EŞBÜTÜNLEŞME TEKNİĞİ İLE TÜRKİYE'DE YAKIT TALEBİNİN ANALİZİ

Öz Bu çalışmada, Türkiye’de yakıt talebinin kısa ve uzun dönem esneklikleri eşbütünleşme ve hata düzeltme metodu ile tahmin edilmiştir. Süper ve kurşunsuz benzin gelir esneklikleri, hem kısa hem de uzun dönemde esnektir. Mazot gelir esnekliği ise her iki dönemde birden küçüktür. Benzin türlerinde, kurşunsuz benzin dışında, ve mazotta fiyat esnekliği her iki dönemde inelastiktir. Hata düzeltme terimi, her bir modelde istatistiki olarak anlamlıdır. Bu da, kısa dönemde meydana gelen dengesizliklerin, modellerdeki değişkenlerin birlikte hareket ile telafi edilerek, uzun dönem dengesinin yeniden kurulduğunu gösterir.

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