004). "U.S. Antidumping Enforcement and Macroeconomic Indicators: What do Petitioners Expect, and Are They Correct?. Department of Economics American University", Washington DC: Working Paper.
Finger, J.M. (1981), "The Industry-Country Incidence of 'Less than Fair Value' Cases In US Import Trade", Quarterly Review of Economics and Business. 21, 260-79.
Finger, J. M., Hall, H. K. ve Nelson, D. R. (1982)." The Political Economy of Administered Protection", American Economic Review. vol. 72(3), 452-66.
Frome, E. D., Kutner, M. H. ve Beauchamp, J.J. (1973). "Regression Analysis of Poisson- Distributed Data", Journal of American Statistical Association. 68(344), 935-940.
Hansen, W. L. (1990). "International Trade Commission and the Policies of Protectionism", American Political Science Review. 84, 21-46.
Hansen, W. L. ve Prusa, T. J. (1997), "The Economics and Politics of Trade Policy: An Empirical Analysis of ITC Decision Making", Review of International Economics. 5(2), 230-245.
Herander, M. G. ve Schwartz J. B. (1984). "The Impact of the Threat of U.S. Trade Policy: The Case of Antidumping Duties", Southern Economic Journal. 51(1), 59-79
Irwin, D. (2004). "The Rise of U. S. Antidumping Actions in Historical Perspective", National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Working Paper. No.10582, June
Jallab, M. S., Sandretto, R. ve Gbakou M. B. P. (2006). "Antidumping Procedures and Macroeconomic Factors: A Comparison between the United States and the European Union", Global Economy Journal. 6(3), 1-20.
Knetter, M. M. Ve Prusa T. J. (2003). "Macroeconomic Factors and Antidumping Filings: Evidence from Four Countries", Journal of International Economics. 61(1), 1-17.
Krupp, C. (1994). "Antidumping Cases in the US Chemical Industry: A Panel Data Approach", The Journal of Industrial Economics. XLII, 299-311.
Lawless, J.F. (1987). "Negative Binomial and Mixed Poisson Regression", The Canadian Journal of Statistcs, 15(3), 209-225.
Lee, K. ve Mah, J. S. (2003). "Institutional Changes and Antidumping Decisions in the United States", Journal of Policy Modeling. 25, 555- 565.
Lichtenberg, F. ve Tan, H. (1994). "An Industry-Level Analysis of Import Relief Petitions", Filed by US Manufacturers,1958-1985, in Hong Tan and Haruo Shimada (eds.), Troubled Industries in the United States and Japan. New York: St. Martin's Press. 161-88.
Mah, J. S. (2000)." Antidumping Decisions and Macroeconomic Variables in the USA", Applied Economics. 32, 1701-1709.
Moore, M. O. (2006). "An Econometric Analysis of U.S. Antidumping Sunset Review Decisions", Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv. 142(1), 122-150.
Nelson, D. R. (2006). "The Political Economy of Anti-Dumping: A Survey", European Journal of Political Economy. 22(3), 554-590.
Prusa, T. J. ve Skeath, S. (2001). "The Economic and Strategic Motives for Antidumping Filings", National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Working Paper. No 8424. May
Prusa, T. J. (2005). "Anti-dumping: A Growing Problem in International Trade", The World Economy, 28(5), 683-700.
Prusa, T. J. (2001). "On the Spread and Impact of Antidumping", Canadian Journal of Economics. 34(3), 591-611.
Sabry, F. (2000). "An Analysis of the Decision to File, the Dumping Estimates, and the Outcome of Antidumping Petitions", The International Trade Journal. VIX (2), 109-145.
Türkcan, K. ve Dişbudak, C. (2005). "Antidamping Uygulamalarının Ekonometrik Analizi: Türkiye Örneği (1995-2002)", İktisat İşletme ve Finans. 20(233), 149-164.